Taut-Workshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-01 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-0

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

21% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-22 03:43
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 04:33
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 03:19
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-14 02:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 03:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 06:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 04:31
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 03:20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 02:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 03:06
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	$-0	05-06 03:45
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 03:52
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 10:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:39
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-17 03:51
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 02:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:52
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 02:27
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-20 03:38
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-15 03:51
israel closes its airspace by june 9	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-09 02:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 07:18
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 07:06
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:11
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 04:55
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-22 04:54
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-01 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 08:05:09	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x154b76…
08-01 07:52:29	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x496678…
08-01 07:43:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6d2fe3…
08-01 07:32:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa996b9…
07-31 06:18:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xa1feee…
07-31 06:14:21	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by december 31 2026 20260701160841000 645	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x98906d…
07-31 06:08:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8d9c5…
07-31 03:54:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c41d8…
07-30 07:06:17	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xda1e11…
07-30 06:53:48	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c334a…
07-30 06:45:32	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3fabbf…
07-30 06:39:15	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6c754d…
07-28 06:41:03	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x85d614…
07-28 06:31:24	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd62886…
07-28 06:23:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1d0cf5…
07-28 04:48:28	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf4ce70…
07-27 03:38:03	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe16c47…
07-27 03:26:27	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8d2ea…
07-27 03:23:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3cded8…
07-27 03:16:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc8cd84…
07-25 06:07:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x98f400…
07-25 04:37:16	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbe8044…
07-24 06:43:01	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x93fb7e…
07-24 06:28:25	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x22b489…
07-24 06:24:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb7771b…
07-24 06:11:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8189e…
07-23 06:16:54	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x119c61…
07-23 03:29:34	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86074d…
07-22 04:54:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x73657b…
07-22 04:33:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f2cfe…
07-22 04:19:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4f0da6…
07-22 03:45:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x106635…
07-21 03:24:48	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc9a519…
07-21 03:16:00	will catherine west be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533200	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d4810…
07-20 06:44:28	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2aca2b…
07-20 06:36:52	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbdff69…
07-18 06:35:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13d6d5…
07-18 06:30:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f47a8…
07-18 06:25:40	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x6ac7ef…
07-18 06:18:07	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9ea6a2…
07-17 03:55:34	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x51bf0a…
07-17 03:40:15	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x70b2ca…
07-15 04:31:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4f2e1a…
07-15 04:16:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71b6d8…
07-15 03:51:19	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x09cb62…
07-15 03:24:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeea412…
07-15 03:20:59	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2d239f…
07-15 03:05:32	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8462bf…
07-14 06:11:31	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe46d66…
07-14 06:09:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x438159…
07-14 04:41:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x41e50f…
07-14 04:31:11	over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7b8dce…
07-13 06:36:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x46abd6…
07-13 06:35:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd85400…
07-13 03:55:14	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb65fb1…
07-13 03:48:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x96e11c…
07-11 06:13:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5f1a32…
07-11 06:11:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x607d9b…
07-11 03:37:16	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0881b7…
07-11 03:34:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x11fb15…
07-10 06:18:52	over 90m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325660	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x061cf6…
07-10 06:17:32	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9acf67…
07-10 04:41:02	over 90m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325660	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7816c…
07-10 03:59:25	Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf8fba1…
07-09 03:33:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd24877…
07-09 03:24:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x755dbb…
07-08 03:52:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x620751…
07-08 03:36:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9b9c38…
07-07 06:09:01	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x806885…
07-07 06:08:11	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x136d12…
07-07 04:30:29	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ba2a4…
07-07 04:26:35	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcaaf63…
07-06 03:58:50	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x53a135…
07-06 03:57:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd9e415…
07-06 03:32:20	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x517210…
07-06 03:26:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x570323…
07-04 04:20:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x91eff4…
07-04 03:42:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7338ea…
07-03 08:08:10	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1fa796…
07-03 07:32:56	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd11368…
07-02 03:30:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5027a5…
07-02 03:29:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x1dd08b…
07-02 03:14:26	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x600d82…
07-02 03:08:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1f8838…
07-01 03:02:22	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb2cc99…
07-01 03:00:29	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x94cf2c…
07-01 02:40:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7df6f4…
07-01 02:34:53	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbdd169…
06-30 03:30:01	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe52e2c…
06-30 03:17:40	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa15a5c…
06-29 06:31:53	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x305483…
06-29 05:18:58	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x709523…
06-27 03:27:59	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd035ab…
06-27 03:02:50	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x977ba6…
06-26 06:45:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe86f22…
06-26 06:24:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ed3df…
06-25 04:42:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x25b372…
06-25 04:34:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf09371…
06-24 06:14:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 26 2026 20260601225410820	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x733485…
06-24 04:49:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 26 2026 20260601225410820	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc02a1e…