Judicious-Gold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 50% +$4

Other

35% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$1.1K	652	496	+156	No	+$4	04-07 07:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	11	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	03-29 15:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$560	291	291	+0	open	—	03-19 02:28
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$552	284	284	+0	open	—	03-21 09:41
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$480	258	258	+0	open	—	04-01 01:40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$329	176	176	+1	open	—	04-27 02:57
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$318	169	169	+0	open	—	03-06 01:36
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$318	164	164	+0	No	$-1	03-04 23:37
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$308	159	159	+0	open	—	03-09 10:42
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	03-03 20:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$304	156	156	+0	open	—	03-12 08:12
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	2	$298	157	157	+0	open	—	03-06 06:52
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$298	152	152	+0	open	—	03-14 18:09
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$289	148	148	+0	open	—	03-18 14:27
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$289	150	150	+0	open	—	03-15 14:02
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	03-24 07:12
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	3	$279	145	145	+0	open	—	03-15 18:43
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$274	141	141	+0	open	—	03-19 10:28
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	03-16 22:20
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$270	138	138	+0	open	—	03-21 04:20
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$268	146	146	+0	open	—	03-28 13:35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$260	140	140	+0	open	—	04-12 01:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	04-14 04:01
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$229	118	118	+0	open	—	04-27 09:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	4	$228	118	117	+0	open	—	04-12 05:56
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	04-10 18:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	04-11 17:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	06-03 16:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	04-08 17:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	05-16 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:04:28	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe13e89…
06-09 15:03:57	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe596a3…
06-07 06:50:16	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x596a55…
06-07 01:45:52	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xc2c6b8…
06-06 13:44:22	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x597a1a…
06-06 08:43:37	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa65c48…
06-06 08:41:12	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xd7c723…
06-04 15:23:40	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x21a674…
06-04 07:19:12	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95faa4…
06-03 16:22:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x4bd5f4…
06-03 11:15:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x69f1af…
05-20 22:01:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x8e3eba…
05-16 01:29:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x2509e7…
05-15 21:21:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x4e094c…
04-27 09:09:26	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	118	97¢	$115	0xb94939…
04-27 04:03:00	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	118	97¢	$115	0x7f264a…
04-27 02:57:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	130	92¢	$119	0x7fe9a6…
04-25 05:44:16	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$125	0x4782c7…
04-14 04:01:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0xfeb62c…
04-13 19:27:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x497c3c…
04-13 01:21:29	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xd7ae7a…
04-12 19:16:11	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x65d576…
04-12 12:59:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x431870…
04-12 06:51:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0xcbb002…
04-12 05:56:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xee2c9b…
04-12 01:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x23c5a3…
04-12 01:36:55	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x2ab1fe…
04-11 18:26:49	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x52a45e…
04-11 17:42:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$60	0x13c026…
04-11 13:27:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6b42e7…
04-11 10:28:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0x5aa1fc…
04-11 00:58:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x1a123f…
04-10 18:50:31	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xd4cc20…
04-10 10:51:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	64	91¢	$59	0x3f3677…
04-09 10:19:05	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$65	0xb913a2…
04-09 03:40:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xc7c70d…
04-09 02:52:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x87b2b0…
04-08 19:22:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x084c54…
04-08 17:25:57	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0xd27f9c…
04-08 09:08:15	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0x5f140b…
04-07 07:42:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$51	0xef4fec…
04-01 02:43:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xa7d736…
04-01 01:40:15	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0xde7c30…
03-31 17:24:15	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x1a0beb…
03-30 16:19:13	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0xd0930e…
03-30 11:17:02	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x593afa…
03-29 15:54:44	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	133	96¢	$129	0x482534…
03-29 10:04:08	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xeaeb04…
03-29 10:04:08	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xafc876…
03-29 10:04:08	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x0e4197…
03-29 10:04:06	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x325983…
03-28 13:35:13	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	146	91¢	$134	0x458795…
03-28 12:10:25	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x97ce5c…
03-28 09:26:55	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	139	92¢	$127	0x86586b…
03-26 17:33:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$140	0x85e290…
03-26 12:16:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$140	0xb00ac1…
03-26 03:37:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	143	96¢	$138	0x54de40…
03-25 19:14:05	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	143	96¢	$138	0x1a1f83…
03-25 03:21:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0xc4fc2d…
03-24 19:10:23	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x8b2f5e…
03-24 07:12:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0xbb636e…
03-24 02:38:17	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0xb69916…
03-23 07:55:03	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	153	91¢	$139	0x5f63c1…
03-23 00:22:35	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	153	91¢	$140	0xd51271…
03-22 12:49:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0x2a550f…
03-22 04:27:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	149	96¢	$144	0x4de7bb…
03-21 09:41:29	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	144	97¢	$139	0x178686…
03-21 05:20:05	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x055ef8…
03-21 04:20:31	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0x2c8dc4…
03-20 23:52:29	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	138	98¢	$135	0x01602d…
03-20 16:27:27	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x33dbd0…
03-20 08:22:37	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd7060c…
03-20 08:15:21	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0x089ee9…
03-19 10:28:07	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0x1f1af6…
03-19 03:25:17	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x182189…
03-19 03:03:29	Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x2d8629…
03-19 02:28:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	141	97¢	$137	0xc3a930…
03-18 22:07:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	141	97¢	$137	0xf099f5…
03-18 14:27:59	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	148	98¢	$144	0x6df77d…
03-18 08:14:59	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0xc0508c…
03-18 07:57:49	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	142	96¢	$135	0xe8a0cf…
03-18 01:56:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	142	95¢	$135	0xfb77c7…
03-17 06:50:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0x82c680…
03-16 22:36:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0xc166bd…
03-16 22:20:27	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0xd80710…
03-16 14:05:25	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x45973d…
03-15 18:43:41	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$139	0xe08363…
03-15 14:25:39	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xf6deea…
03-15 14:24:47	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x42690f…
03-15 14:02:51	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0x68ad4a…
03-15 08:56:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x6586fa…
03-14 18:09:09	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x5e6d84…
03-14 12:53:13	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0xe42bc4…
03-12 08:12:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	156	98¢	$152	0x8441d3…
03-12 01:42:27	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	156	98¢	$152	0x494fdd…
03-09 19:52:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0xa59b68…
03-09 10:42:11	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	159	97¢	$154	0x11a8e3…
03-09 02:38:11	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	159	97¢	$154	0xfad795…
03-07 17:31:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	153	97¢	$148	0x62026b…
03-07 11:27:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x3db1e7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	34	$2.88K	3,100	06-10 05:12
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$214.4K	4,705	06-08 11:15
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$60.6K	809	06-07 21:33
Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19	29	$501.3K	18,701	05-25 06:44
Trustworthy-Kingdom 0xe5ce…7f3f	29	$436.4K	13,830	05-24 19:06
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	29	$372.0K	12,561	05-26 11:55
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	29	$259.3K	3,454	05-16 10:05
Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6	28	$241.2K	9,495	05-25 10:09