Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on May 9?
No won
Total volume
$558
Trades
29
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 08:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $12 | $446 | $434 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $215 | $213 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $196 | $196 |
| Median | 7 | — | $89 | $89 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $23 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +280 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-08 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a3e…f8c2 | Yes | +278 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:04 |
| Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | +217 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 05-08 07:00 |
| Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:04 |
| Internal-Pigpen 0x953f…7518 | No | +120 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 05-08 22:51 |
| Orange-Scrambled 0x66c6…c7bf | Yes | +112 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 22:06 |
| Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | +97 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:04 |
| Staid-Milepost 0x6d58…17a9 | Yes | +73 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:24 |
| Enraged-Nightingale 0xe54b…522a | Yes | +67 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-09 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-09 06:24 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-08 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-08 14:10 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-08 12:59 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 19:36 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:49 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Carefree-Depot 0x4d57…419c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 14:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 21:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 08:34:49 | (anonymous) 0x60be…1b99 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x3375d6… |
| 05-09 07:04:48 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x11cb0f… |
| 05-09 06:24:49 | (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x36fb26… |
| 05-09 06:24:46 | Staid-Milepost 0x6d58…17a9 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf08b9f… |
| 05-09 06:04:52 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x71b854… |
| 05-09 06:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x43665f… |
| 05-09 06:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x6a3e…f8c2 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdccb14… |
| 05-09 06:04:24 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa058b5… |
| 05-09 02:40:23 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x8a1f54… |
| 05-09 00:49:59 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3f2819… |
| 05-08 22:51:48 | Internal-Pigpen 0x953f…7518 | No | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $118 | 0xbab66f… |
| 05-08 22:06:43 | Orange-Scrambled 0x66c6…c7bf | Yes | BUY | 112 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc376b1… |
| 05-08 21:31:29 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa526d6… |
| 05-08 19:36:42 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x664212… |
| 05-08 14:35:18 | Carefree-Depot 0x4d57…419c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8475ae… |
| 05-08 14:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x9e803c… |
| 05-08 13:49:48 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1c4243… |
| 05-08 12:59:54 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5d46da… |
| 05-08 12:24:58 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe362fb… |
| 05-08 10:13:34 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x53af98… |
| 05-08 09:25:56 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc0e9ac… |
| 05-08 09:24:32 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 155 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0b5b3b… |
| 05-08 09:20:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c1caa… |
| 05-08 09:20:48 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d027f… |
| 05-08 08:04:44 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xe27afc… |
| 05-08 07:00:24 | Thankful-Armor 0x96e5…1d85 | No | BUY | 217 | 99¢ | $215 | 0xa80b7e… |
| 05-07 21:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xfb4f6f… |
| 05-07 17:31:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4554b0… |
| 05-07 13:56:25 | Enraged-Nightingale 0xe54b…522a | Yes | BUY | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc669a9… |