Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
182
lifetime
Volume
$3.51K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$399
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-27
last 06-11 19:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
98% 75% $-22
Other
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +369 $317 93¢ $344 +$27 06-11 19:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-30 92¢ $-30 $-0 06-02 19:58
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -11 $-10 93¢ $-10 +$0 06-01 07:45
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No -7 $-6 88¢ $-6 $-0 06-03 17:52
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -5 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 20:42
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -3 $-3 91¢ $-3 +$0 06-02 19:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 16:16