Unwitting-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-04 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 50% $-16

Politics

39% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No		+31	$30	98¢	$30	+$0	06-04 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$298	151	150	+0	open	—	05-20 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	4	$105	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	05-13 09:34
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 08:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-18 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$51	57	0	+57	open	—	05-13 16:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	2	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$3	05-12 17:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 08:49
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$40	86	0	+86	open	—	05-13 12:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-13 09:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	4	$36	65	65	+0	No	$-4	05-13 14:18
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	06-04 11:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-13 16:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 07:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-13 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-13 11:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	2	$18	21	0	+21	Yes	$-18	05-13 12:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 16:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	3	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	2	$14	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 07:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	24	$12	233	0	+233	open	—	05-13 18:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 09:35
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 07:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:48
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$1	55	55	+0	open	—	05-13 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 11:05:39	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x03d3b8…
05-20 10:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x249c30…
05-20 01:23:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5b0a7b…
05-20 01:11:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x725074…
05-19 12:13:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x016cba…
05-18 08:49:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ac994…
05-18 08:49:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe09b26…
05-18 08:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0760d8…
05-18 08:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xefbcb9…
05-18 08:48:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xa3e65f…
05-17 10:20:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xdd9aa8…
05-17 10:20:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa96eb5…
05-17 10:19:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xad6cdb…
05-14 07:38:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2b3e9d…
05-14 07:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xccf015…
05-14 07:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x7de2d6…
05-14 07:09:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x029b78…
05-14 07:08:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xc3a4fe…
05-13 18:56:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x552f70…
05-13 18:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe42bda…
05-13 18:55:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x90f986…
05-13 18:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x448829…
05-13 18:54:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x26c3a8…
05-13 18:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4d973b…
05-13 18:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xefeb3b…
05-13 18:52:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7756b9…
05-13 18:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x61b7c1…
05-13 18:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd62139…
05-13 18:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x883c2f…
05-13 18:51:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa46381…
05-13 18:50:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x26a6bf…
05-13 18:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6a49c9…
05-13 18:50:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0xea3357…
05-13 18:49:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe4c2cc…
05-13 18:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3a30c3…
05-13 18:49:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x444e6e…
05-13 18:49:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7f88a2…
05-13 18:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x414c3c…
05-13 18:48:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x44a594…
05-13 18:47:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf85cb8…
05-13 18:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xccabb8…
05-13 18:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc778f9…
05-13 17:48:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a144a…
05-13 16:34:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xd1ea28…
05-13 16:24:35	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	57	89¢	$51	0x6a039c…
05-13 16:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfd542a…
05-13 16:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1e96dd…
05-13 16:12:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x8cf566…
05-13 14:18:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	57	24¢	$14	0x37c1ae…
05-13 14:05:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x1ecd19…
05-13 14:03:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xeeb02f…
05-13 14:03:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9d8b88…
05-13 13:50:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x59fcea…
05-13 13:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xbb01cd…
05-13 13:40:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x3efc1c…
05-13 12:33:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf33ce7…
05-13 12:28:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc8a914…
05-13 12:28:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x48627a…
05-13 12:23:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x89bd94…
05-13 12:23:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x033ca0…
05-13 12:00:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb00bb3…
05-13 12:00:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4ef5ff…
05-13 11:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x52f341…
05-13 11:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x474a56…
05-13 09:35:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9e0a8b…
05-13 09:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd3b05f…
05-13 09:34:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x1291db…
05-13 09:32:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0x79cc75…
05-12 17:57:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x555873…
05-12 17:56:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd39d00…
05-12 17:50:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x793744…
05-12 17:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb0f37d…
05-12 16:36:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xc33758…
05-12 16:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x5b8064…
05-12 16:36:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x03df13…
05-12 12:55:14	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x3f482b…
05-11 19:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee217c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	21	$663	124	06-09 14:51
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	20	$1.18M	3,565	05-31 23:47
Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b	20	$2.60K	898	06-01 01:10
Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2	20	$2.49K	848	06-01 01:10
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	20	$636	45	05-20 03:01
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	19	$61.5K	1,348	05-31 19:25
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	18	$36.5K	736	06-01 05:55
(anonymous) 0xaac7…64ba	18	$5.14K	162	05-30 08:18