Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$273

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 09-01 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

38% 7% -$6

Politics

37% 0% -$1

Crypto

19% 44% -$11

Sports

4% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+0	$0	17¢	$0	$0	06-20 05:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	36	$61	38	38	+0	Yes	-$3	07-24 01:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	39	$48	34	33	+1	Yes	$0	06-14 09:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	06-27 13:45
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	9	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	06-26 13:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$12	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-14 04:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	09-01 14:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 09:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	09-01 14:42
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	6	$5	113	113	+0	No	-$1	06-27 12:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	09-01 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:15 UTC	2	$4	54	0	+54	Down	-$4	06-06 00:19
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	4	$4	3	2	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 14:54
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-27 13:56
bitcoin above 62k on june 25 2026	4	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	11	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-24 15:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	3	$3	3	1	+3	Up	+$0	07-06 06:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 02:00 UTC	3	$3	4	0	+3	Down	+$1	06-06 02:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$3	11	11	+1	No	$0	05-27 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:20 UTC	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	07-17 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 00:05 UTC	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	-$1	06-06 00:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	3	$3	3	1	+1	No	-$1	05-12 06:06
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$3	35	35	+0	No	-$1	06-30 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 03:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	07-24 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 07:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	07-24 07:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	5	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	07-24 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	2	$2	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	07-13 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:35 UTC	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	-$1	07-13 05:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 14:42:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x9e43e1…
09-01 14:42:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x77cfe0…
09-01 14:42:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xdd4e5f…
07-28 10:41:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x18b3c8…
07-28 09:40:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x26dac9…
07-28 09:35:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x414506…
07-28 09:31:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa91b66…
07-24 10:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xadae48…
07-24 10:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9a762a…
07-24 07:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x06666a…
07-24 07:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1979d4…
07-24 05:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf0c82d…
07-24 03:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc24086…
07-24 03:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb37c3d…
07-24 01:28:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x6737e4…
07-24 01:28:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe18833…
07-17 16:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb5b2aa…
07-17 16:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd23add…
07-13 06:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x579809…
07-13 06:08:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba593a…
07-13 05:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53be0e…
07-13 05:42:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe09cbd…
07-13 05:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5f22b9…
07-13 05:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6eebed…
07-13 04:04:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0xe354e5…
07-13 04:04:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4bba93…
07-13 04:03:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb25edb…
07-10 07:22:19	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x03f6fb…
07-10 07:22:07	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1be2dc…
07-10 07:21:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf38375…
07-07 15:04:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x13f238…
07-07 12:44:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x528246…
07-07 12:44:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x53d3f6…
07-07 12:44:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x88ba98…
07-07 12:44:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x537262…
07-07 12:43:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x374033…
07-07 12:43:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2ed871…
07-07 12:43:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4f42d7…
07-07 12:43:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7d392…
07-07 12:43:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa30f4a…
07-07 12:43:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6f1d89…
07-07 12:43:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe5905b…
07-07 12:43:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0a6619…
07-07 12:42:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7eff7a…
07-07 12:42:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x65a7dd…
07-07 12:42:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x17fd31…
07-07 12:42:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9648f6…
07-07 12:42:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbb40df…
07-07 12:42:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa9d8a6…
07-07 12:42:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc67d75…
07-07 12:42:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x288374…
07-07 12:41:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x71f024…
07-07 12:41:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9b6b6f…
07-07 12:41:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xed860a…
07-07 12:41:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7a000b…
07-07 12:41:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa3168c…
07-07 12:41:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0a8dea…
07-07 12:41:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcb3780…
07-07 12:40:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2cb2c5…
07-07 12:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x11d1c5…
07-07 12:39:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c42c4…
07-06 06:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$0	0x072818…
07-06 06:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcf397d…
07-06 06:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x115bab…
07-01 00:37:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe80821…
06-30 23:53:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd033ee…
06-30 23:44:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xa99741…
06-30 23:41:25	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb4349c…
06-30 23:40:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdeed88…
06-30 23:39:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xe0164c…
06-30 23:39:41	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xd84298…
06-27 14:38:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xdf1e39…
06-27 14:38:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x689031…
06-27 14:37:56	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x100afe…
06-27 14:37:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0e5f41…
06-27 14:17:23	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0c9dec…
06-27 13:57:26	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x703481…
06-27 13:56:31	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x812205…
06-27 13:56:17	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1c2a6a…
06-27 13:49:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9c9853…
06-27 13:47:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdb663b…
06-27 13:45:38	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x78a06b…
06-27 13:45:19	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0f4113…
06-27 12:38:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe66f79…
06-27 12:35:22	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x593c80…
06-27 12:33:16	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x43fd09…
06-27 12:32:47	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd59338…
06-27 12:21:16	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd1f744…
06-27 12:19:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb9517e…
06-27 11:50:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xde469a…
06-26 13:48:40	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe67072…
06-26 13:48:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe94eb8…
06-26 13:47:55	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1ef97…
06-26 13:47:39	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x082122…
06-25 06:33:34	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x887d9f…
06-25 06:33:23	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7ec0fc…
06-25 06:20:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2db94c…
06-25 06:20:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x35aa7b…
06-25 06:19:52	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa79583…
06-25 06:19:43	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26dcab…