Useless-Impropriety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved

Trades

566

lifetime

Volume

$5.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-09 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Sports

15% 0% $-0

Other

14% 100% +$1

Politics

8% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+16	$8	55¢	$9	+$1	06-04 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	28	$195	134	134	+0	open	—	03-18 19:00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$110	73	73	+0	open	—	03-18 19:13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$92	48	48	+0	No	$-0	03-18 22:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	13	$88	77	77	+0	Yes	$-0	02-19 05:53
GTA VI released before June 2026?	10	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	03-04 10:44
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	02-28 02:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	02-28 20:24
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 21:03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	02-23 16:54
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	03-12 17:49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$51	40	40	+0	open	—	02-16 16:17
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$50	32	32	+0	open	—	03-06 08:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	02-05 14:01
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-11 01:31
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$44	35	35	+0	open	—	03-19 13:25
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	7	$41	35	35	+0	open	—	02-01 13:48
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	5	$38	22	22	+0	No	+$0	02-23 16:25
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	02-03 17:22
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$37	39	0	+39	open	—	03-14 20:46
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	03-06 22:01
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-07 00:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	03-15 11:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	02-21 00:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$30	18	18	+0	open	—	02-09 12:00
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-10 01:58
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	06-08 07:08
bitcoin up or down march 3 5pm et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 22:59
bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 16:03
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-11 21:53
bitcoin up or down march 6 12pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:52:39	mlb mil oak 2026 06 08	Athletics	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc18ce8…
06-08 07:08:34	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x396402…
06-08 04:02:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xb6a40b…
06-07 20:59:10	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xaf8796…
06-07 20:30:22	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0x805300…
06-06 04:05:21	mlb nym sd 2026 06 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	23	24¢	$6	0x013964…
06-06 02:35:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	Over	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd3d39e…
06-06 02:20:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 210pt5	Over	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xddbb08…
06-04 20:34:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xbfbdfc…
06-04 00:39:27	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x842d93…
06-01 07:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x638b25…
05-31 21:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfa6168…
05-31 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc30929…
05-31 19:07:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71e2e7…
05-30 10:01:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1dd67c…
05-29 21:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6085a4…
05-29 07:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22309c…
05-29 03:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4fd01e…
05-28 20:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x22f950…
05-28 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5b409f…
05-27 21:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4534f1…
05-27 01:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x979b11…
05-25 19:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x70a06a…
05-23 22:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x41e957…
05-22 11:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb0522c…
05-21 19:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf8aa0a…
05-20 11:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x945332…
05-20 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe45f7d…
05-19 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x838c29…
05-19 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc57164…
05-19 03:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xab2237…
05-19 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f86d3…
05-18 11:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf89708…
05-18 07:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa8a87e…
05-18 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa76d7e…
05-17 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f31b1…
05-17 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2edd14…
05-17 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2fe32d…
05-17 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5b03f4…
05-16 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc2b9e6…
05-15 17:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x417aa4…
05-15 12:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x486305…
05-15 09:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x58090c…
05-15 08:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x880923…
05-15 06:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa4831f…
05-15 04:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6aa71d…
05-15 02:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaf2427…
05-15 00:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x216d9a…
05-14 19:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda8ae9…
05-14 13:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xdfb5fa…
05-14 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x868f13…
05-14 09:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad0e7e…
05-14 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x428a20…
05-13 21:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1cfc94…
05-13 17:03:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x2d81a4…
05-13 16:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf9b1f1…
04-29 12:48:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xb2313e…
04-29 11:43:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x8bb01b…
04-26 04:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a2782…
04-26 00:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1e6a91…
04-25 20:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb4dcbc…
04-25 13:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe02c3b…
04-25 12:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8d986d…
04-25 05:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef12d7…
04-24 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcd7972…
04-24 16:51:00	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x57e9af…
04-24 10:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf0b7d…
04-23 10:50:50	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x6f6ff1…
04-23 05:57:14	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x4768c2…
04-23 03:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc4c16b…
04-23 00:56:02	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6a6fe1…
04-22 22:52:56	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7b07ae…
04-22 21:52:00	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5171e1…
04-22 18:57:26	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfe9cee…
04-22 16:50:12	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x050465…
04-21 21:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x90ea5d…
04-21 19:50:08	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6a5c8b…
04-21 12:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf6b64…
04-21 10:50:46	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31c965…
04-21 09:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2079d4…
04-21 07:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb65c02…
04-21 06:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb922a7…
04-21 01:56:54	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x034f65…
04-21 00:50:58	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc1ffbc…
04-20 21:50:12	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeabf37…
04-20 19:57:28	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xc71b9c…
04-20 16:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa4d7…
04-20 13:57:54	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x7b9e0c…
04-20 13:55:10	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5e49e6…
04-20 08:54:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xce317b…
04-15 06:57:20	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x44d261…
04-15 02:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74214b…
04-14 23:52:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7776ca…
04-14 21:57:46	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dd844…
04-14 16:51:44	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0d4173…
04-14 14:52:55	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x15a68e…
04-14 13:50:11	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaf723b…
04-14 08:56:01	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcb4b81…
04-14 06:50:27	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x005c0b…
04-14 01:51:45	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x22f87f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	278	$11.6K	2,304	06-01 08:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	276	$699.8K	97,950	06-01 07:52
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	273	$800	330	06-01 06:54
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	257	$39.4K	15,232	06-01 07:43
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	245	$1.13K	381	06-01 07:00
Adventurous-Marksman 0x0084…4c4f	236	$76.6K	242	06-01 07:50
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	236	$2.88K	268	05-31 20:08
Clueless-Frog 0x3b40…494c	235	$2.75K	275	05-31 20:08