Jittery-Shootdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$334

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	21	$21	19	18	+2	open	—	02-10 02:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 06:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-27 08:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	07-21 03:21
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	06-15 08:36
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 04:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-06 03:46
ebola pandemic in 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 04:37
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 03:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 08:45
will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-11 06:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 03:49
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 09:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 03:39
israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 03:41
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:08
dc airport ground stop lifted today	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:07
will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 08:25
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 06:49
trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 08:33
untitled market 1 20260708143739936	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	07-18 04:37
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-16 02:03
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	01-31 03:16
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-30 02:49
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-16 08:05
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:27
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:33:49	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xff3d45…
07-25 08:20:27	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3cd01…
07-24 10:18:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8f52f…
07-24 09:56:00	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x135915…
07-23 06:12:09	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55470f…
07-23 03:51:03	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1580d…
07-21 03:21:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf85e82…
07-20 07:06:19	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9fd265…
07-20 06:53:55	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x141766…
07-18 04:37:22	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x272716…
07-18 04:37:01	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0b668…
07-18 03:20:48	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x497fae…
07-18 03:20:19	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd890d1…
07-17 02:37:46	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5fe3ac…
07-17 02:36:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d68b8…
07-17 02:22:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x90de79…
07-17 02:20:33	untitled market 1 20260708143739936	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xadaf75…
07-16 01:55:16	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66be7f…
07-16 01:42:17	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d57dd…
07-15 03:54:20	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 3 2026 20260709223851530	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9aa840…
07-15 03:53:50	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0f5e1…
07-15 03:24:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdecffc…
07-15 03:23:08	will lebron sign his next nba contract by august 3 2026 20260709223851530	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x306e60…
07-14 02:57:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb367c2…
07-14 02:47:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe898d6…
07-13 07:17:11	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b2789…
07-13 06:57:59	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3964f1…
07-11 06:19:35	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdb87b9…
07-11 06:17:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x899594…
07-11 04:37:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbaa5d2…
07-11 04:36:34	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7f587…
07-10 03:19:52	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x500d9f…
07-10 03:19:23	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x345793…
07-10 03:05:50	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14e6e1…
07-10 03:05:05	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x073883…
07-09 01:56:58	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe9df31…
07-09 01:55:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf3d6f8…
07-09 01:44:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d3b20…
07-09 01:44:17	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb457e…
07-08 03:21:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa79f46…
07-08 03:01:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4c073…
07-07 02:44:04	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfba3a5…
07-07 02:42:35	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdd5098…
07-07 02:36:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x01c3ac…
07-07 02:34:16	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b76dd…
07-06 03:46:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37b8c3…
07-06 03:33:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58a440…
07-04 02:35:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x64389d…
07-04 02:22:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xba94ce…
07-03 08:51:59	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcbc278…
07-03 03:09:25	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa2f622…
07-02 04:03:14	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdf71f8…
07-02 03:40:02	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x96b96d…
07-01 02:08:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2e878a…
07-01 01:57:35	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb7a541…
06-30 03:41:16	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbae044…
06-30 03:21:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa5ecfa…
06-27 02:46:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x653830…
06-27 02:40:31	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x972938…
06-26 09:58:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d2224…
06-26 09:45:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f064b…
06-25 10:22:37	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e436f…
06-25 10:22:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c20f8…
06-25 10:09:53	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5de13f…
06-25 10:09:10	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15ba3e…
06-24 09:53:53	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x011161…
06-24 09:47:23	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5160e7…
06-23 08:57:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88ae9b…
06-23 08:46:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x904844…
06-22 06:30:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa945d4…
06-22 04:59:20	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24bb15…
06-21 09:29:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd623ca…
06-21 09:29:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8fc7c7…
06-21 09:19:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe2bb0f…
06-21 09:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaef11e…
06-18 09:12:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3b11a7…
06-18 08:53:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x39ec20…
06-17 07:47:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2450e8…
06-17 07:46:13	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa64d44…
06-17 07:39:19	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28a47b…
06-17 07:38:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd5b3ec…
06-16 08:05:54	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x20a7f8…
06-16 08:05:33	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeee2f6…
06-16 07:15:21	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedd871…
06-16 07:13:43	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd58172…
06-15 08:36:42	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcff676…
06-15 08:36:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbb090d…
06-15 08:25:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc242…
06-13 07:11:01	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73f97c…
06-12 08:25:52	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5f8027…
06-12 08:25:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x026d90…
06-12 08:09:25	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x604c2e…
06-12 08:08:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b4643…
06-11 08:26:25	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe29721…
06-11 08:25:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64714a…
06-11 08:10:37	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 150 high 20260608191407797	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xadfe57…
06-11 08:09:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d1404…
06-10 08:35:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa16c7b…
06-10 08:14:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9619ed…
06-09 07:49:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x182ca3…