Valid-Divorce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$201

Unrealized P&L

-$1.06K

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

988

lifetime

Volume

$180.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$574

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-02 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$229

Politics

43% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-430

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+3,000	$1,181	12¢	$360	$-821	06-02 19:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes		+1,070	$449	20¢	$214	$-235	05-29 03:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	72	$24.3K	12,425	12,425	+0	open	—	04-26 23:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	9	$16.6K	10,409	6,522	+3,887	open	—	03-21 09:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	4	$9.2K	4,634	4,634	+0	open	—	04-08 20:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$7.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	05-08 13:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	16	$6.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-08 06:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$6.1K	4,060	4,060	+0	open	—	03-02 07:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$5.9K	5,000	1,300	+3,700	open	—	05-27 15:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	67	$5.1K	4,378	4,378	+0	open	—	04-12 02:25
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	55	$4.6K	5,000	4,479	+521	open	—	04-07 22:51
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	42	$4.5K	3,388	2,536	+852	open	—	03-20 07:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$4.5K	5,958	1,000	+4,958	open	—	03-28 07:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-07 21:53
will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	29	$4.1K	4,258	0	+4,258	open	—	04-28 10:18
will uae strike iran by march 31	15	$3.8K	4,916	90	+4,826	open	—	03-19 18:28
cs2 mibr 3dmax 2026 04 09	11	$3.8K	4,910	1,763	+3,146	open	—	04-09 09:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	31	$3.5K	5,220	5,220	+0	open	—	04-21 22:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	24	$3.5K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	04-10 16:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$3.3K	10,750	8,219	+2,531	open	—	05-29 03:05
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	28	$3.1K	3,989	29	+3,960	open	—	03-09 01:04
will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	28	$3.1K	3,523	0	+3,523	open	—	04-28 03:50
will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	70	$3.0K	6,560	0	+6,560	open	—	04-28 10:54
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	6	$2.5K	2,535	0	+2,535	open	—	03-01 01:39
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$2.4K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-13 16:46
will crude oil cl hit high 70 by end of march 696 795 574 483 322 319 847	3	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-02 21:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	4	$2.1K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	04-08 20:23
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	17	$2.1K	2,306	0	+2,306	open	—	02-14 17:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$2.0K	2,527	0	+2,527	open	—	03-08 19:49
trump out as president by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-06 17:49
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	20	$1.9K	3,515	838	+2,677	open	—	03-19 18:29
cs2 mibr 3dmax 2026 04 09 game2	19	$1.8K	1,996	1,805	+190	open	—	04-09 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 19:17:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	39¢	$1,181	0x27f4eb…
05-29 03:18:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	270	42¢	$113	0xa97252…
05-29 03:17:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xf54b4a…
05-29 03:17:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe45a25…
05-29 03:16:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$39	0xda25ca…
05-29 03:16:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x81ce39…
05-29 03:16:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	600	42¢	$252	0x3e7985…
05-29 03:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,531	11¢	$278	0xc5c2bc…
05-29 03:05:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,688	11¢	$186	0xb9448e…
05-27 15:47:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,750	23¢	$402	0x7a0643…
05-27 15:46:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	23¢	$1,150	0x6cbd0a…
05-27 15:44:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,288	0x2ed217…
05-27 00:56:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,258	21¢	$259	0xe112ef…
05-27 00:52:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	21¢	$8	0xebb693…
05-27 00:52:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xda4b6f…
05-24 00:38:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,200	24¢	$293	0x2b0dc4…
05-24 00:37:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	107	22¢	$23	0xfe9851…
05-22 22:51:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	12¢	$480	0x84ebb3…
05-21 04:45:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$400	0x50b94d…
05-21 04:44:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	20¢	$400	0x77455d…
05-15 11:10:31	StarCraft II: herO vs SHIN (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs	herO	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xa90f3e…
05-09 20:48:49	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0xc85557…
05-09 20:46:47	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	95¢	$858	0x117ad4…
05-08 13:56:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0xc92e08…
05-08 13:55:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xcc838e…
05-08 13:55:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xcf3ecc…
05-08 13:50:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	7,595	87¢	$6,608	0x430620…
