Nifty-Rumor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-24 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

63% 75% $-22

Other

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	20	$1.7K	1,610	419	+1,191	open	—	06-26 21:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	14	$1.5K	910	710	+200	open	—	07-12 18:09
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	22	$1.2K	3,010	23	+2,988	open	—	07-21 19:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	7	$928	511	511	+0	open	—	06-16 15:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	23	$924	508	509	-1	open	—	05-22 21:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	9	$801	424	454	-31	open	—	06-20 19:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$605	667	0	+667	open	—	05-25 16:32
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	2	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	07-24 09:25
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	3	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	07-24 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$124	143	0	+143	open	—	05-10 12:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	12	$49	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 23:40
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	12	$47	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 21:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	12	$41	23	23	+0	open	—	05-20 21:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	13	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-20 22:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	0	33	-33	open	—	06-02 19:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$27	17	19	-2	open	—	05-20 23:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-22 03:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 03:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	$-16	05-04 12:14
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	06-19 11:51
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	06-01 07:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	$-9	05-05 12:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	05-05 15:58
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	05-09 17:15
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-15 10:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-15 10:38
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-03 17:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-08 23:22
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-08 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-08 23:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 09:26:07	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xfd90e9…
07-24 09:25:51	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbc9b0a…
07-21 19:00:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	750	15¢	$112	0x136a4d…
07-20 13:12:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	426	23¢	$100	0x423cab…
07-20 13:10:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x6d1dfe…
07-20 12:59:55	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0xa15c26…
07-20 12:56:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x538478…
07-20 12:56:03	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd4e7ea…
07-20 12:56:03	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x82e497…
07-20 12:53:19	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x2405d6…
07-20 12:00:12	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x6cf256…
07-20 02:27:27	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x854cd3…
07-19 21:32:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xde4e02…
07-19 21:19:42	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	94	49¢	$46	0x4ba5af…
07-19 16:45:54	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	72	87¢	$62	0x6f1955…
07-19 15:42:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	SELL	23	46¢	$10	0xc89369…
07-19 15:33:07	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xc65b3c…
07-19 13:47:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x36dd29…
07-18 19:34:01	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xcbd91d…
07-18 16:54:24	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x746d6e…
07-18 14:24:18	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x836461…
07-18 14:10:33	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0x68b4b8…
07-18 14:03:28	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0x04390b…
07-18 13:44:42	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	129	78¢	$100	0xafb8b2…
07-18 13:44:06	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x0c75d2…
07-18 13:43:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x82d9df…
07-12 18:09:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x338137…
07-12 17:52:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x5614b3…
07-12 07:13:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x3f7fc9…
07-11 18:45:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcf0295…
07-11 10:00:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xfb79a4…
07-10 16:29:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	300	97¢	$290	0x678643…
07-09 23:38:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x1654a9…
07-09 23:37:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	82	87¢	$72	0x35afbc…
07-09 23:37:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0x7cfeea…
07-07 14:26:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	310	92¢	$285	0x5c3250…
07-06 15:16:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x131495…
07-04 23:07:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xbef6ef…
07-04 16:02:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x29d24b…
06-26 21:23:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x060387…
06-26 16:45:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x8c9f60…
06-26 16:40:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	88	88¢	$77	0x9cff77…
06-26 16:40:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x81709a…
06-26 16:33:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6baca0…
06-25 21:34:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa96820…
06-20 19:42:29	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	424	96¢	$406	0x8192a3…
06-19 14:44:26	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc7663c…
06-19 12:54:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2e2d4e…
06-19 11:51:14	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x2cd56a…
06-17 17:40:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0x02dc76…
06-16 15:58:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x232160…
06-16 15:29:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	227	79¢	$180	0x924c75…
06-16 15:27:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x850c1f…
06-16 15:26:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x008867…
06-16 11:55:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x429003…
06-15 11:03:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x563b87…
06-15 10:40:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x7fa1af…
06-15 10:39:25	Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1a0095…
06-15 10:39:10	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1d4311…
06-15 10:38:58	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd38286…
06-15 10:38:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x40fc11…
06-15 10:38:27	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x57ef0b…
06-14 21:19:03	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x84e0e8…
06-14 21:18:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xdeb1ad…
06-13 16:46:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xf69d16…
06-13 15:07:33	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd0c75a…
06-12 10:59:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd85157…
06-11 19:41:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xa728fc…
06-11 19:39:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x2c3fb3…
06-11 19:39:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xc710f8…
06-11 19:39:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x7f9b15…
06-11 19:39:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xfb37f9…
06-11 19:35:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x34516a…
06-05 13:45:27	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x0f257c…
06-04 08:01:25	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x106f93…
06-03 20:39:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0xe3ade4…
06-03 20:35:16	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	319	87¢	$278	0x87e1cf…
06-03 20:34:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	211	92¢	$194	0x172227…
06-03 17:52:58	Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xe769cd…
06-02 19:58:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xa97503…
06-02 19:54:54	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xb3388e…
06-01 20:21:27	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x223ac9…
06-01 20:19:47	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x49717c…
06-01 15:33:49	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x0064d1…
06-01 15:31:39	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x737c58…
06-01 07:45:27	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x80cc38…
05-31 16:16:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xab5c3d…
05-28 20:42:46	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xca2604…
05-25 16:32:59	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	662	91¢	$600	0x05987d…
05-22 21:44:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	509	93¢	$473	0xf37162…
05-22 03:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xb1cca0…
05-21 03:59:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x7e1f92…
05-20 23:40:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0xbaa6c0…
05-20 23:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xd5a49a…
05-20 22:33:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x4cee85…
05-20 21:44:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x14bbdf…
05-20 21:42:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x5aca9f…
05-20 15:38:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0x520c35…
05-18 22:13:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x0c9b17…
05-18 12:18:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xfaa140…