Damaged-Grill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$303

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

1,226

Trades

1,735

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-29 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

89% 76% -$272

Politics

5% 79% -$44

Sports

3% 65% -$4

Crypto

2% 59% +$16

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5	2	$2.0K	1,099	1,096	+3	Under	+$32	04-26 21:52
Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 4.5	4	$1.9K	998	998	+0	Under	+$35	04-29 08:57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	3	$1.9K	948	948	+0	Yes	+$17	04-29 21:18
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?	2	$1.0K	576	573	+2	Yes	+$24	04-26 23:23
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5	2	$891	468	467	+1	Under	+$12	04-26 23:07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$500	534	0	+534	Yes	+$34	04-27 20:23
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	4	$389	212	202	+11	Under	+$5	04-26 22:54
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$291	156	155	+1	Spurs	+$20	04-26 22:06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	7	$283	227	188	+39	Yes	+$22	04-28 20:48
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5	2	$261	137	137	+0	Under	+$11	04-26 21:40
CD Riestra vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 4.5	3	$202	103	103	+0	Under	+$2	04-29 23:55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$196	99	99	+0	Spurs	+$2	04-25 05:17
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs. FK Dinamo Moskva: O/U 4.5	2	$180	100	100	+0	Under	+$20	05-01 19:08
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	3	$170	291	0	+291	No	-$170	06-13 09:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	15	$130	325	106	+219	No	+$3	10-22 14:32
CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5	3	$128	81	70	+11	Under	+$5	04-26 22:50
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	2	$107	70	70	+0	Yes	+$7	05-01 20:48
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	2	$103	112	0	+112	Under	+$9	04-27 20:24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	1	$100	125	0	+125	No	-$100	04-28 06:56
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik	1	$100	119	0	+119	Jakub Mensik	+$19	04-27 20:31
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5	1	$98	100	0	+100	Under	+$2	04-29 01:43
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	2	$98	207	0	+207	Alexander Zverev	+$3	04-28 23:01
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5	1	$94	100	0	+100	Under	+$6	04-29 01:43
FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5	5	$91	49	49	+0	Under	+$7	05-09 15:49
Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5	1	$91	100	0	+100	Under	+$9	04-28 22:43
Nagoya Grampus vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5	1	$91	99	0	+99	Under	+$8	04-29 07:40
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5	2	$91	101	0	+101	Under	+$10	04-28 22:53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	+$10	05-18 15:29
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	3	$90	101	40	+62	No	-$56	10-22 13:50
Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?	2	$89	49	49	+0	Yes	+$9	04-29 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:38:44	Will "Cyberpunk 2077" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9575bf…
10-29 10:38:32	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between November 2-November 8?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x252c4a…
10-29 10:38:22	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 17?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xa6ef05…
10-29 10:38:14	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb681b5…
10-29 10:38:05	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd325ef…
10-29 10:37:55	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xa4d5e5…
10-29 10:37:44	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x94ac2a…
10-29 10:37:34	Will Jayden Daniels have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5c2639…
10-29 10:37:23	Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$7	0xb7bdab…
10-29 10:37:13	Will Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x53dd81…
10-29 10:37:04	Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0xce32cc…
10-29 10:36:49	Will Hunter Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xb86504…
10-29 10:36:31	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 14?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x5ed278…
10-29 10:36:19	Will Jacksonville State Gamecocks Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xde356c…
10-29 05:24:23	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5646c3…
10-29 05:07:56	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 17?	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x4431ab…
10-29 04:33:01	Will Jayden Daniels have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd6bbd1…
10-29 03:45:28	Will Jacksonville State Gamecocks Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x91810c…
10-29 03:13:23	Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0267c0…
10-29 02:58:02	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between November 2-November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x11a947…
10-29 02:55:07	Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf71054…
10-29 02:18:59	Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x9cc1e9…
10-29 02:16:23	Will Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x729fdb…
10-29 02:15:47	Will UKMTO publish 12-15 notices between November 2-November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x937839…
10-29 02:07:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8cb065…
10-29 02:07:49	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x726b6e…
10-29 01:58:41	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 14?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x747481…
10-29 01:24:20	dwts 35 week 8 elimination mauhig	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3f9e68…
