Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,611
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$60
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-29 15:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
42% 50% $-1
Other
39% 100% +$0
Sports
11% 0% $-1
Tech
4%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 06-06 02:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +18 $6 34¢ $6 $-0 06-21 02:33
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $6 37¢ $5 $-1 06-02 02:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 17:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-1 06-15 18:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 $4 72¢ $5 +$1 06-20 15:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +29 $6 15¢ $4 $-2 06-07 22:09
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 06-25 17:36
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$1 06-24 10:01
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:26
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-24 03:00
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 06-23 23:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 15:45
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-27 06:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 48¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:44
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 $0 +$0 06-08 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +47 $6 $0 $-6 06-21 20:33
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +46 $3 $0 $-3 06-13 01:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:05