Fantastic-Television — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

745

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-18 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

30% 0% $-7

Crypto

10% 0% $-19

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$1.5K	1,312	830	+482	open	—	08-11 15:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	9	$949	161	913	-752	open	—	06-15 23:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	9	$729	474	474	+0	open	—	06-17 18:13
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	6	$596	398	398	+0	open	—	07-19 21:45
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	6	$493	629	629	+0	open	—	07-16 20:12
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	31	$486	319	319	+0	open	—	03-08 02:28
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	6	$444	311	311	+0	open	—	06-21 23:29
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	13	$377	296	296	+0	open	—	03-24 04:57
will qatar strike iran by march 31	20	$369	261	261	+0	open	—	03-23 14:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$308	208	363	-154	open	—	06-14 21:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	5	$299	236	174	+62	open	—	06-21 16:14
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	11	$246	398	398	+0	open	—	07-20 14:59
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	11	$234	1,221	1,210	+10	open	—	07-09 12:29
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	8	$215	192	150	+42	open	—	05-25 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	9	$199	269	269	+0	open	—	06-20 14:15
Iran leadership change by December 31?	3	$184	0	219	-219	open	—	06-15 19:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$175	146	146	+0	open	—	03-01 02:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	08-12 14:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$168	117	117	+0	open	—	04-16 18:58
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$163	769	769	+0	open	—	06-14 21:28
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$161	82	82	+0	open	—	07-07 18:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$149	202	202	+0	open	—	05-18 19:50
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$132	104	104	+0	open	—	07-15 20:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$122	161	0	+161	open	—	07-12 00:36
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$101	113	64	+50	open	—	03-13 01:50
will iran strike israel on march 10	18	$101	115	115	+0	open	—	03-11 22:17
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$98	134	134	+0	open	—	06-29 18:44
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres	3	$87	101	0	+101	open	—	05-24 21:31
sol updown 5m 1771961400	2	$82	84	0	+84	open	—	02-24 19:34
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$72	86	86	+0	open	—	06-18 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 09:02:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcbc37f…
08-18 09:01:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	135	11¢	$15	0xe2c9b5…
08-14 10:31:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xefb5d7…
08-14 10:29:12	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8ed2fa…
08-14 10:24:40	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa66b74…
08-12 22:04:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x52c1b4…
08-12 18:08:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x48222c…
08-12 14:49:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x947e89…
08-11 15:52:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xe86065…
08-11 15:47:55	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd956b8…
08-11 15:37:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x258e24…
08-11 13:17:57	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6ca5ee…
08-11 13:14:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa34a27…
08-11 13:13:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4e0bc6…
07-26 12:46:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfcdde6…
07-26 12:44:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x213573…
07-25 10:50:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7e9ce0…
07-21 11:21:12	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd6c5fc…
07-21 11:21:09	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x772cb0…
07-20 14:59:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	56	36¢	$20	0x4ccd50…
07-19 21:45:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	93	91¢	$85	0x854062…
07-19 21:42:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0xc80e5a…
07-19 21:30:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	304	68¢	$205	0x591958…
07-19 21:27:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	162	74¢	$120	0x56e238…
07-19 21:14:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0xa64ad4…
07-19 21:02:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x07b7a2…
07-19 19:45:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xffbec7…
07-19 18:26:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x493652…
07-19 14:53:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x76c8bb…
07-19 14:50:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x62cb1a…
07-19 08:29:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x35c342…
07-19 08:25:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	830	69¢	$573	0xc5f8f5…
07-19 08:24:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x672477…
07-19 08:05:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x6aac83…
07-19 08:04:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4e6515…
07-19 07:59:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x5a80f6…
07-19 07:54:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1d1c77…
07-19 07:51:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5ad7df…
07-18 23:04:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	342	34¢	$116	0xb2acd6…
07-18 09:03:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x5887c0…
07-16 20:12:44	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xab9084…
07-15 20:46:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	SELL	104	53¢	$55	0x5b4a07…
07-15 20:37:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0x1d1d3f…
07-15 17:04:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$15	0xe04964…
07-15 13:33:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x8335c2…
07-14 11:34:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8e666b…
07-14 11:18:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8caf79…
07-14 11:18:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe527e1…
07-13 22:37:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xfc3cfa…
07-13 22:36:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6ad217…
07-13 22:36:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x63578e…
07-13 22:36:38	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7571a6…
07-13 22:29:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xccaa09…
07-13 14:46:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x6d85f2…
07-13 14:36:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xa2184c…
07-13 14:36:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd0b9f0…
07-13 11:23:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$1	0xecf816…
07-12 15:02:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xdbf5b3…
07-12 15:02:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xb717e4…
07-12 12:54:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x632ba4…
07-12 12:53:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x612b3b…
07-12 12:49:20	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x005173…
07-12 12:44:56	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	118	28¢	$33	0x6657db…
07-12 12:06:19	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x557e9f…
07-12 12:06:17	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x92d8f3…
07-12 10:36:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x10c330…
07-12 09:58:53	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd51f8a…
07-12 00:37:58	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xeb7b5c…
07-12 00:36:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	161	76¢	$122	0xeae2d0…
07-09 22:17:17	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xd6ad4f…
07-09 21:40:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7810d1…
07-09 16:34:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b3e00…
07-09 12:29:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f0d84…
07-09 12:29:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x33c0e9…
07-09 12:29:01	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260707223722048 726	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x20a136…
07-09 12:27:58	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6cdb90…
07-09 12:25:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x016096…
07-07 18:01:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x93c92a…
07-07 17:56:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x366665…
07-04 12:32:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	896	6¢	$54	0x207c75…
07-03 10:48:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	888	8¢	$71	0x32ea21…
07-02 21:04:35	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x371cec…
07-02 21:04:16	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbec7f5…
07-01 02:04:19	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	102	55¢	$56	0x86633b…
06-30 23:18:02	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xf5aeea…
06-30 23:01:31	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe5534e…
06-30 22:41:22	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x9aac4f…
06-30 22:32:59	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa2a987…
06-30 22:26:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x52bcdd…
06-30 22:23:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x07e972…
06-30 22:21:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe297cf…
06-30 22:06:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x6716cc…
06-30 22:06:02	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x5e418c…
06-30 02:14:35	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa36944…
06-30 02:12:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x72f8c6…
06-30 02:12:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5dbe65…
06-30 02:11:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3017f8…
06-29 23:25:20	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xc6e0c3…
06-29 23:23:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x994617…
06-29 18:53:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x8d0b06…