Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 12?
open
Total volume
$1,689
$900 in 24h
Trades
105
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$37,664
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-11-12
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-11 23:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $6 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $12 | $61 | $49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $6 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $71 | $71 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | $78 | $77 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | +700 | $12 | $12 | 12 | 11-11 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | +590 | $585 | $585 | 10 | 11-11 23:50 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +140 | $135 | $135 | 3 | 11-10 15:34 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +140 | $136 | $136 | 3 | 11-11 20:48 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +120 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 11-11 23:41 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +105 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 11-11 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | +92 | $1 | $2 | 7 | 11-11 23:50 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | +91 | $89 | $501 | 35 | 11-11 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +79 | $78 | $78 | 6 | 11-11 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fe4…a662 | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 11-11 18:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +59 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 11-11 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 11-11 05:30 |
| Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | +31 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 11-10 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6d1…bd47 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 11-10 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-11 04:16 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-10 15:46 |
| Flat-Celebration 0x0eff…8897 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-10 16:16 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 17:08 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-11 04:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 23:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 106 | 99¢ | $105 | 0x957880… |
| 11-11 23:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x957880… |
| 11-11 23:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x957880… |
| 11-11 23:41:33 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x694ed9… |
| 11-11 23:41:33 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x694ed9… |
| 11-11 20:48:19 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x51acb8… |
| 11-11 20:48:19 | (anonymous) 0x3543…dd67 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x51acb8… |
| 11-11 18:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x8fe4…a662 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc9a1f9… |
| 11-11 18:01:00 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9a1f9… |
| 11-11 17:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x8fe4…a662 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x8acdc4… |
| 11-11 17:31:18 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8acdc4… |
| 11-11 17:08:15 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xbffd50… |
| 11-11 17:08:15 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbffd50… |
| 11-11 15:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 400 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xf9cdf2… |
| 11-11 15:32:10 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf9cdf2… |
| 11-11 08:13:06 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6ceaf9… |
| 11-11 08:13:06 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6ceaf9… |
| 11-11 08:06:31 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x18bb30… |
| 11-11 08:06:31 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x18bb30… |
| 11-11 07:58:33 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xdaa94b… |
| 11-11 07:58:33 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdaa94b… |
| 11-11 07:45:52 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9320f… |
| 11-11 07:45:52 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xe9320f… |
| 11-11 07:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x18f0c7… |
| 11-11 07:24:04 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x18f0c7… |
| 11-11 07:22:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x260824… |
| 11-11 07:22:18 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x260824… |
| 11-11 07:20:09 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xeefd18… |
| 11-11 07:20:09 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeefd18… |
| 11-11 06:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x55dcaa… |
| 11-11 06:39:04 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x55dcaa… |
| 11-11 06:24:49 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x807b31… |
| 11-11 06:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x807b31… |
| 11-11 05:30:27 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d5632… |
| 11-11 05:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x0d5632… |
| 11-11 05:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x0d5632… |
| 11-11 04:33:21 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xf05f05… |
| 11-11 04:33:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xf05f05… |
| 11-11 04:32:36 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xc26dc8… |
| 11-11 04:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xc26dc8… |
| 11-11 04:28:04 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33e9ed… |
| 11-11 04:28:04 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x33e9ed… |
| 11-11 04:16:10 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x70c1b2… |
| 11-11 04:16:10 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70c1b2… |
| 11-11 04:16:10 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70c1b2… |
| 11-11 02:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x92aa67… |
| 11-11 02:51:10 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x92aa67… |
| 11-11 02:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x29778a… |
| 11-11 02:50:40 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x29778a… |
| 11-11 02:16:21 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x20d505… |
| 11-11 02:16:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20d505… |
| 11-11 02:08:39 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa5679b… |
| 11-11 02:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa5679b… |
| 11-11 02:07:00 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x3ef6fd… |
| 11-11 02:07:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ef6fd… |
| 11-11 01:55:49 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xb2920e… |
| 11-11 01:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2920e… |
| 11-11 01:30:27 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x5a82f9… |
| 11-11 01:30:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x5a82f9… |
| 11-11 01:30:25 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf57ce0… |
| 11-11 01:30:25 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 28 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xf57ce0… |
| 11-11 01:10:10 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x3ad49e… |
| 11-11 01:10:10 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ad49e… |
| 11-11 01:04:31 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x9d61ea… |
| 11-11 01:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d61ea… |
| 11-10 18:33:52 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b4627… |
| 11-10 18:33:52 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b4627… |
| 11-10 17:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xe599b6… |
| 11-10 17:34:03 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xe599b6… |
| 11-10 17:33:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xab83e4… |
| 11-10 17:33:48 | (anonymous) 0x997c…251e | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xab83e4… |
| 11-10 16:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x008a50… |
| 11-10 16:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x480904… |
| 11-10 16:16:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x008a50… |
| 11-10 16:16:30 | Flat-Celebration 0x0eff…8897 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x480904… |
| 11-10 16:16:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x480904… |
| 11-10 15:46:19 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xe656d4… |
| 11-10 15:46:19 | Flat-Celebration 0x0eff…8897 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe656d4… |
| 11-10 15:46:19 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0xe656d4… |
| 11-10 15:37:33 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 90 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x5c0943… |
| 11-10 15:37:33 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x3c96ea… |
| 11-10 15:37:33 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 90 | 97¢ | $87 | 0x5c0943… |
| 11-10 15:37:33 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c96ea… |
| 11-10 15:37:28 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x40a18d… |
| 11-10 15:37:28 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x40a18d… |
| 11-10 15:35:30 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0f432e… |
| 11-10 15:35:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x0f432e… |
| 11-10 15:35:10 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xcf1a17… |
| 11-10 15:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcf1a17… |
| 11-10 15:35:09 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0x362b5e… |
| 11-10 15:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x926040… |
| 11-10 15:35:09 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x926040… |
| 11-10 15:35:09 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x362b5e… |
| 11-10 15:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a7050… |
| 11-10 15:34:46 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x5a7050… |
| 11-10 15:34:27 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xe5a996… |
| 11-10 15:34:27 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe5a996… |
| 11-10 15:34:13 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x8dc375… |
| 11-10 15:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x41ac…a95b | Yes | BUY | 54 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8dc375… |
| 11-10 15:12:33 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0xb5fc37… |