Dirty-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

737 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$21

$1.70K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-22 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

88% 93% +$0

Crypto

12% 68% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in ankara on march 23 2026 12c	19	$73	53	53	+0	No	$0	03-23 10:53
highest temperature in san francisco on april 18 2026 68forhigher	3	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 23:41
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 10	2	$17	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-10 15:35
highest temperature in toronto on april 7 2026 2c	5	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 03:47
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 19c	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	04-07 17:49
pltr up or down on april 10 2026	2	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	04-10 20:11
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 15 2026 35corhigher	3	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	04-15 13:53
highest temperature in busan on april 14 2026 19c	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 12:55
highest temperature in miami on april 13 2026 80 81f	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 04:20
highest temperature in madrid on april 14 2026 21c	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 21:35
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 78 79f	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 04:21
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 09:29
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 24c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-13 21:20
highest temperature in austin on april 12 2026 76forhigher	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 18:28
highest temperature in moscow on april 22 2026 13c	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 18:30
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 18:01
highest temperature in milan on april 14 2026 17c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-14 15:45
highest temperature in helsinki on april 16 2026 9c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-16 11:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 82 83f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-14 21:35
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 16c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-22 18:29
highest temperature in los angeles on april 14 2026 68 69f	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:52
highest temperature in austin on april 13 2026 82 83f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-13 20:17
highest temperature in austin on april 13 2026 84forhigher	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 20:18
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 24c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-15 05:53
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 18:16
highest temperature in istanbul on april 22 2026 10c	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 19:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 14 2026 88 89f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-15 05:53
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:53
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 80forhigher	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-14 04:21
highest temperature in austin on april 12 2026 74 75f	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-12 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x856632…
10-22 21:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a1087…
10-22 21:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2acfc8…
10-22 21:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2347c6…
10-22 20:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8fc4c…
10-22 20:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9d5db9…
10-22 15:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2f7d2a…
10-21 20:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc24354…
10-21 20:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6fc799…
10-21 20:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 22?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xef0a6e…
10-09 15:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf4571b…
10-09 15:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x90e689…
10-09 15:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x18e1ad…
10-09 15:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xfbfaed…
06-30 15:24:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x59dc48…
06-29 20:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8703d6…
05-27 15:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdedff5…
05-27 15:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9fa100…
05-27 15:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xf69a5f…
05-27 15:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe57d53…
05-27 14:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x538f8e…
05-26 18:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa190a7…
05-18 12:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67b71f…
05-18 12:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x357b21…
05-17 10:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0dd6e6…
05-16 23:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x669a2b…
05-16 23:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x48fbc3…
05-16 23:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x95de27…
05-16 22:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x22e1c8…
05-16 22:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfee21b…
05-16 22:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x392349…
05-16 19:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 16?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf450cb…
05-16 19:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9a9f87…
05-16 19:25:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8de046…
05-16 19:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x16b75d…
05-16 19:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x70049e…
05-16 19:22:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1537e0…
05-16 19:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc50808…
05-16 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb9888d…
05-13 12:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa45e24…
05-13 12:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xae5873…
05-13 09:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x936163…
05-13 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa85222…
05-13 09:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xa94b85…
05-13 09:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x5d509e…
05-13 08:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0b0d9a…
05-12 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x020541…
05-12 20:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x1effb7…
05-12 19:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xda98ad…
05-12 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf023c9…
05-12 19:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb3420f…
05-12 19:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x281b6c…
05-12 19:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x02e99d…
05-12 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb15166…
05-12 19:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7cbb30…
05-12 19:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3ca3c7…
05-12 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1e98a2…
05-12 18:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x931049…
05-12 18:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20a126…
05-12 18:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x871041…
05-12 18:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xf0271f…
05-12 18:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7351fd…
05-12 18:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x926e1f…
05-12 18:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa4496d…
05-12 18:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a6d92…
05-12 18:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa9a33c…
05-12 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcfc4ef…
05-12 17:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8c795b…
05-12 17:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb22b6f…
05-12 17:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe752d1…
05-12 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa169b6…
05-11 14:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27ea03…
05-11 14:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed255f…
05-10 18:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xea958a…
05-10 18:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f682f…
05-09 20:36:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x80d455…
05-09 20:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc60e6c…
05-09 18:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b35c7…
05-09 18:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x767d12…
05-09 18:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0df874…
05-09 18:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4642f6…
05-09 18:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd72fa4…
05-09 18:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4fc675…
05-09 18:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x81ec9e…
05-09 18:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9d9ea5…
05-09 18:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x66a5a3…
05-09 18:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaf8590…
05-08 19:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7d4222…
05-08 19:40:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x35031a…
05-08 19:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x87254f…
05-08 19:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe68e09…
05-08 19:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 8?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x95a9a7…
05-08 19:37:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6b74fd…
05-08 19:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2c3f4d…
05-08 19:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb92ace…
05-08 19:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x800427…
05-06 18:57:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe31d65…
05-04 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46d3e5…
05-04 23:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3885cd…
05-04 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xed6121…