Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

13,031

Trades

91,899

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-11 09:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 47% -$2,184

Politics

6% 44% +$755

Other

5% 41% -$779

Sports

1% 33% -$321

Tech

0% 40% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	706	$2.9K	2,814	2,999	-185	No	-$10	03-28 11:27
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	97	$2.7K	6,789	0	+6,789	No	-$1,331	06-09 14:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	604	$2.7K	2,387	2,487	-100	No	+$4	03-28 10:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	35	$2.5K	3,703	66	+3,637	Yes	+$1,188	04-28 19:00
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	15	$1.9K	2,741	0	+2,741	Yes	+$823	04-09 09:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	340	$1.4K	1,307	1,428	-121	Yes	+$10	03-28 10:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$1.3K	2,325	25	+2,300	Yes	+$1	04-09 18:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	-$6	07-15 13:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	178	$985	612	1,401	-789	Yes	-$33	03-24 08:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	162	$777	632	812	-180	Yes	-$14	03-28 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 03:00 UTC	90	$469	1,483	0	+1,483	Down	-$45	03-02 03:03
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	23	$461	450	500	-50	Yes	+$8	04-12 12:45
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	4	$379	462	462	+0	No	+$39	08-09 19:42
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	73	$347	275	290	-15	No	-$2	03-28 11:26
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?	82	$334	289	435	-146	Yes	+$4	03-25 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:45 UTC	92	$333	962	0	+962	Down	+$2	03-02 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 00:45 UTC	44	$312	810	111	+699	Up	+$4	03-02 00:50
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$297	348	348	+0	Yes	-$3	08-11 09:58
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	5	$295	400	0	+400	Michigan Wolverines	+$105	04-06 23:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	4	$292	189	189	+0	open	—	08-06 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:55 UTC	72	$271	838	0	+838	Up	$0	03-02 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:55 UTC	69	$249	698	0	+698	Down	-$69	02-28 00:00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$248	398	398	+0	No	-$2	08-11 09:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	66	$248	255	260	-5	Yes	+$1	03-26 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:30 UTC	66	$244	611	0	+611	Down	+$93	03-01 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:20 UTC	60	$231	426	0	+426	Up	+$30	02-27 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:50 UTC	43	$226	692	0	+692	Up	+$15	03-02 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 04:45 UTC	28	$225	499	0	+499	Up	+$74	03-14 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:15 UTC	53	$215	557	0	+557	Up	+$72	03-01 20:19
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	4	$213	249	249	+0	No	-$37	08-11 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:58:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	161	30¢	$48	0xcd78cb…
08-11 09:58:40	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0xf747be…
08-11 09:58:30	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	203	26¢	$53	0xb6ef1c…
08-11 09:58:25	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0xb94b0c…
08-11 09:58:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	166	44¢	$72	0x9613ec…
08-11 09:58:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	114	65¢	$74	0xde256c…
08-11 09:21:49	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	166	45¢	$75	0x1e1696…
08-11 03:18:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0x8d9696…
08-11 03:18:42	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x64241c…
08-10 15:13:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	742	8¢	$57	0xe21915…
08-10 09:11:57	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x3bd8cd…
08-10 09:11:57	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	203	37¢	$75	0x3164a2…
08-10 03:09:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	377	13¢	$50	0x857539…
08-09 21:06:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	365	14¢	$50	0xbe6d73…
08-09 21:06:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x16e019…
08-09 19:43:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	158	4¢	$7	0x961e72…
08-09 19:43:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	123	11¢	$14	0xb83822…
08-09 19:43:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	575	8¢	$46	0x3449b2…
08-09 19:42:58	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	SELL	91	60¢	$55	0x38189a…
08-09 19:42:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	234	31¢	$73	0x0b04e8…
08-09 19:42:42	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	330	22¢	$73	0x9dbb47…
08-09 19:42:31	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	SELL	400	42¢	$168	0xf7855d…
08-09 09:02:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	234	32¢	$75	0x390332…
08-09 02:58:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	330	23¢	$75	0xf72015…
08-08 14:55:28	Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x127f9e…
08-08 08:51:46	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	158	38¢	$60	0xaa7f81…
08-08 02:49:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0xb8ef7b…
08-07 02:43:03	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	575	10¢	$60	0xd7d10c…
08-07 02:43:01	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x8f3933…
08-06 20:40:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	618	16¢	$100	0xf6271b…
