Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$3,207
Trades
496
Unique wallets
135
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-10-22
First seen
2026-10-22
last 10-22 13:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.9¢
(top1%: 37% YES on $2.2K
vs crowd: 31% YES on $3.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 46 | $777 | $1.3K | $565 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $88 | $244 | $156 |
| 🐟 Fish | 39 | $55 | $377 | $322 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $17 | $78 | $61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 49 | $821 | $1.4K | $558 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $21 | $173 | $152 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $16 | $47 | $31 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $12 | $7 |
| Below median | 21 | $16 | $92 | $77 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 18 | $24 | $198 | $174 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $20 | $79 | $59 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $15 | $62 | $47 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | +622 | $96 | $96 | 35 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +518 | $245 | $245 | 9 | 10-22 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | +516 | $392 | $392 | 20 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +362 | $189 | $189 | 15 | 10-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | +350 | $97 | $97 | 26 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +329 | $185 | $185 | 20 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +155 | $125 | $125 | 9 | 10-22 12:58 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +154 | $70 | $70 | 14 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +145 | $85 | $85 | 13 | 10-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | +112 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2fab…7c31 | Down | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x250a…a60a | Down | +100 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +89 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Compassionate-Restriction-Junker 0x1b41…0b56 | Up | +71 | $38 | $38 | 12 | 10-22 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | +69 | $23 | $23 | 6 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Down | +64 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be9…508e | Up | +60 | $28 | $30 | 8 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Down | +60 | $35 | $35 | 14 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | +54 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | +50 | $15 | $15 | 10 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | +50 | $25 | $25 | 10 | 10-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | +50 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +48 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Down | +46 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-22 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +45 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 10-22 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +44 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…271c | Up | +43 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +41 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +37 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Up | +34 | $15 | $15 | 8 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x13a1…d233 | Up | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Up | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7877…7af0 | Up | +29 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-22 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +26 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xba67…4727 | Down | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x67bc…128a | Up | +25 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +25 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x61be…b030 | Down | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xefd3…2047 | Up | +24 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | +24 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | +22 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-22 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Scientific-Answer 0xc87a…2ddd | Down | +22 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | +21 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1e0…d240 | Down | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3 | Up | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Delightful-Liability 0xaf73…51ee | Down | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +20 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-22 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xa12a…0d17 | Down | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-22 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xcae2…da48 | Up | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-22 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd224…17c6 | Down | +17 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-22 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | +16 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-22 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3808…4c70 | Down | +15 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-22 12:59 |
| Selfish-Relation 0x85da…a99f | Down | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-22 12:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x67bc…128a | Down | +15 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa807…0380 | Up | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd77d…ee9c | Up | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-22 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 13:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Down | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9ca9af… |
| 10-22 13:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xba94…b12a | Down | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9ca9af… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x8786…9014 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x90b818… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x90b818… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x394770… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Up | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90b818… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x90b818… |
| 10-22 12:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x958f…c2b7 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x394770… |
| 10-22 12:59:17 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x844f2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x0f96…7a8a | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x844f2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x8441…bc73 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x844f2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x329074… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xaab800… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d | Down | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x4e8edc… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | BUY | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4ebbc3… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xec05d0… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x4ebbc3… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x13a1…d233 | Up | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaab800… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x2fab…7c31 | Down | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x329074… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec05d0… |
| 10-22 12:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f | Up | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4e8edc… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2de2a6… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1a8fcc… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | Direct-Curry 0x8d08…a945 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x1e0bfd… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e0bfd… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Down | BUY | 39 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x1a8fcc… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e0bfd… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0xefd3…2047 | Up | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2de2a6… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x2de2a6… |
| 10-22 12:59:14 | (anonymous) 0x67bc…128a | Up | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2de2a6… |
| 10-22 12:59:12 | (anonymous) 0xcae2…da48 | Down | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0xa6eeb7… |
| 10-22 12:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Down | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa6eeb7… |
| 10-22 12:59:12 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0xa6eeb7… |
| 10-22 12:59:12 | (anonymous) 0xefd3…2047 | Up | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x12fcb3… |
| 10-22 12:59:12 | Snappy-Technician 0xee4f…0a06 | Down | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x12fcb3… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Down | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x18fe8e… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | Selfish-Relation 0x85da…a99f | Down | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x18fe8e… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Up | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x18fe8e… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Up | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0818c2… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x0818c2… |
| 10-22 12:59:09 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0818c2… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdd6149… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xc97a31… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdd6f63… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x04b1…8554 | Up | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x474a88… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $25 | 0xdd6f63… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xf12525… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xefd3…2047 | Up | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb1cd2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x58716e… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x58716e… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc97a31… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101 | Up | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf12525… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 28 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x654b35… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x2e32…1b5d | Down | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x58716e… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x654b35… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Up | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x474a88… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | Subdued-Seaside 0x3550…96b3 | Down | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xdd6149… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x79a5…38ce | Down | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xb1cd2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x58716e… |
| 10-22 12:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb1cd2d… |
| 10-22 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc07c56… |
| 10-22 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xadf8d9… |
| 10-22 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc07c56… |
| 10-22 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc07c56… |
| 10-22 12:59:06 | (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xadf8d9… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfb6d8b… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xf7c9…7094 | Down | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x67b5be… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfb6d8b… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x67b5be… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x8e2a…9839 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe5c502… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x67b5be… |
| 10-22 12:59:05 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe5c502… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x0e58d0… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xb556…5047 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x42c728… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x655620… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf20f4f… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x0970…e369 | Up | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfd38d2… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x680329… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x3808…4c70 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9fb79d… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xea7ae7… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xba94…b12a | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x276fc8… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x61be…b030 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xaa5bfd… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xdd71…f6e8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc3fae6… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xfd70f5… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc3fae6… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x652460… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa5bfd… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x276fc8… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x3900d6… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xa645…ccb2 | Up | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9fb79d… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x48d09b… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x55e9…3b18 | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x655620… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x42c728… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x0ab0…4dd3 | Down | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xfd38d2… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xea7ae7… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x3900d6… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xae68…bf83 | Down | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0x22e7ae… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x250a…a60a | Down | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x680329… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xba94…b12a | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x9fb79d… |
| 10-22 12:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xfd70f5… |