Bland-Birthday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,635

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-02 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

42% 50% $-1

Other

39% 100% +$0

Sports

11% 0% $-1

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	126	$511	317	310	+7	open	—	03-13 05:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	107	$488	273	273	+0	open	—	03-09 05:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	88	$410	225	225	+0	open	—	03-10 19:12
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	66	$374	294	284	+10	open	—	02-05 07:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	81	$365	195	195	+0	open	—	03-15 14:35
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	41	$355	194	194	+0	open	—	02-03 18:43
will nuevayol be played first at the super bowl halftime show	148	$334	935	909	+26	open	—	02-09 00:05
will the us invade iran by march 31	54	$316	178	178	+0	open	—	03-28 12:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	60	$301	170	170	+0	open	—	04-08 10:54
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	40	$260	155	155	+0	open	—	03-31 10:32
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	56	$255	3,030	3,030	+0	open	—	01-31 15:25
will bad bunny say fuck ice at the super bowl	45	$241	132	132	+0	open	—	02-08 21:58
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	50	$235	214	214	+0	open	—	02-21 05:51
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	33	$227	157	147	+10	open	—	02-02 03:55
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	41	$227	164	154	+10	open	—	02-08 00:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	31	$225	150	140	+10	open	—	02-02 19:15
Will the US strike Somalia next?	37	$220	312	302	+10	open	—	02-04 20:39
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	25	$220	125	105	+20	open	—	02-07 12:32
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	34	$218	153	153	+0	open	—	01-30 08:19
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	26	$215	120	119	+1	open	—	02-03 00:05
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	50	$215	240	230	+10	open	—	02-03 17:17
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	40	$210	180	170	+10	open	—	02-08 23:50
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	25	$196	117	117	+0	open	—	01-30 19:21
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	32	$195	130	130	+0	open	—	02-24 15:23
will dtmf be played first at the super bowl halftime show	40	$190	374	384	-10	open	—	02-08 18:35
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	34	$190	145	145	+0	open	—	02-02 01:48
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	56	$183	184	170	+14	open	—	01-30 12:09
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	45	$181	112	112	+0	open	—	03-09 21:51
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	20	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	02-03 19:44
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	23	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	02-01 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 04:23:46	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xbc45ef…
07-02 04:23:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x1f53cd…
07-02 04:21:38	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x5efe66…
07-02 04:17:25	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xf63b9b…
07-02 04:15:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x737c9e…
07-02 04:14:28	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xec793e…
07-02 04:12:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xa52d1e…
07-02 04:11:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0xe687c1…
07-02 04:10:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xb3800b…
07-01 10:17:29	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x292d9e…
07-01 10:17:28	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5f745…
07-01 10:17:26	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fe5c4…
07-01 10:17:23	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x7bc582…
07-01 10:17:22	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x30477a…
07-01 10:17:20	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd72beb…
07-01 10:17:07	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x0673f4…
07-01 10:16:59	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd44780…
07-01 10:16:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x5db7ab…
07-01 10:16:53	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xadcfa8…
07-01 10:16:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x6d34c6…
07-01 10:16:50	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x5e2951…
07-01 10:16:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xf9baa3…
07-01 10:16:38	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xe50488…
07-01 10:16:31	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x6b0a53…
06-29 15:35:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x307d52…
06-28 09:58:37	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x204a26…
06-28 08:04:44	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf984cb…
06-27 11:52:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xe2327b…
06-27 10:20:22	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260625225958880	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x274f1b…
06-27 06:59:08	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x752eb1…
06-26 20:08:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x572b1d…
06-26 17:05:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x303134…
06-26 15:04:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdb6775…
06-26 13:46:48	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x576ba1…
06-26 13:29:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x840b8e…
06-26 10:11:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xfb2bd3…
06-25 17:36:16	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9198bd…
06-25 14:35:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfc9b3a…
06-25 11:48:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3a1088…
06-25 07:21:58	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x46ed7f…
06-25 07:19:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc08e8f…
06-25 04:54:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x3a0edd…
06-25 00:52:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf19175…
06-24 23:25:22	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x891a61…
06-24 21:52:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6288fc…
06-24 20:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfc3614…
06-24 19:06:47	spy closes above 730 on june 24 2026	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x03c44e…
06-24 16:03:25	spy closes above 730 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31d3a0…
06-24 14:31:40	spy closes above 725 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x9285b3…
06-24 10:01:28	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x948645…
06-24 05:35:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdb7107…
06-24 03:00:50	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c8caf…
06-24 00:05:50	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x86eace…
06-23 23:52:20	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe9352a…
06-23 16:55:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7b16b3…
06-23 16:53:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x71b1e5…
06-23 06:40:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xca495b…
06-23 06:30:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3072c1…
06-23 05:24:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x16c1a1…
06-22 18:12:31	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xd0920f…
06-22 16:54:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x167c53…
06-22 16:47:59	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xbdf80a…
06-22 10:34:50	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc7bb39…
06-22 09:05:32	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95bf04…
06-22 01:01:13	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x2e5b9c…
06-21 20:33:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe47276…
06-21 20:33:31	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xb38277…
06-21 19:07:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4bfbd9…
06-21 19:05:25	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd9af3b…
06-21 17:24:47	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fb1dc…
06-21 16:41:17	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x95b0c4…
06-21 14:18:31	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x99f349…
06-21 02:33:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6074b8…
06-20 18:29:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd738c…
06-20 15:12:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xff6561…
06-20 14:39:40	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa02a7e…
06-20 14:19:46	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1c51ae…
06-20 13:57:28	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcfccfd…
06-20 13:57:28	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcb0eeb…
06-20 13:46:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xacb2f0…
06-20 13:46:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbf6d36…
06-20 13:25:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7cd32a…
06-20 13:03:50	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7629cb…
06-20 12:43:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xeeac61…
06-19 21:59:04	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x81cad0…
06-19 21:56:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c0f13…
06-19 17:54:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd084ab…
06-19 09:10:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x32b24b…
06-19 06:42:35	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74b628…
06-19 05:28:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6f47a6…
06-19 03:38:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa8730c…
06-18 18:59:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread away 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6e40f6…
06-18 17:48:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xef043b…
06-18 16:18:31	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbff8d6…
06-18 16:18:29	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb5bef2…
06-18 14:49:58	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2c899c…
06-18 14:37:32	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x726127…
06-18 13:10:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x4f2939…
06-18 13:01:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x5e4ee4…
06-18 12:47:52	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x666bcd…