Unwilling-Leap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$490

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

216

Trades

190,634

lifetime

Volume

$711.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-04 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-1

Sports

30% — —

Crypto

18% 55% +$482

Politics

2% 100% +$8

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 1304 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	95	$2.6K	2,411	2,081	+330	open	—	01-31 15:06
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	41	$1.9K	2,419	1,212	+1,208	open	—	03-26 14:09
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	147	$1.8K	2,121	1,642	+478	open	—	03-28 04:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.5K	1,169	1,169	+0	open	—	05-07 19:46
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	36	$1.5K	1,413	881	+533	open	—	01-30 18:56
wta rybakin pegula 2026 03 25	50	$1.3K	1,404	1,404	+0	open	—	03-25 18:08
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	144	$1.2K	1,966	1,605	+361	open	—	03-27 01:31
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	open	—	03-17 18:12
epl che mun 2026 04 18 che	94	$1.0K	695	648	+47	open	—	04-18 20:37
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	355	$1.0K	710	678	+32	open	—	04-07 18:32
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	326	$1.0K	792	685	+107	open	—	04-12 17:49
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	527	$937	632	628	+4	open	—	04-15 20:25
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	316	$925	742	593	+149	open	—	04-10 18:10
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	30	$915	895	895	+0	open	—	04-21 21:40
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	17	$902	685	532	+153	open	—	03-27 03:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$882	615	615	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 07:00
nba den min 2026 04 23	19	$872	918	709	+209	open	—	04-24 00:18
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)	4	$868	990	660	+330	open	—	04-30 23:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	27	$832	514	514	+0	No	+$8	05-04 07:00
nba por den 2026 04 06	511	$819	1,025	575	+449	open	—	04-07 03:42
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	236	$802	865	430	+435	open	—	04-14 17:11
nba orl mem 2026 01 18	4	$792	575	575	+0	open	—	01-18 19:33
nba det cha 2026 02 09	15	$789	983	650	+333	open	—	02-09 23:26
atp altmaie prizmic 2026 04 02	58	$756	533	418	+115	open	—	04-03 13:22
nba nop phx 2026 03 06	35	$749	987	539	+448	open	—	03-07 02:49
nba phx por 2026 02 03	61	$744	954	528	+426	open	—	02-04 04:11
nba min mem 2026 02 02	33	$741	701	383	+317	open	—	02-02 22:56
nhl buf fla 2026 02 02	16	$741	973	489	+484	open	—	02-02 19:01
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	178	$734	1,042	743	+299	open	—	03-23 01:31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	285	$734	909	504	+405	open	—	04-18 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 11:35:22	eth updown 4h 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7b253a…
07-04 09:38:14	bnb updown 4h 1783152000	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf7a6dc…
07-04 09:05:17	xrp updown 4h 1783152000	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1e1fcc…
07-04 09:04:02	btc updown 4h 1783152000	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x0cacdf…
07-04 08:59:43	bnb up or down on july 4 2026	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xfcb167…
07-04 08:57:37	eth updown 4h 1783152000	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x03e2cf…
07-04 08:55:29	btc updown 15m 1783154700	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7f5626…
07-04 08:54:55	btc updown 5m 1783155000	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5bc3fb…
07-04 08:50:19	eth updown 5m 1783155000	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfa2600…
07-04 08:39:14	btc updown 5m 1783154100	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1a254b…
07-04 08:39:13	btc updown 5m 1783154100	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x89d756…
07-04 08:39:07	btc updown 15m 1783153800	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3b80d6…
07-04 08:32:14	btc updown 5m 1783153800	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1937fe…
07-04 08:31:22	btc updown 5m 1783153800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7e6baa…
07-04 08:29:59	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x04f55b…
07-04 08:28:08	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf21b7…
07-04 08:25:14	btc updown 5m 1783153500	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbb3916…
07-04 08:24:02	eth updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xd187f2…
07-04 08:24:02	eth updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xc909a1…
07-04 08:24:02	eth updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x539619…
07-04 08:22:35	eth updown 5m 1783153200	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5543f4…
07-04 08:22:35	eth updown 5m 1783153200	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x01f00e…
07-04 08:22:32	eth updown 5m 1783153200	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x075a48…
07-04 08:20:59	eth updown 5m 1783153200	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xec7363…
07-04 08:19:31	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x73d096…
07-04 08:19:14	btc updown 4h 1783152000	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd81984…
07-04 08:15:46	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xad7309…
07-04 08:15:44	btc updown 5m 1783152900	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9052fb…
07-04 08:15:38	btc updown 15m 1783152900	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xca386e…
07-04 08:15:31	btc updown 5m 1783152900	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc50ebd…
07-04 08:15:13	eth updown 5m 1783152900	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7bcbd8…
07-04 08:14:16	xrp updown 4h 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2285cd…
