Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$383
$75 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$2,127
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-16 16:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $1 | $107 | $106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $34 | $34 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $48 | $47 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $55 | $55 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-15 12:42 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 05-16 06:49 |
| Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-16 01:30 |
| Kindhearted-Checking 0x97f6…c184 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-16 04:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-15 13:36 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 13:58 |
| Pleasing-Poppy 0x7833…bc6a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 16:31 |
| Lined-Tutu 0xe5c7…4b1c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 06:05 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 11:00 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:31 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Juvenile-Teammate 0x1077…d9a0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 02:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:31:24 | Pleasing-Poppy 0x7833…bc6a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1e5e9b… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x864545… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xfadec9… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x6bcab0… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x4c5679… |
| 05-16 11:00:51 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb394f1… |
| 05-16 09:18:22 | Optimal-Mixture 0x0c39…320c | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xc01d9a… |
| 05-16 09:18:02 | Optimal-Mixture 0x0c39…320c | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xe6ffb1… |
| 05-16 06:49:54 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4b211c… |
| 05-16 06:05:53 | Lined-Tutu 0xe5c7…4b1c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x98fb92… |
| 05-16 04:46:05 | Kindhearted-Checking 0x97f6…c184 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x69d2e8… |
| 05-16 02:05:44 | Juvenile-Teammate 0x1077…d9a0 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x4dd764… |
| 05-16 01:30:46 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd18da7… |
| 05-16 00:00:40 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x5c43c7… |
| 05-15 21:03:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6c776d… |
| 05-15 16:56:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2d51bf… |
| 05-15 13:36:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1d0ecc… |
| 05-15 13:34:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7e40da… |
| 05-15 13:32:00 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfd9bbf… |
| 05-15 13:31:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5b8ba… |
| 05-15 12:51:40 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa60699… |
| 05-15 12:42:17 | Dense-Span 0x9eba…ef97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b2c38… |
| 05-15 12:42:10 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x0d2fa9… |
| 05-15 12:42:08 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x330386… |
| 05-13 04:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | SELL | 58 | 88¢ | $51 | 0x246b7b… |
| 05-13 03:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | SELL | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0x15e6ca… |
| 05-12 13:58:00 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x55d155… |