Realized P&L
-$147
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
146
Trades
395
lifetime
Volume
$3.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$31
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-15 19:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Crypto
82% 26% +$81
Other
11% 18% -$265
Politics
6% 22% +$40
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$7 88¢ $-7 +$0 10-15 19:48
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -7 -$4 88¢ $-6 -$2 10-15 19:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$5 92¢ $-5 $0 10-15 19:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -15 -$2 13¢ $-2 +$0 10-15 19:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -62 -$1 3¢ $-2 -$1 10-15 19:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 10-15 19:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -12 -$1 10¢ $-1 $0 10-15 19:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -29 -$1 4¢ $-1 $0 10-15 19:49
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -18 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 10-15 19:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -26 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 10-15 19:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 18¢ $-1 $0 10-15 19:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4 -$1 19¢ $-1 +$0 10-15 19:49
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 $0 1¢ $-1 $0 10-15 19:50
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -4 -$1 11¢ $-0 +$1 10-15 19:49