Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$908
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$549
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 07-16 13:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
92%
Politics
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -317 $-295 94¢ $-299 $-5 07-16 13:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -59 $-56 96¢ $-57 $-0 07-16 13:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-41 48¢ $-48 $-7 07-16 13:20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -51 $-47 92¢ $-47 +$0 07-16 13:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-32 82¢ $-31 +$1 07-16 13:21
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-31 88¢ $-30 +$1 07-16 13:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -19 $-17 88¢ $-17 $-0 07-16 13:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -18 $-12 67¢ $-12 +$0 07-16 13:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -22 $-8 26¢ $-6 +$2 06-03 04:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-4 11¢ $-2 +$2 06-03 04:54