Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.09K

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

440

Trades

4,225

lifetime

Volume

$430.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$10.6K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Politics

48% 43% +$11,831

Other

39% 33% +$3,609

Sports

9% 19% +$3,942

Crypto

3% 11% -$2,788

Tech

0% 100% +$259

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+5,500	$2,585	68¢	$3.8K	+$1,182	08-04 05:21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+17,980	$2,844	15¢	$2.6K	-$237	10-26 01:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10,000	$1,340	12¢	$1.2K	-$95	09-24 18:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+1,850	$1,147	65¢	$1.2K	+$56	10-13 01:06
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+3,269	$352	14¢	$463	+$110	10-13 01:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	+2,655	$451	15¢	$385	-$66	09-24 12:44
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+874	$147	41¢	$355	+$208	10-10 19:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+649	$373	46¢	$295	-$78	10-30 07:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+1,552	$202	11¢	$171	-$31	09-20 19:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+306	$34	17¢	$51	+$17	07-03 23:45
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+52	-$1	44¢	$22	+$23	09-27 03:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	48	$15.1K	19,344	7,291	+12,053	Yes	-$615	02-28 07:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$13.8K	10,600	10,600	+0	Yes	-$115	04-03 17:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$13.5K	7,709	7,709	+0	Yes	+$483	04-08 00:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	95	$13.4K	18,797	18,797	+0	No	+$3,485	02-14 04:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	29	$12.8K	8,090	8,090	+0	No	+$642	03-30 04:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	58	$11.0K	12,961	4,059	+8,902	Yes	+$3,662	04-10 23:14
val fnc1 ulf 2026 04 01	23	$9.5K	9,958	8,943	+1,015	Fnatic	+$179	04-01 17:41
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	37	$9.2K	9,862	7,975	+1,887	Yes	+$3,185	02-06 20:35
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	44	$8.4K	7,094	7,094	+0	Yes	-$566	02-28 22:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$8.3K	4,929	4,929	+0	No	-$14	03-27 04:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$7.3K	6,000	3,000	+3,000	Yes	+$1,299	02-28 20:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$6.9K	16,845	7,531	+9,314	Yes	+$4,894	06-14 21:54
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	61	$6.8K	15,741	7,918	+7,823	Yes	+$6,535	07-07 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	30	$6.0K	7,664	5,051	+2,614	No	+$2,827	06-19 20:13
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	49	$5.1K	5,607	3,607	+2,000	Yes	+$824	04-11 18:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	-$30	04-06 14:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	19	$5.0K	5,207	5,207	+0	Yes	-$1,255	03-28 15:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	46	$5.0K	6,427	6,427	+0	Yes	+$515	04-11 16:19
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	15	$4.8K	3,308	4,070	-762	No	+$2,422	04-05 23:18
bitboy convicted	24	$4.7K	4,717	5,031	-314	No	-$718	03-31 19:26
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	2	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-15 01:15
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	6	$4.7K	7,454	7,454	+0	No	+$142	02-08 22:00
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	15	$4.5K	9,666	5,729	+3,937	Yes	+$4,642	02-09 03:04
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	16	$4.3K	2,814	2,814	+0	No	+$696	02-03 17:43
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	62	$4.1K	4,003	2,973	+1,029	Yes	+$390	04-07 21:25
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$4.0K	2,440	2,440	+0	Yes	+$1	02-20 15:26
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	2	$3.9K	3,640	3,640	+0	No	-$146	02-18 23:32
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	27	$3.7K	8,106	5,752	+2,354	Yes	-$858	07-20 23:05
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$3.7K	1,959	1,959	+0	No	+$153	03-24 01:14
2026 valero texas open winner jj spaun win	11	$3.4K	2,441	2,418	+23	Yes	+$1,417	04-05 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:24:43	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	46¢	$50	0x84c375…
10-30 07:20:48	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xf6aba1…
10-30 07:16:03	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xcc24a6…
10-30 07:16:03	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8bab7c…
10-30 07:16:01	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb244f7…
10-30 06:08:25	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x569156…
10-30 06:00:39	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x55084a…
10-30 05:33:25	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	46¢	$50	0x61b2ce…
10-30 05:31:15	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x1f6d4f…
10-30 05:30:28	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xd4393f…
10-30 05:30:19	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf236d8…
10-30 05:30:19	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xc529e3…
10-30 05:30:19	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x9af015…
10-30 05:30:18	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x83ddd2…
10-30 05:30:16	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x479251…
10-30 05:10:18	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xbc88a5…
10-30 01:17:37	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xf9c201…
10-30 01:17:34	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8a8a31…
10-30 01:17:33	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x260ad4…
10-30 00:47:21	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	46¢	$75	0x1be4f3…
10-27 02:57:14	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x6698c2…
10-27 02:57:12	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	2,510	4¢	$92	0x71da37…
10-26 01:30:53	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	311	16¢	$50	0x1a1964…
10-26 00:10:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x9d697f…
