Unwitting-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

176 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-15 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 69% -$45

Politics

30% 100% +$5

Other

20% 43% -$29

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$298	151	150	+0	No	+$1	05-20 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?	11	$214	121	121	+0	No	+$27	05-13 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	4	$105	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	05-13 09:34
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-18 08:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?	5	$80	54	54	+0	Yes	-$7	05-13 16:06
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	06-11 15:35
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 11:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-18 08:48
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$51	57	0	+57	No	+$6	05-13 16:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-13 09:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	2	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$3	05-12 17:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:49
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	11	$40	40	1	+39	Yes	+$1	06-20 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$40	86	0	+86	No	-$40	05-13 12:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	2	$36	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 09:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	4	$36	65	65	+0	No	-$4	05-13 14:18
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-26 15:38
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 11:09
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-26 06:46
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	06-04 11:05
Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:46
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:42
Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:46
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-26 06:42
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 6?	2	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 11:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$1	05-13 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 7?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	-$1	08-05 11:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-14 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?	2	$23	188	188	+0	No	-$2	08-05 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7?	3	$22	19	15	+4	No	+$1	08-05 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 11:49:52	Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xcbb8c2…
08-07 05:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa92bb9…
08-05 16:44:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4ed770…
08-05 16:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa8d537…
08-05 16:43:47	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 6?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x536398…
08-05 15:02:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x93c7d5…
08-05 15:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x694776…
08-05 14:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x13fd7b…
08-05 14:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2b6ca9…
08-05 14:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x5ccf8f…
08-05 14:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x24fd68…
08-05 14:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x058a06…
08-05 14:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xca5c3f…
08-05 14:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6728ab…
08-05 11:27:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x9082a4…
08-05 11:27:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x205ee5…
08-05 11:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x899e41…
08-05 11:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x979c0f…
08-05 11:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x4e6283…
08-05 11:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0xa03fe5…
08-05 11:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 7?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xfdbc03…
08-05 11:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xacf27e…
08-05 11:27:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	SELL	19	80¢	$15	0x1dda47…
08-05 11:27:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x11d0bb…
08-05 11:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?	Yes	SELL	188	6¢	$11	0x00ac69…
08-05 11:10:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf30059…
08-05 11:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x365183…
08-05 11:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x4012df…
08-05 11:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x53e1be…
08-05 11:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 6?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x60b608…
08-05 11:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or below on August 7?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x5afc87…
08-05 11:00:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x50fc5e…
08-05 10:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x4cab7a…
08-05 10:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x72e489…
08-05 10:58:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5381ed…
08-05 10:58:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xfaea7a…
08-05 10:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xcf4211…
08-05 10:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcb9f34…
08-05 10:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x910079…
08-05 10:56:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x028241…
08-05 10:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xdbd642…
08-05 10:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xac9bbe…
08-05 10:55:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x7021d3…
08-05 10:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x875b01…
08-05 10:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or below on August 7?	Yes	BUY	188	7¢	$12	0xcc4794…
08-05 10:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$7	0xb10c59…
08-05 10:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$10	0x6253d9…
08-05 10:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or below on August 6?	Yes	BUY	1,875	0¢	$9	0xf250ec…
08-05 10:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x82620e…
08-05 10:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbb51b5…
08-05 10:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x16e49b…
07-09 17:36:22	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xa2047b…
06-20 13:30:53	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe59670…
06-11 15:35:24	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xbd8daf…
06-04 11:09:54	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x03ba34…
06-04 11:05:39	Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x03d3b8…
06-04 11:05:37	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7123b5…
05-26 15:38:24	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x2c3c9a…
05-26 11:07:52	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xfa1f5c…
05-26 09:44:55	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd22a52…
05-26 09:44:55	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5b900…
05-26 09:44:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdce32f…
05-26 09:44:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x732311…
05-26 09:44:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2cbba4…
05-26 09:44:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26b74a…
05-26 09:44:54	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1102f8…
05-26 09:44:50	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa3230…
05-26 09:44:50	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75a99c…
05-26 06:46:06	Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x017d04…
05-26 06:46:04	Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfb4f86…
05-26 06:46:04	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xca9714…
05-26 06:46:04	Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3c27cb…
05-26 06:46:03	Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x086f89…
05-26 06:42:27	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4c1aaa…
05-26 06:42:26	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x685dd9…
05-20 10:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x249c30…
05-20 01:23:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x5b0a7b…
05-20 01:11:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x725074…
05-19 12:13:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x016cba…
05-18 08:49:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ac994…
05-18 08:49:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xe09b26…
05-18 08:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0760d8…
05-18 08:48:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc874af…
05-18 08:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xefbcb9…
05-18 08:48:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xa3e65f…
05-17 10:20:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0xdd9aa8…
05-17 10:20:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa96eb5…
05-17 10:19:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xad6cdb…
05-14 07:38:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x2b3e9d…
05-14 07:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xccf015…
05-14 07:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x7de2d6…
05-14 07:09:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x029b78…
05-14 07:08:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xc3a4fe…
05-13 18:56:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x552f70…
05-13 18:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe42bda…
05-13 18:55:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x90f986…
05-13 18:55:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x448829…
05-13 18:54:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x26c3a8…
05-13 18:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4d973b…
05-13 18:53:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xefeb3b…