Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,252

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-28

last 11-01 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

69% 0% $0

Other

30% 0% $0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 904 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-01 13:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+0	$0	89¢	$0	$0	11-01 07:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	94¢	$0	$0	11-01 10:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	11-01 07:27
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	11-01 10:12
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	11-01 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	134	$631	378	378	+0	open	—	11-01 09:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	50	$319	164	164	+0	open	—	11-01 00:11
Iran Nuke before 2027?	30	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	11-01 08:45
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	58	$262	147	147	+0	open	—	10-31 22:24
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	42	$261	135	135	+0	open	—	11-01 07:28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	56	$245	155	155	+0	open	—	10-31 22:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	44	$222	138	138	+0	open	—	11-01 00:13
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	32	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	11-01 08:43
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	32	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	11-01 09:44
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	40	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	11-01 04:17
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	36	$182	98	98	+0	open	—	10-31 23:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	26	$170	87	87	+0	open	—	11-01 10:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	20	$158	85	85	+0	open	—	11-01 08:33
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	16	$151	79	79	+0	open	—	11-01 12:45
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	20	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	10-29 14:13
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	10-30 16:08
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	10-29 14:52
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	12	$136	80	80	+0	open	—	11-01 09:19
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	14	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	10-29 13:17
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	12	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 14:38
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	10-29 15:38
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	12	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 22:28
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	10-30 16:11
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	11-01 02:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	14	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-29 14:56
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	10-29 15:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$109	58	58	+0	open	—	11-01 00:44
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	16	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	10-29 15:04
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	8	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	11-01 10:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	12	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	10-29 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:03:22	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5537c6…
11-01 13:00:58	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xee949e…
11-01 13:00:15	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4c70b…
11-01 12:45:31	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x3aae92…
11-01 12:45:07	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xcbf19d…
11-01 10:41:10	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8dcf6a…
11-01 10:40:19	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3c9031…
11-01 10:39:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x316a0b…
11-01 10:38:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33af6d…
11-01 10:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x323c08…
11-01 10:30:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x8ea187…
11-01 10:30:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc6124f…
11-01 10:29:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xfbe52a…
11-01 10:24:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x73f841…
11-01 10:24:03	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6dca21…
11-01 10:17:27	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x9dea2d…
11-01 10:16:36	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x9862b2…
11-01 10:15:37	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xfd427f…
11-01 10:14:46	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe649b1…
11-01 10:14:06	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xc6cbf7…
11-01 10:13:03	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb4e54c…
11-01 10:12:21	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5767fa…
11-01 10:11:40	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb5128f…
11-01 10:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x789065…
11-01 10:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5d70c3…
11-01 09:57:21	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x152b1f…
11-01 09:56:43	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xe29f4d…
11-01 09:44:21	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x50141b…
11-01 09:43:25	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8d7635…
11-01 09:42:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x588920…
11-01 09:41:13	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcd3854…
11-01 09:23:07	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe3350e…
11-01 09:22:31	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9cb28d…
11-01 09:19:24	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdb2655…
11-01 09:19:10	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x11e4c0…
11-01 09:19:03	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2a44cf…
11-01 09:18:46	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xe90288…
11-01 09:13:58	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xe3d604…
11-01 09:13:37	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x144b3e…
11-01 09:12:13	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe8f001…
11-01 09:11:54	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x148f6c…
11-01 08:53:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x1b57d8…
11-01 08:52:36	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39a49d…
11-01 08:45:21	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x2e55b6…
11-01 08:44:19	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3fcbf…
11-01 08:43:00	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf061aa…
11-01 08:42:25	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcfb085…
11-01 08:38:57	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xe47993…
11-01 08:37:55	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xc38663…
11-01 08:33:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x68f76e…
11-01 08:32:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x70e2a5…
11-01 08:28:48	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xda7621…
11-01 08:28:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26a076…
11-01 08:24:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x867804…
11-01 08:23:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x354c6e…
11-01 08:18:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x96654e…
11-01 08:17:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x4c32aa…
11-01 08:16:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x93cede…
11-01 08:16:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x434ea5…
11-01 08:14:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x51b5f6…
11-01 08:13:55	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb0f536…
11-01 07:49:03	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8f4233…
11-01 07:47:57	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0ed570…
11-01 07:46:30	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x524158…
11-01 07:45:28	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1f2d90…
11-01 07:45:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x20dd1f…
11-01 07:44:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x05aafd…
11-01 07:44:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6286cd…
11-01 07:43:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x81f457…
11-01 07:35:07	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x0f65fe…
11-01 07:34:19	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xf401ed…
11-01 07:28:36	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x88dde5…
11-01 07:28:01	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x5a0a17…
11-01 07:27:10	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x7d56a0…
11-01 07:26:18	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xc031b3…
11-01 07:24:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x697be7…
11-01 07:23:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x44b6e4…
11-01 07:20:28	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x7ed40d…
11-01 07:19:48	Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x21e945…
11-01 07:12:18	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x75b7cf…
11-01 07:11:15	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90c1aa…
11-01 07:07:18	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7c4341…
11-01 07:06:27	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3db479…
11-01 07:01:09	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x956599…
11-01 07:00:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26ef91…
11-01 06:50:51	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x812822…
11-01 06:50:21	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x20a266…
11-01 06:34:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe1801a…
11-01 06:33:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x511f01…
11-01 06:23:42	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xf66666…
11-01 06:22:43	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe348eb…
11-01 06:13:43	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x4199e6…
11-01 06:12:37	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x7a6acb…
11-01 06:08:54	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x0667db…
11-01 06:08:24	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x41053b…
11-01 06:04:48	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x704400…
11-01 06:04:16	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91a433…
11-01 05:42:31	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xea1c91…
11-01 05:41:24	Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa18170…
11-01 05:20:12	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x51ee53…