10-26 00:10:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x3679e6…
10-26 00:10:14	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x7e369f…
10-26 00:01:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2,000	16¢	$320	0x119af1…
10-25 23:41:03	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	70	16¢	$11	0x46609a…
10-25 23:39:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x224a8d…
10-25 23:39:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x115ee5…
10-25 23:23:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	73	16¢	$12	0xfd29d1…
10-25 23:23:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x1bf5a4…
10-20 18:18:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xa0301d…
10-20 02:06:42	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xd2d799…
10-19 02:58:29	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	1,954	6¢	$117	0x5ebbf6…
10-18 18:28:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3b1014…
10-18 14:27:03	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	1,025	40¢	$410	0x9e795d…
10-18 02:47:59	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0xcefa76…
10-18 02:42:11	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	SELL	700	36¢	$252	0x970f67…
10-18 01:39:24	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	SELL	1,540	44¢	$678	0x4d779e…
10-18 00:22:14	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	880	12¢	$106	0x9e3c33…
10-18 00:16:35	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	1,469	14¢	$206	0x9074a0…
10-17 23:38:56	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	1,900	10¢	$190	0xb015e0…
10-17 23:22:21	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	930	7¢	$65	0x621088…
10-17 23:20:12	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x8c4ac6…
10-17 23:01:32	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	350	9¢	$32	0x214c6a…
10-17 23:00:59	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)	Florida State	BUY	381	9¢	$34	0x512501…
10-16 01:46:15	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	166	10¢	$16	0x76927e…
10-16 01:24:52	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0xa01a52…
10-16 01:11:24	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x3bb085…
10-16 01:11:22	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	964	26¢	$251	0xf7c526…
10-16 01:11:22	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xcdf323…
10-15 07:40:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x0bc7e6…
10-15 01:15:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	3,000	79¢	$2,370	0x84c2f3…
10-15 00:04:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5,172	17¢	$879	0xe5815f…
10-14 09:17:32	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xfcda7b…
10-14 01:14:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6e128d…
10-13 22:44:49	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x65d17d…
10-13 22:44:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0xb5c499…
10-13 22:44:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x9c3c79…
10-13 22:42:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	41	16¢	$6	0x08a050…
10-13 22:42:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xaae936…
10-13 22:42:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	75	16¢	$12	0x41d502…
10-13 22:42:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x08fa03…
10-13 21:33:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0x528a04…
10-13 14:45:59	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x94ee46…
10-13 11:24:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x047da6…
10-13 09:31:31	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xb26277…
10-13 05:37:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x2f7059…
10-13 05:37:09	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x044050…
10-13 01:06:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	1,850	54¢	$999	0x345ca7…
10-13 01:04:45	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,105	12¢	$127	0x232acc…
10-11 22:19:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4766d9…
10-11 20:56:25	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,164	10¢	$225	0x803c87…
10-11 12:55:45	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3,621	16¢	$579	0x41d10c…
10-11 09:48:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe22329…
10-11 09:48:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0991f8…
10-11 03:26:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	78¢	$2,340	0xf7e5b8…
10-11 03:26:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	1,200	58¢	$696	0x1526d2…
10-11 03:22:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	2,500	58¢	$1,450	0x20ef68…
10-11 03:14:47	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	42¢	$525	0xef0e12…
10-10 19:30:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	874	49¢	$431	0x6e1bd0…
10-09 16:54:59	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x852c30…
10-09 00:25:21	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	37¢	$29	0x9fc2bd…
10-05 19:36:05	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xbbda49…
10-05 17:54:29	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x27f5a7…
10-05 13:05:56	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xaeb518…
10-02 20:29:29	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd01984…
09-27 03:04:45	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x9c262f…
09-24 18:18:30	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4,154	13¢	$557	0x11a664…
09-24 15:25:59	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	208	13¢	$28	0x20c4ad…
09-24 12:44:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0x6bbc8a…
09-24 12:44:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x9c5620…
09-24 12:44:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0xee667e…
09-24 12:44:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x9d771b…
09-24 12:43:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x2c0e19…
09-24 12:42:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xced639…
09-24 12:42:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0xd6d102…
09-24 12:19:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa35f96…
09-24 12:18:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x7f447d…