Tricky-Guy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

732

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-14 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 64% +$9

Other

32% 58% $-25

Politics

8% 67% $-1

Sports

7% 43% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?	4	$103	64	64	+0	open	—	05-01 10:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$103	49	98	-49	open	—	05-01 08:34
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$78	46	46	+0	open	—	04-29 15:46
bitcoin above 70k on april 9	3	$67	39	39	+0	open	—	04-09 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	2	$65	38	38	+0	open	—	04-30 15:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$63	45	45	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 12:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	5	$62	55	55	+0	open	—	04-29 09:03
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$54	39	39	+0	open	—	04-30 10:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$51	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 15:42
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$48	35	34	+0	Down	$-2	05-12 12:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	04-30 12:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$44	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 15:42
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	3	$39	22	21	+0	open	—	04-17 16:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	3	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-01 08:25
bitcoin up or down on april 18 2026	3	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 10:03
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	5	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-11 15:39
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	2	$35	22	21	+0	open	—	04-09 09:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	6	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	04-29 12:33
cs2 mglz prv 2026 04 09 total games 2pt5	4	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-09 18:03
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	5	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	04-14 14:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$33	17	17	-0	open	—	04-30 10:32
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	3	$33	29	29	+0	open	—	04-07 11:32
bitcoin up or down on april 11 2026	5	$33	20	19	+0	open	—	04-11 15:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	3	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 07:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 6	5	$32	39	0	+39	open	—	04-06 06:29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	2	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 20:15
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	4	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	04-06 05:23
bitcoin above 74k on april 22	3	$32	17	17	-0	open	—	04-22 04:16
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	6	$31	17	17	-0	open	—	04-30 15:43
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	2	$31	40	0	+40	open	—	04-07 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:19:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xb100a9…
05-14 18:05:03	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xdb8232…
05-14 18:04:26	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x134de5…
05-12 15:39:48	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0x68bb6b…
05-12 15:27:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x79cb3a…
05-12 15:15:44	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x7e62ea…
05-12 15:13:43	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xb03639…
05-12 12:56:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	34	67¢	$23	0x6a85ac…
05-12 12:53:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	45	67¢	$30	0xfa2768…
05-12 12:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0x82e8a4…
05-12 11:16:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0xd07dbe…
05-12 07:17:12	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xe297b0…
05-12 07:14:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa42045…
05-12 07:08:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0xf0e538…
05-12 04:20:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4e0e3a…
05-12 03:58:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe3e715…
05-10 04:23:32	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x5ae0a0…
05-10 03:59:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf526f5…
05-10 01:28:42	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xb0a38e…
05-10 01:01:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x88612d…
05-10 00:44:26	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7cedc3…
05-10 00:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ce2ec…
05-10 00:04:11	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7b74e6…
05-10 00:04:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd09eda…
05-10 00:03:20	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4172a4…
05-09 06:41:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x79888a…
05-09 06:38:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x18f56e…
05-09 04:01:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa1dab9…
05-09 03:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x266f53…
05-09 01:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x330278…
05-09 00:00:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x788198…
05-09 00:00:38	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x10aa3a…
05-08 16:52:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x69f496…
05-08 16:13:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x5e5077…
05-08 08:28:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0bbe98…
05-08 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xe49c1a…
05-08 07:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0x26a9b0…
05-08 06:08:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0c8a63…
05-08 06:03:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$13	0xc214af…
05-08 06:00:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xe76a9f…
05-08 06:00:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xca31ef…
05-08 05:52:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf6ce9c…
05-08 02:40:59	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x433cbf…
05-08 02:18:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xde3ae0…
05-08 02:02:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x20b27a…
05-08 00:43:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc246f1…
05-08 00:03:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9b8351…
05-08 00:00:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x469975…
05-07 18:06:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd8298e…
05-07 16:20:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7b223a…
05-07 16:20:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xde37e4…
05-07 16:16:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8d54bd…
05-07 15:27:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x16cb06…
05-07 15:01:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xc7fe24…
05-07 15:00:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x1f744b…
05-07 13:48:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xd5386b…
05-07 13:30:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xad365b…
05-07 10:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x700d5f…
05-07 06:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x550feb…
05-07 05:13:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x673e62…
05-07 00:57:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaa1dff…
05-07 00:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x42a119…
05-07 00:48:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x3364bd…
05-07 00:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x432e13…
05-07 00:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x928924…
05-07 00:01:42	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x04b8ba…
05-06 23:03:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2db377…
05-06 15:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb72945…
05-06 14:46:30	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0xbecabe…
05-06 14:44:38	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x634008…
05-06 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$12	0x929583…
05-06 13:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xe7fbd4…
05-06 10:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1802d5…
05-06 10:48:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2c684f…
05-06 09:18:02	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x83686d…
05-06 09:17:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x6e82d2…
05-06 09:15:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 6?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$14	0x70db6e…
05-06 09:08:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x85f5bf…
05-06 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x70847c…
05-06 08:09:26	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x05c3be…
05-06 06:16:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xc40460…
05-06 05:50:16	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x2f25b7…
05-06 05:35:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe2cf0e…
05-06 05:12:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xbe7e01…
05-06 05:02:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa2f817…
05-06 05:02:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x381670…
05-06 03:25:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xfe3521…
05-06 01:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x12eefa…
05-06 00:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xb4999e…
05-06 00:15:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3ec858…
05-06 00:08:54	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x89dc36…
05-06 00:04:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe2b47f…
05-06 00:03:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xf60e0c…
05-06 00:02:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x107984…
05-05 04:41:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x56bdf9…
05-05 04:38:16	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3be218…
05-05 03:49:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xedc35d…
05-05 03:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc8709c…
05-05 02:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x30063b…
05-05 02:26:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x9c43cb…