05-07 21:53:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	86¢	$4,300	0x36ef20…
05-07 00:11:02	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0x7158af…
05-06 18:39:10	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x30d36e…
05-06 18:16:08	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	83¢	$184	0xdf0f51…
05-06 17:45:46	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3c6c97…
05-06 15:41:22	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x8f662b…
05-06 15:02:40	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,439	83¢	$1,194	0x8a3bd2…
05-06 15:01:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	729	92¢	$671	0x8387c8…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb02741…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x70f65c…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x53be9d…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x426dc0…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x3e015d…
05-06 15:01:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x083f1b…
05-06 15:01:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4,228	92¢	$3,890	0xf18984…
05-06 15:01:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x29f7df…
04-29 20:05:00	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	Yes	BUY	225	98¢	$221	0xd5a134…
04-29 20:04:54	will metas q1 headcount be above 75000	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b5cb1…
04-28 10:54:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0xd7e1b0…
04-28 10:54:08	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x877981…
04-28 10:53:56	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0e4926…
04-28 10:53:44	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x71f530…
04-28 10:53:34	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x80035d…
04-28 10:53:20	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x434baf…
04-28 10:53:04	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x4d98a5…
04-28 10:18:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdd773d…
04-28 05:42:28	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfbd0f9…
04-28 03:50:56	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x7fad7c…
04-28 03:20:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xbd3fd4…
04-27 23:28:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	812	98¢	$793	0xaff2c0…
04-27 23:27:22	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	3,300	60¢	$1,980	0x6f4a51…
04-27 23:14:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xdd1800…
04-27 21:27:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x0a9c9d…
04-27 16:38:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	280	30¢	$83	0x56df4e…
04-27 16:37:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	103	26¢	$26	0xfbc3cb…
04-27 16:32:16	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	540	89¢	$478	0x56c1e3…
04-27 16:31:02	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0246e3…
04-27 16:25:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x947d9b…
04-27 12:37:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x9726ee…
04-27 11:23:34	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0x729ab0…
04-27 11:21:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0x24d96c…
04-27 03:08:32	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xed2c46…
04-27 02:02:12	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x096bec…
04-27 01:01:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x974021…
04-27 00:59:08	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	903	97¢	$872	0xff1918…
04-26 23:56:40	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x4161f9…
04-26 23:54:28	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc00c7d…
04-26 23:53:28	Uber # of trips above 4.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc05b9c…
04-26 23:52:24	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x64115a…
04-26 23:51:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	7,425	100¢	$7,403	0x6a6997…
04-25 22:36:00	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x524943…
04-25 17:09:22	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	103	99¢	$101	0xa85000…
04-25 16:26:12	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xcba87f…
04-25 16:24:10	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	80	86¢	$68	0xcef5d6…
04-25 16:00:28	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xd0b5c8…
04-25 14:57:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x771944…
04-25 14:47:52	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	81	86¢	$69	0xa41ed8…
04-25 10:14:04	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x54e523…
04-25 10:13:50	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	106	87¢	$93	0xa96081…
04-24 22:33:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3291b…
04-24 12:38:46	will metas q1 headcount be above 75000	Yes	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0x2093f3…
04-24 10:53:00	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0x62a79f…
04-24 08:04:44	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	Yes	BUY	146	77¢	$113	0x5cb6c4…
04-24 05:21:50	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x0a302b…
04-24 03:37:24	will metas q1 headcount be above 78000	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x710dea…
04-24 02:06:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 79000	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xec0530…
04-24 01:47:48	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xd018a6…
04-23 23:40:42	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x043d09…
04-23 23:38:36	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x771ab5…
04-23 22:27:44	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xae2084…
04-23 22:26:30	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xc634c9…
04-23 22:26:06	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	66	25¢	$16	0x2d49f0…
04-23 21:48:20	will metas q1 headcount be above 77000	No	BUY	762	30¢	$229	0x2e3936…