Will the lowest temperature in London be 2°C or below on May 7?
No won
Total volume
$339
Trades
23
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 14:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | — | $112 | $112 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $53 | $53 |
| Median | 8 | — | $95 | $95 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | +45 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-07 12:50 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 06:18 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 23:52 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 10:14 |
| Simple-Prophet 0x8e72…ea48 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-07 07:09 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 16:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 09:03 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 04:08 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 07:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 14:14:18 | Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5346d0… |
| 05-07 12:50:39 | Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0x469318… |
| 05-07 11:35:59 | (anonymous) 0x377c…b867 | No | SELL | 155 | 100¢ | $155 | 0xd8652f… |
| 05-07 10:14:57 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x1e94c6… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ca169… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7544ce… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b53f6… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa403c… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1da684… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x77782f… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43df86… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x544cd5… |
| 05-07 09:10:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e6933… |
| 05-07 09:03:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5e9a42… |
| 05-07 08:57:36 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c98e4… |
| 05-07 08:29:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e8631… |
| 05-07 07:09:36 | Simple-Prophet 0x8e72…ea48 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x6d1e3b… |
| 05-07 07:08:24 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xab41a3… |
| 05-07 06:48:48 | Shabby-Ginger 0x4d36…cbfa | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1a492b… |
| 05-07 06:18:56 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x636cdc… |
| 05-07 04:08:04 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xedec04… |
| 05-06 23:52:04 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x36d235… |
| 05-06 16:27:57 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa18033… |