Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
67
lifetime
Volume
$120
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$12
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-12 17:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
70%
Other
10%
Crypto
9%
Tech
8%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +18 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 06-06 14:05
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +17 $5 20¢ $3 $-2 06-03 14:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 06-03 14:27
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +30 $1 $2 +$1 06-06 14:05
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-09 11:38
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +56 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 20:49