Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$1,176
Trades
24
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 15:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $541 | $541 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | — | $631 | $631 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $655 | $655 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 3 | — | $447 | $447 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $60 | $60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +534 | $532 | $532 | 1 | 05-12 10:47 |
| Little-Toy 0xb192…14dd | No | +394 | $393 | $393 | 1 | 05-12 10:47 |
| Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | +109 | $109 | $109 | 1 | 05-12 10:17 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-12 04:00 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Plump-Plowman 0x698a…e754 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 02:54 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 15:28 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 15:43:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9a6fa… |
| 05-12 15:28:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xcfc89e… |
| 05-12 10:47:38 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 534 | 100¢ | $532 | 0xe39c19… |
| 05-12 10:47:29 | Little-Toy 0xb192…14dd | No | BUY | 394 | 100¢ | $393 | 0x134027… |
| 05-12 10:22:38 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xc52843… |
| 05-12 10:17:34 | Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | BUY | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xac68aa… |
| 05-12 04:00:40 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xf6840c… |
| 05-12 03:48:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0dafc9… |
| 05-12 03:48:57 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cf280… |
| 05-12 03:48:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a9c9f… |
| 05-12 03:48:46 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71f781… |
| 05-12 03:48:46 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf263a… |
| 05-12 03:48:46 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e6f3d… |
| 05-12 03:48:46 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x354da0… |
| 05-12 03:40:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea557… |
| 05-12 03:40:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a1c43… |
| 05-12 02:54:19 | Plump-Plowman 0x698a…e754 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x1ab5bd… |
| 05-12 02:33:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85ed87… |
| 05-11 10:17:59 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x7545c8… |
| 05-11 10:17:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf101be… |
| 05-11 09:34:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bc840… |
| 05-11 07:05:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f85ad… |
| 05-10 09:02:24 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa73b24… |
| 05-10 04:22:15 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2653b3… |