10-29 01:23:49	dwts 35 week 8 elimination mauhig	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x90e131…
10-29 01:23:46	dwts 35 week 8 elimination mauhig	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x4f2ab6…
10-29 01:20:20	Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb4e05c…
10-29 01:20:20	Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x653ed8…
10-29 01:17:07	Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x86c0db…
10-29 01:08:44	Will "Cyberpunk 2077" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbfcf8a…
10-29 01:00:38	Will Hunter Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x922b0b…
10-29 00:52:40	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe5d00a…
10-29 00:34:25	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4bdf5b…
10-29 00:24:10	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x86ba16…
10-28 23:25:11	Will Matt Boldy record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xaed729…
10-28 23:25:01	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xdfd70b…
10-28 23:24:43	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x7c94a2…
10-28 23:24:25	Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xe903c4…
10-28 23:21:47	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x920b45…
10-28 23:21:26	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x317d96…
10-28 23:20:49	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x588d29…
10-28 23:20:37	Will Mike Malott fight Uros Medic next?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x213507…
10-28 23:20:25	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x4015ad…
10-28 23:20:10	Will the Democrats win Virginia in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xd2856e…
10-28 23:19:41	Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x91dd8a…
10-28 23:19:10	Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x931235…
10-28 23:18:56	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xde88ec…
10-28 23:18:40	Will the Republicans win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x7aa503…
10-28 23:18:23	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x7b5929…
10-28 23:18:02	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x702470…
10-28 23:17:49	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xadd534…
10-28 23:17:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6ca54f…
10-28 20:29:02	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xa2937e…
10-28 20:25:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfeffdf…
10-28 20:23:14	Will Matt Boldy record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x85c296…
10-28 20:01:41	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6b4726…
10-28 19:22:04	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1e6bec…
10-28 18:44:29	Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x682483…
10-28 18:27:01	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xf88867…
10-28 18:24:59	Will Mike Malott fight Uros Medic next?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3f8aff…
10-28 17:29:58	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4b263f…
10-28 17:19:16	Will Linda Romero win the next Quito mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe1cfae…
10-28 17:18:53	Will Linda Romero win the next Quito mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x14b7e1…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xfb34d8…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x1cb160…
10-28 16:24:17	Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x84d2db…
10-28 16:12:53	Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd95f2a…
10-28 16:12:32	Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x54c333…
10-28 15:52:22	Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6fffb7…
10-28 15:30:13	Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x58a90b…
10-28 14:33:05	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0ba3e7…
10-28 14:31:22	Will Quinshon Judkins have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x945244…
10-28 14:31:13	Will Quinshon Judkins have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x4ed26d…
10-28 14:22:13	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$0	0xf6e1e5…
10-28 14:20:52	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5eab48…
10-28 14:16:35	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x42f910…
10-28 14:16:26	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xbf71fe…
10-28 13:05:44	Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x477405…
10-28 12:57:40	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x0447c2…
10-28 12:57:28	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xec672f…
10-28 11:06:29	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xee1f91…
10-28 10:43:49	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xbdb617…
10-28 10:31:25	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x70410f…
10-28 10:20:59	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x288d55…
10-28 10:17:58	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf672eb…
10-28 02:22:50	Will Melania Trump meet with Putin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x6ed5ac…
10-28 01:43:00	will melania trump meet with putin by december 31 2026	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xb479ff…
10-28 01:26:18	Will the Republicans win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x8c9b90…
10-28 00:17:50	Will the Democrats win Virginia in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x4cc719…
10-27 19:54:20	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x087d07…
10-27 19:54:05	Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xafaaef…
10-27 19:51:50	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xb3f30e…
10-27 19:51:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xaf31e6…
10-27 19:51:20	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x34b1dd…
10-27 19:50:57	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xecf73c…
10-27 19:50:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x34fa26…