XRP Up or Down - October 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$412

Trades

96

Unique wallets

52

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

42¢

Latest NO mid

58¢

End date

2026-10-04

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-04 18:39

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Moral-Roof +110 (anon) +28 (anon) +26 (anon) +26 (anon) +20 (anon) +20 (anon) +18 (anon) +17

NO holders

(anon) +51 Dutiful-Psychologist +50 (anon) +36 Polite-Integration +25 Impressionable-Crust +20 (anon) +15 Stiff-Radiator +15 Stale-Adviser +14

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -6.6¢ (top1%: 8% YES on $238 vs crowd: 14% YES on $376)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	21	$32	$220	$188
🐬 Dolphin	11	$6	$68	$62
🐟 Fish	13	$2	$30	$28
🦐 Shrimp	7	$15	$3	+$12

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	20	$19	$220	$201
🏆 Top 5%	7	$15	$22	$7
✅ Top 10%	2	$10	$3	+$7
Median	2	—	$8	$8
Below median	8	$4	$30	$26
⚠️ Bottom 10%	10	$5	$36	$31
🔻 Bottom 5%	3	$1	$2	$1

Wallet leaderboard (54) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+110	$1	$1	10	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279	Down	+51	$50	$50	1	10-04 18:39
Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f	Down	+50	$50	$50	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	Down	+36	$36	$36	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e	Up	+28	$2	$2	2	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x0d96…22f0	Up	+26	$10	$10	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e	Up	+26	$0	$0	1	10-04 18:39
Polite-Integration 0x8af2…1c1c	Down	+25	$24	$24	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x0c8e…acbf	Up	+20	$0	$0	4	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x5fc0…b227	Up	+20	$0	$0	2	10-04 18:39
Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae	Down	+20	$18	$18	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b	Up	+18	$14	$14	1	10-04 18:36
(anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb	Up	+17	$1	$1	3	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x26a3…dfa5	Down	+15	$15	$15	3	10-04 18:39
Stiff-Radiator 0x9919…0a5d	Down	+15	$14	$14	2	10-04 18:39
Stale-Adviser 0xbeb4…da45	Down	+14	$14	$14	3	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb	Down	+13	$9	$9	2	10-04 18:37
Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf	Down	+12	$8	$8	2	10-04 18:38
Concrete-Grape 0xaaab…b2fc	Up	+10	$0	$0	3	10-04 18:39
Next-Maggot 0x84d0…035a	Down	+10	$8	$8	1	10-04 18:38
Physical-Chipmunk 0x0899…459e	Down	+10	$10	$10	2	10-04 18:39
Misguided-Midcourse 0x9fac…05cf	Down	+8	$6	$6	3	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+8	$3	$3	4	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb	Up	+7	$0	$0	2	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	Up	+6	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39	Up	+5	$2	$5	3	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xf7c9…7094	Down	+5	$5	$5	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x101b…ebbe	Down	+5	$5	$5	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0	Up	+5	$3	$3	1	10-04 18:34
Amusing-Inspection 0xcfd9…ab3f	Up	+5	$3	$3	1	10-04 18:35
Fixed-Pit 0x605b…5d60	Down	+5	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:35
(anonymous) 0xdb77…b630	Down	+5	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:34
(anonymous) 0x5cd4…e18d	Down	+5	$5	$5	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x4ddb…2314	Down	+5	$5	$5	1	10-04 18:39
Complete-Characterization 0x3f96…0b8a	Down	+5	$2	$2	2	10-04 18:35
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Up	+4	$3	$3	1	10-04 18:36
(anonymous) 0xa791…5a44	Up	+3	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:35
(anonymous) 0x53d6…d07a	Up	+3	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x11a5…5868	Down	+3	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e	Up	+3	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:38
Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf	Up	+3	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:36
(anonymous) 0x377e…7b7d	Up	+3	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:37
(anonymous) 0xcc60…ce27	Up	+2	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:38
Black-Park 0x337b…7e26	Up	+2	$0	$0	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0xe8df…b365	Down	+2	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:38
(anonymous) 0xa27f…0ce8	Up	+2	$1	$1	1	10-04 17:03
Fond-Assurance 0xf7e3…4a3b	Down	+2	$1	$1	1	10-04 17:03
Similar-Propane 0xe83a…8355	Up	+2	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:35
(anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe	Up	+2	$0	$0	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xd8df…c3dc	Down	+2	$2	$2	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0xe8df…b365	Up	+1	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:36
Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f	Down	+1	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:39
Content-Gokart 0xd046…0998	Down	+1	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:39
(anonymous) 0x959f…fdc0	Down	+1	$1	$1	1	10-04 18:39