Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
open
Total volume
$194
$1,000 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$5,691
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-11-20
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-12 01:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $107
vs crowd: 1% YES on $193)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $107 | $107 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $1 | $75 | $74 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $0 | $107 | $107 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $67 | $67 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf37b…4eda | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-12 01:11 |
| Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 11-12 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 9 | 11-10 08:08 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 11-10 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5285…bd80 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 05:18 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-10 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 10:09 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-10 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-10 07:59 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-10 07:59 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-10 05:00 |
| Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-10 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x022c…2cd3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-12 01:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-12 01:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xccacef… |
| 11-12 01:11:46 | Well-Lit-Anise 0x09b4…e56d | Yes | SELL | 532 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xccacef… |
| 11-12 01:11:46 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0xccacef… |
| 11-12 01:11:46 | (anonymous) 0x022c…2cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xccacef… |
| 11-12 01:11:46 | (anonymous) 0xf37b…4eda | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xccacef… |
| 11-10 10:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb21d1… |
| 11-10 10:09:33 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb21d1… |
| 11-10 10:09:33 | Weird-Nylon 0x6864…294b | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xeb21d1… |
| 11-10 10:09:33 | (anonymous) 0xdc5b…750c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb21d1… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5ccdb… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5ccdb… |
| 11-10 08:08:15 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc5ccdb… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeab7d7… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xeab7d7… |
| 11-10 08:07:45 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeab7d7… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x88a7eb… |
| 11-10 08:07:13 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88a7eb… |
| 11-10 08:06:49 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xff564a… |
| 11-10 08:06:49 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff564a… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb677e4… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb677e4… |
| 11-10 08:05:25 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb677e4… |
| 11-10 08:05:24 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcfe4bc… |
| 11-10 08:05:24 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfe4bc… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x832489… |
| 11-10 08:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x832489… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10d17f… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710e22… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x10d17f… |
| 11-10 07:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xb3d4…1b26 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x710e22… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xdf87e4… |
| 11-10 07:51:51 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf87e4… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xe681…80eb | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x84ecad… |
| 11-10 07:50:22 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84ecad… |
| 11-10 05:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x5285…bd80 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf01d97… |
| 11-10 05:18:00 | (anonymous) 0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf01d97… |
| 11-10 05:00:49 | Helpful-Fatigues 0x9bb2…21cb | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9f39dd… |
| 11-10 05:00:49 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f39dd… |