07-04 08:10:49	eth updown 5m 1783152600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbb14c1…
07-04 08:10:47	eth updown 5m 1783152600	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xdf8ebf…
07-04 08:10:25	btc updown 5m 1783152600	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x18153d…
07-04 08:07:11	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x943600…
07-04 08:06:59	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe6344f…
07-04 08:06:49	btc updown 15m 1783152000	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xdc16c3…
07-04 08:06:49	btc updown 15m 1783152000	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xb3576a…
07-04 08:05:43	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x7b8fe5…
07-04 08:05:43	btc updown 5m 1783152300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x10352d…
07-04 08:04:50	btc updown 15m 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x69444c…
07-04 08:04:37	btc updown 15m 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xceb35e…
07-04 08:02:05	btc updown 5m 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdde919…
07-04 08:01:16	btc updown 15m 1783152000	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x94dbbc…
07-04 07:54:56	sol updown 4h 1783137600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd3bb12…
07-04 07:54:04	eth updown 15m 1783151100	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x913a75…
07-04 07:51:38	sol updown 4h 1783137600	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xde751b…
07-04 07:50:56	btc updown 15m 1783151100	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0f82e0…
07-04 07:50:19	btc updown 5m 1783151400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeb79bd…
07-04 07:47:34	dogecoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6e345a…
07-04 07:46:50	eth updown 4h 1783137600	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x66206b…
07-04 07:46:26	btc updown 15m 1783151100	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x43a02e…
07-04 07:46:14	btc updown 5m 1783151100	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa6b3d7…
07-04 07:46:04	eth updown 4h 1783137600	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7aae9e…
07-04 07:46:02	eth updown 4h 1783137600	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xb7e489…
07-04 07:45:02	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa8a0e2…
07-04 07:45:01	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x731aaa…
07-04 07:44:59	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x961c73…
07-04 07:44:58	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x48942f…
07-04 07:44:52	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc46a2e…
07-04 07:44:50	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdf96d0…
07-04 07:44:29	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa5ba3e…
07-04 07:42:25	btc updown 5m 1783150800	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x70739c…
07-04 07:39:47	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x82c695…
07-04 07:39:46	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x827267…
07-04 07:39:25	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x110d8c…
07-04 07:39:23	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4df75a…
07-04 07:37:35	btc updown 15m 1783150200	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe23d8e…
07-04 07:36:53	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdbed88…
07-04 07:36:52	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x76bcc6…
07-04 07:36:35	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9b6fa0…
07-04 07:36:20	btc updown 5m 1783150500	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x92d880…
07-04 07:34:34	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7830b8…
07-04 07:30:07	btc updown 5m 1783150200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x97f5df…
07-04 07:29:58	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x54a562…
07-04 07:29:44	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4fddf5…
07-04 07:26:23	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0cc07a…
07-04 07:25:04	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd532ce…
07-04 07:24:49	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xed5595…
07-04 07:23:31	btc updown 5m 1783149600	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x159c1e…
07-04 07:23:11	btc updown 5m 1783149600	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x13880e…
07-04 07:21:08	btc updown 5m 1783149600	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x210566…
07-04 07:20:01	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6548bd…
07-04 07:20:01	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x449123…
07-04 07:19:34	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6b3668…
07-04 07:19:31	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd1a524…
07-04 07:19:31	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xceead3…
07-04 07:18:47	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x520c99…
07-04 07:18:46	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x3e9ac9…
07-04 07:18:43	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2fb6cb…
07-04 07:18:43	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x1f4d1f…
07-04 07:18:41	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x997581…
07-04 07:17:23	btc updown 15m 1783149300	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x86648a…
07-04 07:17:19	eth updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2e20d6…
07-04 07:17:17	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Up	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x7a27d8…
07-04 07:16:38	bnb up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x834eed…
07-04 07:16:25	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8340c2…
07-04 07:16:23	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xfc1583…
07-04 07:16:23	btc updown 5m 1783149300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x79adb2…