Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$297
$1,002 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$1,006
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 09:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $32
vs crowd: 1% YES on $258)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $3 | $174 | $171 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $40 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Median | 5 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 9 | $2 | $83 | $81 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $20 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $42 | $42 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | +58 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-14 07:54 |
| Little-Derby 0xe579…7849 | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:42 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-13 08:21 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…ef29 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 23:53 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:02 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:11 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 06:18 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Boring-Introduction 0x644a…ffb2 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 00:49 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 20:08 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 06:39 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:00 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:34 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:07 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 09:47 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 12:58 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 07:26 |
| Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:14 |
| Average-Hardening 0x5bc0…0c1a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:03 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:04:04 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $37 | 0xd4b0fb… |
| 05-14 08:34:15 | Average-Hardening 0x5bc0…0c1a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb2fe1e… |
| 05-14 07:54:06 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xa42ef4… |
| 05-14 06:39:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf565e5… |
| 05-14 06:39:08 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x711336… |
| 05-14 00:54:00 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x992e98… |
| 05-14 00:50:25 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f60d6… |
| 05-14 00:49:40 | Boring-Introduction 0x644a…ffb2 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9ffdb7… |
| 05-14 00:46:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x712488… |
| 05-14 00:20:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x63aa2f… |
| 05-13 23:53:47 | (anonymous) 0x41d6…ef29 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4b2dd2… |
| 05-13 23:34:51 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3eb93e… |
| 05-13 22:06:53 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x9a80b5… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6d2055… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5a1c23… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c9ed9… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe0aac… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1c90c4… |
| 05-13 22:06:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9a3bf9… |
| 05-13 21:03:21 | Damp-Ligula 0x26d2…ed55 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x3f00a8… |
| 05-13 21:00:35 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x079545… |
| 05-13 20:08:33 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x3c7677… |
| 05-13 18:42:43 | Little-Derby 0xe579…7849 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa2ed17… |
| 05-13 12:58:17 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xeb78b1… |
| 05-13 08:21:19 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x865685… |
| 05-13 07:26:34 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xec4a17… |
| 05-13 07:24:25 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb605af… |
| 05-13 06:18:28 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf0e0c2… |
| 05-13 06:18:23 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x6a3d87… |
| 05-13 05:18:44 | (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xfee40f… |
| 05-13 05:14:32 | Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x4693a2… |
| 05-13 03:11:04 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x735613… |
| 05-13 01:02:11 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 27 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xb6fa06… |
| 05-13 00:07:26 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x578ea9… |
| 05-12 22:38:03 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb6b498… |
| 05-12 10:02:27 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3e9045… |
| 05-12 09:47:22 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x346bcc… |