Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on May 8?
open
Total volume
$456
$889 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,808
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $1 | $416 | $415 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $31 | $31 |
| Median | 10 | — | $357 | $357 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +109 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-07 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaff9…5c82 | Yes | +107 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:01 |
| Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-06 16:12 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +61 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 05-07 07:38 |
| Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-07 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-07 13:46 |
| Superior-Moonlight 0xd42c…7f14 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-07 05:54 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 10:54 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 07:39 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-07 09:15 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 13:46 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:46 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:25 |
| Free-Hacksaw-Dependency 0x9400…1f3d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 09:44 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 04:58 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 13:46:28 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc442c1… |
| 05-07 13:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x034ef6… |
| 05-07 13:46:19 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaf90df… |
| 05-07 13:46:19 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9e852b… |
| 05-07 13:46:19 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x836ce5… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c8cfb… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x679df6… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa615b… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd81a0c… |
| 05-07 11:25:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x073acb… |
| 05-07 10:54:25 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x21c3ad… |
| 05-07 10:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x29fdf5… |
| 05-07 10:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x53e4cb… |
| 05-07 10:01:06 | (anonymous) 0xaff9…5c82 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xed79e4… |
| 05-07 09:44:11 | Free-Hacksaw-Dependency 0x9400…1f3d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x397901… |
| 05-07 09:35:10 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 43 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x68a4ca… |
| 05-07 09:15:38 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x405665… |
| 05-07 08:09:51 | Fancy-Capability 0x33b2…b3c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d4827… |
| 05-07 07:39:47 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xde4fc7… |
| 05-07 07:38:25 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x913550… |
| 05-07 07:38:18 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x61cbe1… |
| 05-07 05:54:24 | Superior-Moonlight 0xd42c…7f14 | No | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xf918d8… |
| 05-07 04:58:07 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc869f1… |
| 05-07 04:53:09 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0x3c0a97… |
| 05-07 00:00:53 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73f4b5… |
| 05-06 16:12:24 | Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x36d665… |