Brown-Jaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

769

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$13

Politics

31% 0% $-152

Sports

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	8	$1.5K	825	825	+0	open	—	07-29 10:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	16	$982	550	600	-50	open	—	07-24 05:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	16	$759	1,050	900	+150	open	—	03-06 05:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$583	200	390	-190	open	—	06-06 15:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$562	750	700	+50	open	—	03-04 06:12
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$551	300	300	+0	open	—	03-06 18:34
nba por sas 2026 04 21	1	$481	559	0	+559	open	—	04-20 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$462	300	300	+0	open	—	04-16 14:41
nba cha was 2026 02 22	1	$421	501	0	+501	open	—	02-22 07:26
will germany strike iran by march 31	5	$400	430	0	+430	open	—	03-04 06:25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 16:37
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$391	150	250	-100	open	—	02-06 09:13
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$376	400	0	+400	open	—	03-17 06:05
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	15	$376	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	02-22 20:25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$375	463	0	+463	open	—	04-27 16:44
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$356	300	239	+61	open	—	03-22 16:56
will france strike iran by march 31	6	$344	211	210	+1	open	—	03-05 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$314	325	0	+325	open	—	04-24 15:15
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	04-27 16:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$292	300	0	+300	open	—	02-08 13:11
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$289	150	150	+0	open	—	05-14 14:54
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	18	$281	324	181	+143	open	—	06-13 17:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$276	530	130	+400	open	—	03-06 18:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$252	325	324	+1	open	—	01-30 09:16
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$229	200	200	+0	open	—	04-02 17:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	8	$224	475	725	-250	open	—	08-03 12:43
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	4	$222	187	150	+37	open	—	01-16 07:18
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	9	$219	140	140	+0	open	—	03-13 05:46
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$218	200	50	+150	open	—	02-12 06:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$212	225	0	+225	Yes	+$13	04-10 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 12:43:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0xf70bda…
08-02 14:00:11	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x50ecf2…
08-01 04:26:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xc0605d…
07-31 13:02:32	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x5a4ac5…
07-31 06:09:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0xc4cf8e…
07-31 06:08:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0x02fd46…
07-30 13:58:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe3353d…
07-29 10:37:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	725	20¢	$145	0xd5b274…
07-29 10:37:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	768	100¢	$766	0x1ca81f…
07-29 10:35:50	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1cc6e5…
07-25 07:23:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x18e64a…
07-24 05:39:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0x915d84…
07-23 11:41:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2c5dbd…
07-23 11:41:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x5d550c…
07-23 11:41:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xf80671…
07-22 15:11:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xd78782…
07-22 15:09:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x8dcc6f…
07-19 12:29:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	82	23¢	$19	0xabb5eb…
07-19 11:49:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x0c8a45…
07-19 11:16:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x6ad6a9…
07-19 11:14:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xeff81c…
07-19 08:14:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xc89ce3…
07-19 08:14:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x84c622…
07-19 08:13:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x6cdd94…
07-19 08:13:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	33	19¢	$6	0x0e964c…
07-11 15:54:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0x4f8695…
07-09 14:55:16	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x216705…
07-06 18:39:59	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	75	36¢	$27	0xa913ed…
07-06 18:37:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x383fe3…
06-14 04:35:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	53	24¢	$13	0xf8c9e1…
06-14 04:35:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf5eaab…
06-13 17:41:55	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x58d143…
06-13 12:41:31	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xf886c0…
06-13 12:41:10	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1173cb…
06-13 12:40:16	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x95d2a2…
06-13 12:40:07	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	88	30¢	$26	0x4c0c7b…
06-13 12:39:57	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xa5e131…
06-13 09:21:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xe14bd6…
06-13 09:21:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x414d38…
06-13 09:21:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0e55c1…
06-13 09:20:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8a9b03…
06-13 09:20:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8a9fdd…
06-13 09:20:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5bb858…
06-13 09:20:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0xa68087…
06-13 09:20:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2459a1…
06-13 09:19:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x801a3d…
06-13 09:19:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9e091a…
06-13 09:11:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x985178…
06-13 09:02:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xf12d93…
06-12 19:17:37	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0x5e50a4…
06-12 19:11:46	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8f533a…
06-11 19:07:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xed50ff…
06-11 19:07:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x239df3…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf3fcf0…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xec8f53…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe88cc3…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xe71cf7…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc9de4e…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8efcbe…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3c1c00…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x33cd62…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x1fc675…
06-11 19:07:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1cb357…
06-11 18:22:04	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x25d4c1…
06-08 17:06:19	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x36d357…
06-08 17:06:09	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8e41a6…
06-08 05:25:27	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	86	77¢	$66	0x7cf971…
06-07 20:07:04	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x2958ad…
06-07 14:50:33	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x337066…
06-07 09:08:43	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x1bc073…
06-07 09:08:37	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe8c650…
06-07 09:08:03	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x781505…
06-07 09:07:52	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6c0b65…
06-07 09:07:03	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6ee547…
06-07 09:06:54	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9b6cfa…
06-07 09:06:36	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x308bd4…
06-07 09:06:22	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x718b51…
06-07 09:06:15	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x70c73b…
06-07 09:06:03	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xec9954…
06-06 15:12:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	390	99¢	$386	0x573291…
06-06 15:11:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xcce009…
06-06 15:11:25	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	350	85¢	$298	0x9d192a…
06-04 15:01:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0x28f750…
06-01 17:56:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xd122a7…
05-24 17:59:51	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xefcee7…
05-24 14:56:36	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x114941…
05-23 17:26:49	Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	Piastri	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0xe6b7e9…
05-22 18:25:15	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x19873c…
05-22 18:23:32	Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x1ea151…
05-16 20:32:05	Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?	Russell	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x9038df…
05-14 14:54:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xa1190d…
05-14 12:15:17	Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli?	Russell	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3fea5…
05-10 10:22:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5eeda4…
05-09 04:49:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd8e908…
05-04 18:33:48	Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?	Piastri	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc71623…
05-03 13:14:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x379f19…
05-01 10:21:22	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	182	39¢	$71	0xc1a4c6…
04-29 11:14:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x314190…
04-29 11:14:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$25	0xb32feb…
04-28 18:22:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb2e214…