Valid-Divorce 0x118198…e29e90
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.34K
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
181
Trades
1,648
lifetime
Volume
$313.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$30.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-27 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% +$10,861
Other
42% 60% -$11,968
Sports
6% 45% -$983
Tech
1% 100% +$29
Crypto
0% 50% -$56
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,129 $3,568 86¢ $6.1K +$2,542 07-21 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,970 $5,599 68¢ $6.1K +$456 10-22 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,380 80¢ $4.8K +$420 05-20 14:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,000 $5,760 56¢ $4.5K -$1,240 09-22 04:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,858 $2,372 86¢ $2.5K +$100 09-01 11:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,340 70¢ $1.4K +$50 10-09 23:09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,249 $321 78¢ $975 +$655 09-22 09:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +849 $688 97¢ $823 +$136 10-22 04:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,200 12¢ $575 -$625 09-08 21:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +672 $423 84¢ $561 +$138 09-24 16:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,000 $420 55¢ $554 +$134 09-24 16:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $730 52¢ $525 -$205 09-26 02:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5,000 $950 10¢ $475 -$475 06-19 18:28
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +100 $61 100¢ $100 +$39 09-08 18:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $520 5¢ $50 -$470 09-22 10:40
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes +400 $84 7¢ $28 -$56 09-22 05:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $228 1¢ $3 -$225 10-27 17:37
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +248 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 06-02 19:24