Accomplished-Bob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$508

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

662

Trades

1,727

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-14 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Sports

44% 34% -$55

Other

43% 46% -$280

Politics

10% 40% -$127

Crypto

1% 42% -$19

Tech

1% 33% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+11	$1	9¢	$1	+$0	06-19 15:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+5	$1	17¢	$1	$0	06-24 12:56
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+60	$15	0¢	$0	-$15	05-27 21:14
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	98¢	$0	-$1	06-12 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	14	$8.8K	5,425	5,426	-0	No	-$6	01-21 02:42
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.9K	1,954	1,954	+0	No	-$2	01-12 05:07
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.9K	974	974	+0	No	-$1	01-26 02:06
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.9K	952	952	+0	No	-$1	01-22 02:59
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.9K	931	931	+0	No	-$1	01-23 02:04
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	No	-$1	01-28 03:57
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	No	-$1	01-29 02:04
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.8K	901	901	+0	No	-$1	01-27 02:57
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	-$1	02-06 06:49
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.8K	881	881	+0	No	-$1	01-30 02:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$301	460	460	+0	Yes	+$8	09-14 13:13
will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	01-06 01:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	22	$117	73	73	+0	Yes	+$2	06-03 12:59
epl cry ast 2026 01 07 ast	1	$100	233	0	+233	No	-$100	01-07 02:01
epl bou tot 2026 01 07 bou	1	$100	222	0	+222	Yes	+$122	01-07 02:02
epl ful che 2026 01 07 che	1	$100	213	0	+213	No	-$100	01-07 02:02
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	16	$84	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-29 16:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	14	$77	78	78	+0	No	+$3	05-25 23:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	18	$72	54	54	+0	No	+$1	06-19 09:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	19	$72	361	361	+0	open	—	06-03 13:03
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	5	$65	90	90	+0	Usyk	+$45	05-23 23:01
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	9	$57	34	34	+0	No	+$2	06-12 02:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$53	44	32	+12	No	+$11	05-26 22:07
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$48	35	35	+0	No	+$20	06-03 10:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	8	$48	28	28	+0	No	+$1	06-12 02:44
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$46	31	20	+11	No	+$1	05-26 12:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	06-12 02:46
nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	3	$43	90	0	+90	Kings	+$47	01-26 06:52
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	14	$43	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 13:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$41	35	35	+0	No	-$2	06-21 00:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 13:13:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0xd37c90…
09-11 13:12:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	19¢	$48	0x8b4870…
08-07 11:26:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	210	52¢	$109	0xe58d4a…
07-30 05:46:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	133	47¢	$62	0x7764bc…
07-30 05:38:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	47¢	$36	0xf236f3…
07-28 10:48:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x4cf900…
07-02 07:53:29	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x44112a…
07-02 07:53:28	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x4f6297…
07-02 07:53:26	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xcf852e…
07-02 07:53:25	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xf7bbc1…
07-02 07:53:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x1c47c6…
07-02 07:53:23	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x69ca94…
07-02 07:53:22	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x74a5d2…
07-02 07:53:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x5ed672…
07-02 07:53:20	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x125325…
07-02 07:53:19	Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x97b98d…
07-02 07:53:17	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xa50727…
07-02 07:53:17	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x27a057…
07-02 07:53:16	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xe82990…
07-02 07:53:14	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x74e30c…
07-02 07:53:13	Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xabab75…
07-02 07:53:13	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x81692e…
07-02 07:53:11	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x38d5aa…
07-02 07:53:10	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x5a8198…
07-02 07:53:08	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$3	0xf1cc00…
07-02 07:53:08	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xb63854…
07-02 07:53:07	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xf9c672…
07-02 07:53:05	Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0x5217b7…
07-02 07:53:04	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	338	2¢	$8	0xf2a6eb…
06-30 04:50:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8fca56…
06-30 04:50:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9338b…
06-30 04:50:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4bd124…
06-30 04:50:38	will donald trump publicly insult keir starmer by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xa30dc3…
06-30 04:50:38	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x905b2a…
06-30 04:50:37	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf52aef…
06-30 04:50:35	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x469454…
06-30 04:50:32	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xa5c270…
06-30 04:50:31	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc65738…
06-30 04:50:29	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by october 31 20260609151517552	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x3c3950…
06-30 04:50:28	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x58c073…
06-30 04:50:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x57338c…
06-30 04:50:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x78a69a…
06-30 04:50:10	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xf6e114…
06-30 04:50:07	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xb3d879…
06-30 04:50:05	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0xda75dc…
06-29 20:13:02	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x15c25c…
06-29 01:21:19	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x06b87d…
06-29 01:21:17	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6cc359…
06-29 01:21:17	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x3272ed…
06-29 01:21:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xca84a7…
06-29 01:21:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x8e6e11…
06-27 09:54:40	will the philippine senate convict sara duterte	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xeca4f6…
06-27 09:45:22	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe633d5…
06-27 03:28:02	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xd34b07…
06-26 17:46:16	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xaff315…
06-26 16:12:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x2efe64…
06-26 15:52:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0565e0…
06-26 14:27:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x357011…
06-26 14:27:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5ffda0…
06-26 13:01:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xc43e1f…
06-26 13:01:32	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x84978e…
06-26 11:25:52	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa576dd…
06-26 10:36:22	Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe08d4f…
06-26 10:11:25	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x4b4eef…
06-26 10:11:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xa105b0…
06-26 08:49:53	will russia enter shevchenko by september 30	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe86c56…
06-26 08:46:55	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd5dff9…
06-26 07:21:11	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x48019c…
06-26 06:53:19	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x083658…
06-26 06:40:40	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xe72fec…
06-26 06:40:40	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa63866…
06-26 06:40:40	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2ab11b…
06-26 06:40:38	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x453142…
06-26 06:40:37	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xcc635e…
06-26 04:35:26	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x877242…
06-26 03:05:40	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xa77099…
06-26 00:13:22	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcbb582…
06-25 22:46:01	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x14fe02…
06-25 21:18:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x163ecf…
06-25 21:18:32	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x15f478…
06-25 21:18:16	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7bd369…
06-25 21:13:28	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3a1fa6…
06-25 19:51:10	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe020b7…
06-25 18:47:25	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdaa2d9…
06-25 18:24:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x9beafa…
06-25 18:04:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x66a3b7…
06-25 18:01:56	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x5247bf…
06-25 15:34:56	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x98b307…
06-25 15:34:56	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x86803d…
06-25 15:34:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x8587b4…
06-25 15:34:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x424e94…
06-25 15:34:55	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x16b198…
06-25 14:31:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 25?	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x0ebb29…
06-25 14:27:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 25?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x8e469a…
06-25 14:20:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe3fd18…
06-25 12:34:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xcf131b…
06-25 09:51:31	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7d4461…
06-25 08:38:32	Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2efe11…
06-25 08:36:56	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x8dfe00…
06-24 22:46:04	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x26563f…