Strict-Mouton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$5.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-24 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Crypto

33% 100% +$2

Politics

21% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	5	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-09 03:50
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	16	$350	188	163	+25	open	—	04-27 15:30
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	10	$253	127	127	+0	open	—	04-01 05:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$216	800	800	+0	open	—	03-27 12:45
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	8	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 05:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	8	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-20 09:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	8	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	04-05 12:27
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	7	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 13:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	8	$161	81	81	+0	open	—	04-20 04:55
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	9	$157	79	79	+0	open	—	03-19 07:57
will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	6	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	03-27 05:02
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$153	86	67	+19	open	—	04-15 16:31
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	13	$137	173	173	+0	open	—	03-20 10:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	03-24 14:27
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	02-20 05:06
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	3	$97	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 08:02
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	03-24 07:40
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	8	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	03-15 21:33
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	04-01 17:00
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	7	$87	100	100	+0	open	—	03-24 07:29
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	4	$82	41	41	+0	open	—	05-24 14:24
will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	5	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	03-17 08:36
hood up or down on april 15 2026	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 05:55
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$76	51	25	+26	open	—	04-27 20:30
will afd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	03-22 16:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	2	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	03-20 10:44
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$60	22	42	-20	open	—	03-16 02:20
will our country nd win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	4	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-01 03:38
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	3	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	04-03 05:28
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	03-04 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 12:56:04	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0x0bc3e8…
06-16 16:29:53	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x3689c3…
06-15 10:12:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xca05e4…
06-14 07:20:06	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd814e4…
06-14 06:21:10	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x774a9c…
06-14 05:00:09	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x281f8d…
06-13 20:13:58	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x3ce83f…
06-12 17:43:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x9a47d8…
06-11 16:49:36	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	85	5¢	$4	0x93063b…
06-11 13:42:31	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	165	5¢	$8	0x2c5c4f…
06-10 12:34:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xf52995…
06-10 12:32:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0xcdb491…
06-10 12:32:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x3cd705…
06-10 12:31:52	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x4e0923…
06-10 12:27:27	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xf55bc4…
06-10 12:27:07	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x592283…
06-10 12:26:42	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x3308b8…
06-10 12:26:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	4¢	$12	0x16609d…
06-10 02:59:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$8	0x696a05…
06-08 11:44:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x4912b4…
06-08 11:43:40	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x28ee71…
06-08 11:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	4¢	$12	0x54f680…
06-08 11:37:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xf31c4b…
06-08 11:37:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x9bec58…
06-06 08:28:01	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0xdc3b93…
06-06 04:42:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	8¢	$10	0x26c9ff…
06-05 04:55:55	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x85a201…
06-05 04:40:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb255b4…
06-05 04:35:36	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0xb91ccb…
05-31 18:33:12	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x6712d4…
05-28 05:57:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x94fc80…
05-27 04:53:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa44b84…
05-24 14:24:11	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8fad85…
05-23 13:41:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1dcd90…
05-18 03:08:44	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x37c25a…
05-17 15:12:33	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x701513…
05-16 10:44:56	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb06208…
05-16 10:43:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xcd8a13…
05-15 07:07:07	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xba9a71…
05-09 03:50:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1beab7…
05-09 03:40:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$173	0x43e2a9…
05-09 02:18:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf5ad70…
05-09 02:04:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	146	98¢	$143	0x486d49…
05-09 01:47:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xa7f37d…
05-08 06:31:33	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x90ac57…
05-08 06:30:25	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x913950…
05-06 10:44:04	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4e1d8f…
05-05 23:50:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5c952a…
05-05 18:01:12	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x45aacf…
05-01 05:48:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02f2a5…
05-01 05:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x364bc1…
04-27 20:30:52	Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x68b636…
04-27 15:30:54	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c0055…
04-23 14:01:00	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0179a8…
04-23 14:00:12	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x334082…
04-23 13:57:26	Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1a3de8…
04-23 02:15:54	highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0xc9245a…
04-23 02:15:16	highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xcdea10…
04-21 12:35:50	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd6a08e…
04-20 17:26:38	Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x010b49…
04-20 14:42:14	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x674101…
04-20 09:23:16	Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc55536…
04-20 05:49:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x893097…
04-20 04:55:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1e9208…
04-20 04:53:52	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9ccea1…
04-19 08:33:18	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe73c0d…
04-17 03:34:48	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x32430b…
04-15 20:46:10	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbce4f8…
04-15 16:31:48	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9bec9d…
04-15 09:20:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1096f1…
04-15 08:16:32	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3f5684…
04-15 08:15:40	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbf360e…
04-15 08:12:24	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb03d4f…
04-15 05:55:50	hood up or down on april 15 2026	Up	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xd90fc5…
04-15 05:39:34	hood up or down on april 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x577b27…
04-13 00:48:25	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x59b8c1…
04-12 07:56:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x265b0e…
04-11 13:01:13	will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf74e43…
04-11 11:25:23	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa70845…
04-11 08:24:03	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x09d137…
04-11 08:21:23	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd2c7c5…
04-10 12:17:19	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3a5c4f…
04-09 11:55:29	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd154d9…
04-08 08:28:57	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x103cbe…
04-08 06:42:33	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xf146df…
04-08 06:42:33	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x44b88b…
04-08 05:59:11	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x348ca0…
04-08 05:45:31	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x19db00…
04-08 05:44:43	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7b0b92…
04-08 05:42:03	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe26aea…
04-08 04:58:27	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x30733b…
04-05 21:34:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe32524…
04-05 18:26:17	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4fb100…
04-05 12:27:17	USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x722f1f…
04-05 12:27:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3b0fd6…
04-05 12:26:07	Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xef27a5…
04-03 05:28:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x98ffc0…
04-03 04:23:53	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	No	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0xdcab1e…
04-02 15:50:27	USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbe2ff1…
04-01 17:00:07	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x813d0f…