Realized P&L
+$639
Unrealized P&L
+$355
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
300
Trades
1,530
lifetime
Volume
$54.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.32K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Sports
48% 48% +$1,149
Other
33% 50% -$947
Politics
17% 70% +$398
Tech
2% 100% +$38
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +682 -$24 52¢ $351 +$375 10-01 15:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $160 92¢ $185 +$25 10-14 15:51
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,000 $120 12¢ $125 +$5 10-26 06:36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -150 -$132 72¢ $-107 +$25 08-04 15:50
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +94 $83 100¢ $94 +$10 06-03 09:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,727 $190 3¢ $87 -$102 10-09 13:44
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,899 $56 1¢ $83 +$27 10-25 16:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $53 5¢ $52 -$1 07-16 15:03
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -50 -$48 96¢ $-48 +$0 07-09 14:55
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -200 -$40 18¢ $-35 +$5 05-18 18:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +67 $44 44¢ $29 -$14 10-06 10:21
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +30 $25 85¢ $26 +$0 10-06 10:22
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +50 $26 50¢ $25 -$1 10-06 10:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -30 -$19 78¢ $-23 -$4 08-14 17:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +100 $71 20¢ $20 -$52 04-29 11:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -500 -$65 3¢ $-15 +$50 06-04 15:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +250 $40 4¢ $11 -$29 08-19 07:29
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -200 -$44 2¢ $-4 +$40 05-18 18:19
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -4 -$14 100¢ $-4 +$10 07-19 06:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +100 $16 1¢ $1 -$15 09-16 04:54