Alienated-Developer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$53

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,206 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$20.1K

$699.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$218

Open exposure

$5.92K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-10 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$1,168

Crypto

1% 93% -$162

Politics

1% 83% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+2,042	$2,008	98¢	$2.0K	+$1	11-07 10:01
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	+1,698	$1,655	99¢	$1.7K	+$20	11-10 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	+1,493	$1,471	99¢	$1.5K	+$5	11-07 10:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+770	$757	99¢	$759	+$2	11-07 10:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?	3	$10.3K	10,296	0	+10,296	No	+$15	07-22 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	42	$7.8K	7,816	0	+7,816	Yes	+$17	07-27 02:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	4	$7.0K	7,011	0	+7,011	Yes	+$9	07-20 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?	4	$5.6K	5,573	0	+5,573	No	+$6	06-30 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 22?	5	$5.5K	5,478	0	+5,478	No	+$7	07-22 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 31?	8	$4.8K	4,860	0	+4,860	No	+$14	07-31 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?	51	$4.6K	4,596	0	+4,596	Yes	+$5	07-11 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	20	$4.3K	4,343	0	+4,343	Yes	+$4	07-15 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 4?	3	$4.3K	4,320	0	+4,320	No	+$4	07-03 15:07
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 9corbelow	1	$4.3K	4,266	0	+4,266	No	+$4	04-14 16:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?	2	$4.3K	4,256	0	+4,256	No	+$5	05-13 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?	11	$4.2K	4,225	0	+4,225	Yes	+$6	07-17 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 5?	3	$4.2K	4,192	0	+4,192	No	+$5	07-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	1	$4.2K	4,179	0	+4,179	Yes	+$4	05-14 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 21?	3	$4.0K	4,007	0	+4,007	No	+$13	07-20 13:57
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	3	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$130	09-10 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?	13	$3.7K	3,744	201	+3,543	Yes	-$182	07-31 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?	14	$3.7K	3,659	0	+3,659	No	+$7	07-11 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	1	$3.6K	3,650	0	+3,650	No	+$4	05-12 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 21?	11	$3.6K	3,629	0	+3,629	No	+$4	07-21 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	25	$3.6K	3,614	0	+3,614	Yes	+$4	07-27 23:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	12	$3.6K	3,599	0	+3,599	No	+$4	07-01 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on July 2?	3	$3.5K	3,535	0	+3,535	No	+$4	07-01 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 22?	3	$3.5K	3,539	0	+3,539	No	+$9	07-21 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 1?	9	$3.5K	3,477	0	+3,477	No	+$6	08-01 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?	10	$3.4K	3,412	0	+3,412	Yes	+$3	07-19 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	4	$3.4K	1,763	1,642	+121	No	+$0	05-04 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	11	$3.2K	3,246	0	+3,246	No	+$3	06-28 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 7?	1	$3.2K	3,228	0	+3,228	No	+$3	07-06 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?	14	$3.2K	3,159	0	+3,159	Yes	+$5	07-21 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 15:28:30	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x22b39e…
11-10 15:25:58	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	No	BUY	1,645	97¢	$1,602	0x68c2c8…
11-08 07:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$129	0x631c8b…
11-08 07:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0xa63ec8…
11-08 07:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x06db8c…
11-08 07:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 9?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$318	0x05ab16…
11-08 07:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 9?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0xfa84cc…
11-08 07:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 13°C on November 9?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0xdeeefa…
11-08 07:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	517	100¢	$516	0xea50e3…
11-08 07:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 8?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc2472b…
11-08 07:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 9?	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x70803d…
11-08 07:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x895ef9…
11-08 07:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe8e221…
11-08 07:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 9?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x393d5c…
11-08 07:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x332b13…
11-08 07:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 9?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0xd7bb07…
11-08 07:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x3ade6e…
11-08 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on November 9?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xdf9465…
11-08 07:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 9?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xecd679…
11-08 07:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x2c3632…
11-08 07:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xf8b18f…
11-08 07:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc4467b…
11-08 07:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 9?	No	BUY	301	99¢	$299	0x0c080b…
11-08 07:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 9?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc078c5…
11-08 07:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 9?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0x0e0a8f…
11-08 07:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	366	100¢	$366	0x5e241d…
11-08 07:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 8?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x9d2c03…
11-08 07:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x495707…
11-08 07:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3f88ca…
11-08 07:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4674c5…
11-08 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61440e…
11-08 07:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 9?	No	BUY	631	100¢	$630	0x4b3e0c…
11-08 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or higher on November 9?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x897679…
11-08 07:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 9?	No	BUY	255	99¢	$254	0xff85e9…
11-08 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 9?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0x48e298…
11-08 07:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x645a16…
11-08 07:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x091307…
11-08 07:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x62402e…
11-08 07:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x282a17…
11-08 07:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30ad4b…
11-08 07:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 8?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x68379a…
11-08 07:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 8?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xd933cc…
11-07 10:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0xf93a02…
11-07 10:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd73953…
11-07 10:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf429b2…
11-07 10:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe78e1a…
11-07 10:02:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	270	98¢	$266	0x6faa05…
11-07 10:01:51	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1,254	98¢	$1,234	0x0270b1…
11-07 10:01:30	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1,294	99¢	$1,277	0xc059af…
11-07 10:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa2d6d6…
11-07 09:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xb74a3c…
11-07 09:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 8?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x0d45d6…
11-07 09:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 8?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x3466b6…
11-07 09:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x24d1ec…
11-07 09:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x477539…
11-07 09:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x81b348…
11-07 09:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x41975c…
11-07 09:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 8?	No	BUY	529	100¢	$527	0xf57c53…
11-07 09:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 8?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x312453…
11-07 09:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4b7f79…
11-07 09:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x550291…
11-07 09:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc5be93…
11-07 09:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf42d79…
11-07 09:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x40eb91…
11-07 09:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x088cae…
11-07 09:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	621	100¢	$620	0xb0b3ba…
11-07 09:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 8?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xd38c26…
11-07 09:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 8?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xc69044…
11-07 09:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 7?	No	BUY	1,114	100¢	$1,113	0x74db19…
11-07 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 8?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5881d4…
11-07 09:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 8?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x6e990c…
11-07 09:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc2f8ce…
11-07 09:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x94df10…
11-07 09:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbfb55d…
11-07 09:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	362	100¢	$361	0x27797d…
11-07 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xa2f3f3…
11-07 09:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 8?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$169	0x856488…
11-07 09:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 8?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2427c0…
11-07 09:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on November 8?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5c72c9…
11-07 09:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on November 8?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xb2cc1e…
11-07 09:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on November 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1eeeed…
11-07 09:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4d56a…
11-07 09:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xade382…
11-07 09:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 8?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x72e5c6…
11-07 09:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 8?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x131f2d…
11-07 09:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on November 8?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x1f7a9f…
11-07 09:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on November 8?	No	BUY	597	100¢	$596	0xc7f6ee…
11-07 09:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5acad4…
11-07 09:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6dcf02…
11-07 09:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 8?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc09a10…
11-07 09:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on November 8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1bc994…
11-07 09:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04bd9d…
11-07 05:25:55	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x781d2d…
11-06 22:43:28	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0xd9f961…
11-06 21:03:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x716280…
11-06 17:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C or higher on November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdd39cc…
11-06 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2c20c…
11-06 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6c614…
11-06 11:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on November 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5c2e55…
11-06 11:27:19	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x1f6b83…