Will Bermuda vs. St. Lucia end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$686
$453 in 24h
Trades
118
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$6,714
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-11-13
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 19:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.3¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $317
vs crowd: 9% YES on $686)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $38 | $419 | $381 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $12 | $103 | $90 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $4 | $34 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $11 | $65 | $55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $40 | $276 | $236 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $131 | $130 |
| Median | 2 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $61 | $60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $5 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $9 | $143 | $134 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | +218 | $18 | $18 | 16 | 11-13 19:58 |
| Dirty-Automaton 0x200f…7a96 | No | +108 | $95 | $95 | 3 | 11-13 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +101 | $92 | $92 | 19 | 11-13 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +98 | $7 | $7 | 12 | 11-13 19:53 |
| Truthful-Alpenglow 0x2e7c…164d | Yes | +90 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-13 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +78 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 11-13 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | No | +76 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 11-13 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | +67 | $62 | $62 | 5 | 11-13 19:47 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | +48 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 11-13 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2559…b2e3 | Yes | +45 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-12 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x151b…ef82 | Yes | +41 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | +40 | $37 | $37 | 9 | 11-13 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ecd…8540 | Yes | +36 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 08:05 |
| Trusting-Heartache 0xaaca…f5d5 | No | +36 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 11-13 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe48e…ac2e | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 11-13 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6db…3155 | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 11-13 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe550…be3f | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-13 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfab8…e88b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-13 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d60…4580 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 19:23 |
| Fabulous-Trolley 0x2fcb…78cf | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 11-13 19:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 11-13 19:05 |
| Tense-Adviser 0xe256…1dd8 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb64…db86 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-13 19:06 |
| Triangular-Cape 0x831d…0705 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc4f…9804 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-13 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6fe…a43a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-13 16:11 |
| Few-Crocodile 0xc846…c413 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-12 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 19:23 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 11-13 18:40 |
| Glittering-Skin 0xa287…416c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 11-13 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e6…0a20 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 19:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2336…0ab9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xc45f…c95f | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x54d2…9d46 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 19:18 |
| Periodic-Hornet 0x52d9…fb1a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9aa…59f1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 14:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 19:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x754863… |
| 11-13 19:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x754863… |
| 11-13 19:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x446d24… |
| 11-13 19:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x446d24… |
| 11-13 19:55:42 | Periodic-Hornet 0x52d9…fb1a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf7c9d2… |
| 11-13 19:55:42 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf7c9d2… |
| 11-13 19:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0d4512… |
| 11-13 19:54:18 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0d4512… |
| 11-13 19:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd20e45… |
| 11-13 19:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd20e45… |
| 11-13 19:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1be3e5… |
| 11-13 19:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1be3e5… |
| 11-13 19:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x39b2da… |
| 11-13 19:54:00 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x39b2da… |
| 11-13 19:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x881a98… |
| 11-13 19:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x881a98… |
| 11-13 19:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd419ce… |
| 11-13 19:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd419ce… |
| 11-13 19:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xda51ef… |
| 11-13 19:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xda51ef… |
| 11-13 19:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc3dffc… |
| 11-13 19:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xc3dffc… |
| 11-13 19:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb30e20… |
| 11-13 19:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb30e20… |
| 11-13 19:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb30e20… |
| 11-13 19:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe7e5e0… |
| 11-13 19:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe7e5e0… |
| 11-13 19:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x04936b… |
| 11-13 19:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x04936b… |
| 11-13 19:52:51 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0152b0… |
| 11-13 19:52:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0152b0… |
| 11-13 19:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xedb2c4… |
| 11-13 19:52:45 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xedb2c4… |
| 11-13 19:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x196b1c… |
| 11-13 19:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x196b1c… |
| 11-13 19:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf0b0b7… |
| 11-13 19:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf0b0b7… |
| 11-13 19:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3c9ebc… |
| 11-13 19:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3c9ebc… |
| 11-13 19:51:55 | (anonymous) 0xe550…be3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc3ab52… |
| 11-13 19:51:55 | (anonymous) 0xe48e…ac2e | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc3ab52… |
| 11-13 19:51:55 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xc3ab52… |
| 11-13 19:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x6c3da8… |
| 11-13 19:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x6c3da8… |
| 11-13 19:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x6c3da8… |
| 11-13 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xb70dcd… |
| 11-13 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xb70dcd… |
| 11-13 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb70dcd… |
| 11-13 19:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xe48e…ac2e | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xb70dcd… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xceb9e4… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0xe550…be3f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xceb9e4… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0xe48e…ac2e | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xceb9e4… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0xe48e…ac2e | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xb8ffc7… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb8ffc7… |
| 11-13 19:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | No | BUY | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0xceb9e4… |
| 11-13 19:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x0d6a…aa98 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x90f3f0… |
| 11-13 19:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x90f3f0… |
| 11-13 19:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xd56c89… |
| 11-13 19:47:01 | Tense-Adviser 0xe256…1dd8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd56c89… |
| 11-13 19:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x0ff498… |
| 11-13 19:39:36 | (anonymous) 0xc45f…c95f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0ff498… |
| 11-13 19:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0xc7ee6f… |
| 11-13 19:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc7ee6f… |
| 11-13 19:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xce3e6e… |
| 11-13 19:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0xce3e6e… |
| 11-13 19:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xce3e6e… |
| 11-13 19:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x91e6…0a20 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5e77a3… |
| 11-13 19:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x5e77a3… |
| 11-13 19:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5e77a3… |
| 11-13 19:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x3d60…4580 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5e77a3… |
| 11-13 19:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd26856… |
| 11-13 19:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x2336…0ab9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd26856… |
| 11-13 19:18:03 | (anonymous) 0x54d2…9d46 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd26856… |
| 11-13 19:06:21 | (anonymous) 0xfab8…e88b | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5797dd… |
| 11-13 19:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x712a7b… |
| 11-13 19:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5797dd… |
| 11-13 19:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x712a7b… |
| 11-13 19:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x59e2c4… |
| 11-13 19:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x59e2c4… |
| 11-13 19:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xf71558… |
| 11-13 19:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf71558… |
| 11-13 19:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x70ee14… |
| 11-13 19:05:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x70ee14… |
| 11-13 19:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe19f73… |
| 11-13 19:05:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xe19f73… |
| 11-13 19:05:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x74b041… |
| 11-13 19:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x74b041… |
| 11-13 19:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0e3049… |
| 11-13 19:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0e02d9… |
| 11-13 19:01:30 | Fabulous-Trolley 0x2fcb…78cf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0e3049… |
| 11-13 19:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x0e3049… |
| 11-13 19:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x0e02d9… |
| 11-13 19:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x5654…8432 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xf20e19… |
| 11-13 19:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf20e19… |
| 11-13 19:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf20e19… |
| 11-13 18:54:54 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x0c6fc7… |
| 11-13 18:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xbb64…db86 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0c6fc7… |
| 11-13 18:40:19 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe75228… |
| 11-13 18:40:19 | Glittering-Skin 0xa287…416c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xe75228… |
| 11-13 18:38:58 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5f5d2b… |