Realized P&L
-$28.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
117
Trades
686
lifetime
Volume
$700.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.02K
Open exposure
$489
2 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 08-05 14:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Politics
64%
73%
-$13,311
Other
20%
41%
-$8,560
Sports
8%
25%
+$112
Crypto
8%
59%
-$6,598
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -2,447 | -$479 | 20¢ | $-477 | +$2 | 06-13 10:05 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | Yes | -3,980 | $43 | 0¢ | $-12 | -$55 | 06-04 17:07 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 32 | $74.9K | 1,917,605 | 1,074,105 | +843,500 | Yes | -$15,089 | 06-17 22:52 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 20 | $60.8K | 73,646 | 59,361 | +14,286 | Yes | -$7,143 | 06-16 18:58 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 15 | $52.0K | 29,628 | 29,628 | +0 | open | — | 06-14 21:20 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 23 | $47.8K | 135,829 | 135,829 | +0 | Yes | +$507 | 07-19 22:10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 12 | $31.3K | 22,499 | 15,109 | +7,390 | No | +$2,728 | 05-30 20:59 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13 | 5 | $29.9K | 17,179 | 17,179 | +0 | No | +$1,607 | 06-13 17:48 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14 | 12 | $29.7K | 36,346 | 36,346 | +0 | Yes | +$1,577 | 06-14 16:53 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31 | 9 | $27.2K | 19,079 | 19,079 | +0 | Yes | +$2,363 | 06-12 18:09 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889 | 17 | $25.4K | 23,647 | 23,647 | +0 | Yes | +$311 | 06-14 22:11 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252 | 12 | $22.6K | 72,211 | 21,544 | +50,667 | Yes | +$1,048 | 06-16 18:58 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482 | 4 | $21.1K | 12,510 | 12,510 | +0 | No | +$585 | 06-12 20:41 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337 | 13 | $20.4K | 16,752 | 16,752 | +0 | Yes | +$434 | 06-14 22:11 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 7 | $13.5K | 7,665 | 7,665 | +0 | No | +$1,562 | 06-07 10:28 |
| lal mad bar 2026 04 04 bar | 8 | $12.0K | 13,111 | 12,147 | +964 | Yes | +$1,143 | 04-04 20:52 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 13 | $11.8K | 22,320 | 24,767 | -2,447 | open | — | 06-13 10:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 5 | $10.3K | 5,755 | 5,755 | +0 | No | +$738 | 05-25 08:56 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 2 | $10.3K | 9,016 | 9,016 | +0 | No | -$677 | 06-17 15:51 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 3 | $9.3K | 4,946 | 4,946 | +0 | No | +$209 | 05-26 17:11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 7 | $9.0K | 5,549 | 5,549 | +0 | No | +$1,086 | 05-01 21:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 5 | $8.5K | 6,597 | 6,597 | +0 | No | -$557 | 05-26 18:21 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 7 | $8.3K | 5,616 | 5,616 | +0 | No | +$1,546 | 03-31 08:24 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16 | 2 | $7.5K | 7,562 | 7,562 | +0 | Yes | +$349 | 06-14 16:54 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6 | $6.0K | 30,229 | 30,229 | +0 | No | -$139 | 06-17 22:52 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 23:05 UTC | 9 | $6.0K | 7,990 | 0 | +7,990 | Down | +$1,990 | 04-03 23:09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 6 | $5.7K | 3,132 | 3,132 | +0 | No | -$2 | 05-31 00:32 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 6 | $5.6K | 8,187 | 8,187 | +0 | Yes | -$1,012 | 04-14 19:01 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15 | 2 | $5.1K | 2,812 | 2,812 | +0 | No | +$282 | 04-03 15:11 |
| ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1 | 3 | $4.7K | 7,152 | 71 | +7,081 | No | -$4,594 | 04-05 21:47 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 3 | $4.6K | 2,540 | 2,540 | +0 | No | +$249 | 04-03 23:05 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 10 | $4.4K | 55,795 | 53,795 | +2,000 | Yes | +$851 | 04-07 18:30 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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