08-06 20:02:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	71	83¢	$59	0xfeb685…
08-06 20:02:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	79	89¢	$70	0x52b384…
08-06 19:58:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0xbb861a…
08-06 19:58:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x06128e…
08-06 19:52:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x602d55…
08-06 19:52:02	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0xed9f83…
08-06 19:51:56	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xa5975c…
08-06 19:51:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xd8bdfc…
08-06 19:51:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x14a4d3…
08-06 19:51:32	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x25e6b6…
08-06 19:51:24	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x985e24…
08-06 19:51:12	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0x5567e2…
08-06 19:51:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$20	0x111b11…
08-06 19:50:53	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xa1db2e…
08-06 19:50:47	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x62a857…
08-06 19:50:39	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x44bc31…
08-06 19:50:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0xde56cb…
08-06 19:50:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	27	83¢	$23	0x796dbb…
08-06 19:50:18	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x18b624…
08-06 19:50:11	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0x7975d7…
08-06 19:50:06	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	28	87¢	$25	0x3daa01…
08-06 19:49:59	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x227aa0…
08-06 19:49:51	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x85af73…
08-06 19:49:44	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x521762…
08-06 19:49:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x030132…
08-06 19:49:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	92	42¢	$39	0x55f4e6…
08-06 19:49:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x0ac45a…
08-06 19:49:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	130	34¢	$44	0xb1530f…
08-06 19:49:03	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	92	47¢	$44	0x4ad380…
08-06 19:48:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x8e0777…
08-06 19:48:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	77	74¢	$57	0xd0b949…
08-06 19:48:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	117	83¢	$97	0x38276e…
08-06 10:39:32	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	Yes	SELL	248	16¢	$40	0xde2732…
08-06 10:39:32	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xc18630…
08-05 22:34:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	SELL	62	67¢	$41	0xc81a94…
08-05 03:59:23	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0xe7f4b5…
08-05 03:59:21	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	SELL	420	11¢	$47	0x233181…
08-04 21:38:18	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x141788…
08-03 15:23:35	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x4ee1cf…
08-02 03:04:53	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	Yes	BUY	248	20¢	$50	0xd2e595…
08-01 21:02:51	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x714636…
07-31 21:26:32	atp tabilo shelton 2026 07 31	Ben Shelton	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0xfc46b9…
07-31 14:53:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	No	SELL	145	33¢	$48	0xb35e84…
07-31 08:51:33	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	No	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0x3998f7…
07-31 02:49:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x6d6655…
07-30 14:45:06	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$8	0xa29e1e…
07-29 20:36:35	Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x9a309e…
07-29 14:32:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0x99f844…
07-29 08:28:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0xf3df9b…
07-28 08:17:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0x729a75…
07-28 02:13:45	Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xc7a654…
07-26 19:55:13	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	420	12¢	$50	0x444bd3…
07-25 18:16:42	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0xd4a111…
07-25 12:14:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x92a633…
07-23 23:24:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xcaa81f…
07-22 10:50:18	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	134	22¢	$30	0xc16d09…
07-21 10:32:21	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0ecc0c…
07-20 07:18:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x63dfa8…
07-18 18:48:30	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0x823a67…
07-16 20:54:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0x964f45…
07-16 08:51:04	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb00214…
07-15 13:52:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	700	80¢	$561	0x21060c…
07-15 02:16:08	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x6eb3c5…
07-14 19:11:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	SELL	24	69¢	$16	0xffc618…
07-14 01:06:37	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xe57b63…
07-14 01:06:37	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x80c8b7…
07-13 03:00:31	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe916c4…
07-13 01:58:25	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x114942…
07-12 04:17:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x527917…
07-11 12:15:31	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x1ea427…