XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$732

Trades

136

Unique wallets

40

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

56¢

Latest NO mid

44¢

End date

2026-10-12

First seen

2026-10-12

last 10-12 16:30

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Illiterate-Counterforce +127 (anon) +102 Descriptive-Spectrograph +86 (anon) +74 (anon) +59 Agile-Spacing +50 (anon) +45 (anon) +36

NO holders

Illiterate-Counterforce +270 (anon) +98 (anon) +59 (anon) +54 (anon) +41 (anon) +35 (anon) +27 Periodic-Scrap +21

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -8.9¢ (top1%: 34% YES on $558 vs crowd: 43% YES on $736)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	26	$275	$396	$121
🐬 Dolphin	4	$13	—	+$13
🐟 Fish	6	$26	$16	+$10
🦐 Shrimp	4	$5	$6	$1

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	25	$192	$366	$174
🏆 Top 5%	3	$17	$14	+$3
Below median	5	$7	$6	+$1
⚠️ Bottom 10%	1	$0	—	+$0
🔻 Bottom 5%	3	$14	$2	+$11
💀 Bottom 1%	3	$89	$29	+$60

Wallet leaderboard (43) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb	Down	+270	$188	$188	17	10-12 16:27
Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb	Up	+127	$74	$74	4	10-12 16:25
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Up	+102	$48	$48	7	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+98	$39	$39	5	10-12 16:24
Descriptive-Spectrograph 0x672c…881b	Up	+86	$53	$53	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Up	+74	$36	$36	7	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212	Up	+59	$15	$15	13	10-12 16:28
(anonymous) 0x8441…bc73	Down	+59	$30	$30	5	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+54	$25	$25	4	10-12 16:27
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Up	+50	$15	$15	4	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x093d…220e	Up	+45	$14	$14	10	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb	Down	+41	$18	$18	3	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e	Up	+36	$9	$9	2	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	Down	+35	$20	$20	2	10-12 16:26
(anonymous) 0x093d…220e	Down	+27	$13	$13	6	10-12 16:27
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Down	+21	$11	$11	4	10-12 16:27
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	Down	+19	$6	$6	2	10-12 16:26
(anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9	Down	+18	$7	$7	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x4233…6aae	Up	+18	$4	$4	2	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb	Up	+18	$4	$4	1	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x297e…7728	Up	+18	$10	$10	1	10-12 16:22
(anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae	Down	+17	$7	$7	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e	Up	+16	$5	$5	1	10-12 16:27
Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae	Down	+15	$14	$14	1	10-12 16:28
(anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3	Up	+15	$1	$1	1	10-12 16:28
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+11	$0	$0	2	10-12 16:28
Spectacular-Distance 0x1246…2324	Up	+9	$4	$4	2	10-12 16:26
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	Down	+9	$9	$9	1	10-12 16:28
Phony-Grandparent 0x3be0…9b50	Up	+8	$4	$4	2	10-12 16:26
(anonymous) 0x2a83…5496	Down	+6	$3	$3	1	10-12 16:17
Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50	Down	+6	$4	$4	1	10-12 16:27
(anonymous) 0x3595…4272	Up	+5	$4	$4	1	10-12 16:22
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b	Up	+5	$3	$3	1	10-12 16:25
(anonymous) 0xe91f…3438	Down	+5	$2	$2	1	10-12 16:25
(anonymous) 0x479e…3804	Down	+5	$3	$3	1	10-12 16:26
Daring-Platter 0x1b70…7fe2	Up	+5	$0	$0	2	10-12 16:28
Vivacious-Prince 0xcfa7…f861	Up	+5	$4	$4	1	10-12 16:21
Wet-Trim 0x6049…f14f	Down	+5	$5	$5	1	10-12 16:30
(anonymous) 0x7d75…eb9f	Up	+3	$2	$2	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb	Down	+3	$1	$1	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x26ed…c0f0	Down	+3	$1	$1	1	10-12 16:24
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Down	+2	$2	$2	1	10-12 16:28
Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d	Down	+1	-$1	$8	2	10-12 16:27