Realized P&L (30d)
+$175
Unrealized P&L
+$548
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (30d)
95
Trades (30d)
624
1,098 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10.6K
$19.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$3.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-07 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
94% 40% +$303
Tech
4% 67% +$124
Sports
1% 50% +$36
Crypto
0% — —
Politics
0% 25% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +254 $211 94¢ $239 +$28 10-26 12:12
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No +250 $216 92¢ $231 +$15 11-05 10:53
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? Yes +250 $186 91¢ $228 +$42 11-01 11:18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +200 $107 95¢ $190 +$82 10-14 13:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027? No +208 $177 85¢ $177 +$0 11-05 10:53
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $135 94¢ $156 +$20 09-28 15:57
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? Yes +200 $41 75¢ $150 +$109 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +157 $129 92¢ $145 +$16 10-26 12:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +150 $115 96¢ $143 +$28 10-08 10:41
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? No +138 $115 100¢ $138 +$22 11-06 19:49
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? No — +146 $128 88¢ $127 $0 11-01 11:15
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? No +110 $58 96¢ $106 +$47 10-22 19:22
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +118 $41 83¢ $98 +$56 10-18 12:01
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +146 $111 64¢ $94 -$17 10-16 04:11
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$5 10-31 19:19
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? No +100 $54 91¢ $91 +$37 10-15 19:05
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $65 88¢ $88 +$22 10-08 10:29
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 86¢ $86 -$4 11-06 02:12
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 82¢ $82 -$5 11-01 11:23
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +100 $75 80¢ $80 +$6 10-10 20:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? No +80 $68 96¢ $77 +$10 10-15 19:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +77 $55 88¢ $68 +$13 10-26 13:06
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No +100 $70 68¢ $68 -$2 10-21 22:21
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $65 87¢ $67 +$2 11-04 14:38
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +65 $59 92¢ $60 +$0 11-01 11:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? Yes +80 $48 74¢ $60 +$12 10-23 10:16
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? No +100 $86 60¢ $60 -$27 10-21 22:21
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31? Yes +166 $42 36¢ $59 +$17 11-01 11:24
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-26 14:36
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027? No +77 $42 74¢ $57 +$15 10-26 12:00