Taut-Workshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$282

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-11 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1	$-1	68¢	$-1	$-0	06-11 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		-1	$-0	32¢	$-0	+$0	06-11 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	$-0	05-06 03:45
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:51
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 10:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:39
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 02:27
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:38
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 03:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 03:02
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 02:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 04:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-04 03:31
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-28 04:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 03:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 04:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 02:51
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 01:55
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 02:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 04:19:10	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x89824b…
06-11 03:30:42	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xee6d57…
06-11 03:23:25	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x67f2be…
06-11 03:22:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xb70a9a…
06-11 03:20:54	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x3634e8…
06-11 03:18:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7da9b7…
06-09 02:11:45	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x532ef8…
06-09 02:05:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x887734…
06-09 01:56:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdc94a9…
06-09 01:54:37	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x198bff…
06-08 01:49:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d1bc6…
06-08 01:36:57	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70de81…
06-06 04:16:57	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xeade04…
06-06 03:50:16	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38fefe…
06-05 03:29:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x041024…
06-05 03:28:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xccdb58…
06-05 03:17:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc8573…
06-05 03:08:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1637a7…
06-04 03:31:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfe0a50…
06-04 03:07:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd0b065…
06-03 03:19:13	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b7b37…
06-03 03:08:45	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x17cc64…
06-02 02:51:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x21b1f0…
06-02 02:50:27	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd8cfdc…
06-02 02:30:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xad9dc3…
06-02 02:27:03	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe392ad…
06-01 03:38:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3a1014…
06-01 03:36:41	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0c378…
06-01 03:23:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x071775…
06-01 03:16:57	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x40f3db…
05-29 02:45:08	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe46412…
05-29 02:30:57	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaaeafa…
05-28 04:25:27	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a2ef6…
05-28 04:24:20	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x165755…
05-28 04:21:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66e59d…
05-28 04:14:38	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x55f81b…
05-28 03:49:59	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcdd5d7…
05-27 03:35:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd63fb6…
05-27 03:20:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5746ce…
05-26 03:02:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe18182…
05-26 02:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1b95b…
05-23 03:10:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x041c94…
05-23 02:53:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x393be1…
05-22 04:19:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4bc012…
05-22 04:17:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x89377f…
05-22 03:43:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x19a82e…
05-22 03:38:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x445350…
05-20 03:38:08	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x94cc9f…
05-20 03:35:43	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd6a2d2…
05-20 03:22:27	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa429af…
05-20 03:11:29	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x538e82…
05-19 03:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbca144…
05-19 03:01:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcdd40c…
05-18 04:22:53	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x173c48…
05-18 04:21:57	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x245091…
05-18 04:16:35	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02beee…
05-18 04:09:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x171351…
05-16 03:33:17	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x813635…
05-16 03:26:05	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ac047…
05-15 03:26:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3d9fc1…
05-15 03:22:38	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf39438…
05-15 03:10:42	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbe8817…
05-15 02:57:36	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b49ff…
05-14 03:32:21	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xba7c68…
05-14 03:28:53	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6bbed9…
05-14 03:21:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6e3cf2…
05-14 02:47:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x63e37c…
05-12 04:32:33	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc27da4…
05-12 03:37:45	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa355ef…
05-09 02:32:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb60ec5…
05-09 02:23:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x663e7d…
05-08 03:57:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbf20f2…
05-08 03:55:53	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd78589…
05-08 03:48:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x48a73d…
05-08 03:38:32	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5345b…
05-07 02:20:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb4e5a2…
05-07 02:10:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x97989e…
05-06 03:47:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbb4b09…
05-06 03:45:48	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb717ad…
05-06 03:34:42	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x42bf03…
05-06 03:28:50	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x84e965…
05-05 03:01:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe386cb…
05-05 03:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7d4a85…
05-05 02:51:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xae6810…
05-05 02:46:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf5729…
05-04 02:29:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c4d76…
05-04 02:08:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75735b…
04-30 03:49:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7f75b7…
04-30 03:47:20	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x956552…
04-30 03:41:20	Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04c402…
04-30 03:34:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x44e483…
04-29 03:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf44f3…
04-29 02:59:10	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x82ab3e…
04-29 02:51:54	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97230f…
04-29 02:35:58	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe52151…
04-28 02:23:44	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xca781c…
04-28 02:22:30	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x4879b0…
04-28 02:20:28	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x738699…
04-28 02:17:02	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd3594f…
04-27 02:14:46	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x04a192…