Competent-Pagoda 0x0b075f…25757b
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved
201
Trades
422
lifetime
Volume
$1.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$122
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-29 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
54% 51% -$66
Politics
28% 82% +$21
Sports
9% 63% +$26
Tech
8% 100% +$11
Crypto
1% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +17 $4 36¢ $6 +$3 10-14 04:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $0 09-25 14:43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-07 00:11
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-27 04:21
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-09 12:26
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-28 14:27
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-29 06:42
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +5 $5 91¢ $5 $0 10-05 05:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7 $4 72¢ $5 +$1 10-16 04:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-15 06:26
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-14 03:26
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:06
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 10-14 08:18
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-06 00:28
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +6 $4 73¢ $4 +$1 10-17 06:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +10 $4 42¢ $4 +$1 10-27 03:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 10-11 18:41
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 10-12 17:27
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +8 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 10-27 05:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +38 $4 10¢ $4 $0 10-15 11:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-14 04:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7 $3 54¢ $4 +$1 10-24 07:30
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +9 $2 41¢ $4 +$2 10-01 20:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 70¢ $4 $0 10-28 20:54
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $2 38¢ $3 +$2 10-21 12:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +8 $5 40¢ $3 -$2 10-06 00:39
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 -$1 10-29 19:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-01 20:19
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +71 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-28 17:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 09-25 14:44