Realized P&L (90d)
+$507
Unrealized P&L
+$543
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved (90d)
145
Trades (90d)
1,008
1,008 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.5K
$18.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$3.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-06 10:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Other
94% 40% +$303
Tech
4% 67% +$124
Sports
1% 50% +$36
Crypto
0% — —
Politics
0% 25% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? No +254 $211 94¢ $239 +$28 10-26 12:12
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? Yes +250 $186 92¢ $231 +$44 11-01 11:18
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? No +250 $216 91¢ $228 +$12 11-05 10:53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +200 $107 95¢ $190 +$83 10-14 13:54
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027? No +208 $177 85¢ $177 +$0 11-05 10:53
Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? No +165 $135 92¢ $151 +$15 09-28 15:57
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? Yes +200 $41 74¢ $147 +$106 10-20 18:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +157 $129 92¢ $145 +$16 10-26 12:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +150 $115 96¢ $143 +$28 10-08 10:41
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? No +138 $116 98¢ $136 +$20 09-30 10:21
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +118 $41 83¢ $98 +$57 10-18 12:01
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? No +146 $111 64¢ $94 -$17 10-16 04:11
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$5 10-31 19:19
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $65 88¢ $88 +$22 10-08 10:29
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? No +100 $54 88¢ $88 +$34 10-15 19:05
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $87 85¢ $85 -$2 11-01 11:23
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +100 $75 82¢ $82 +$7 10-10 20:03
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? No +80 $68 96¢ $77 +$9 10-15 19:04
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31? Yes +166 $42 42¢ $70 +$28 11-01 11:24
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No +100 $70 70¢ $70 $0 10-21 22:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +77 $55 88¢ $68 +$12 10-26 13:06
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? Yes +80 $48 82¢ $66 +$18 10-23 10:16
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? No +100 $86 65¢ $65 -$21 10-21 22:21
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +65 $59 92¢ $60 +$0 11-01 11:20
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +60 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-26 14:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $65 71¢ $54 -$11 11-04 14:38
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +50 $45 96¢ $48 +$3 10-14 17:13
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? Yes +100 $17 47¢ $47 +$30 09-29 11:33
Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? Yes +100 $16 45¢ $45 +$29 10-05 11:46
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026? No +70 $58 64¢ $45 -$13 11-01 15:52