Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,347
lifetime
Volume
$19.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$72
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-10 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
41% 50% $-1
Other
39% 100% +$0
Sports
12% 0% $-1
Tech
4%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +29 $6 29¢ $8 +$2 06-07 22:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 82¢ $7 +$1 06-06 02:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +7 $4 72¢ $5 +$1 06-08 08:36
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 64¢ $5 $-1 05-29 01:52
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 74¢ $5 +$0 06-04 04:25
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $4 66¢ $5 +$0 06-03 10:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-1 06-03 08:52
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-03 22:41
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 $-0 06-10 00:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-02 23:41
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $4 55¢ $4 $-1 06-03 06:15
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $6 14¢ $2 $-4 06-02 02:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +45 $2 $2 $-0 06-09 22:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $1 +$0 05-31 12:05
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:33
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:44
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 19:46
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +57 $9 $0 $-9 06-06 06:14