Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
210
lifetime
Volume
$5.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$74
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-26 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
99% 75% $-22
Other
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-30 88¢ $-29 +$1 06-02 19:58
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -12 $-11 95¢ $-11 $-0 06-19 11:51
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-10 +$0 06-01 07:45
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -7 $-6 98¢ $-7 $-1 06-15 10:38
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No -7 $-6 92¢ $-7 $-1 06-15 10:39
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-03 17:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 11:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 16:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 10:38