Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
11,777 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$4.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$341
Open exposure
$10.0K
2 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 05-21 19:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Crypto
41%
75%
-$3,563
Politics
35%
40%
+$1,893
Other
16%
17%
-$913
Sports
8%
71%
-$321
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +10,022 | $6,615 | 92¢ | $9.3K | +$2,656 | 04-29 03:01 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +10,022 | $3,307 | 8¢ | $752 | -$2,556 | 04-29 04:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $901.1K | 902,000 | 0 | +902,000 | No | +$902 | 04-30 18:59 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 16 | $228.2K | 217,166 | 82,834 | +134,333 | No | +$1,041 | 04-29 16:07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 29 | $206.4K | 493,947 | 93,947 | +400,000 | No | -$343 | 04-29 16:08 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 713 | $198.9K | 100,000 | 100,000 | +0 | No | +$89 | 04-29 04:16 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 2 | $188.0K | 100,000 | 100,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 20:54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 23 | $184.0K | 100,000 | 100,000 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-29 04:13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 62 | $144.3K | 103,896 | 103,896 | +0 | No | $0 | 04-28 19:31 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 8 | $112.8K | 60,177 | 60,177 | +0 | open | — | 04-28 14:03 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 141 | $51.3K | 30,734 | 30,734 | +0 | No | +$12 | 04-29 16:06 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 82 | $43.6K | 22,015 | 22,015 | +0 | No | +$44 | 04-28 15:17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? | 447 | $43.1K | 88,540 | 0 | +88,540 | No | -$320 | 05-10 15:56 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 37 | $36.0K | 19,445 | 19,445 | +0 | open | — | 05-21 18:11 |
| bitcoin above 72k on april 11 | 295 | $29.7K | 57,252 | 0 | +57,252 | Yes | -$8,241 | 04-09 19:50 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 164 | $29.5K | 101,661 | 101,661 | +0 | No | -$577 | 04-30 15:09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? | 164 | $27.2K | 49,576 | 0 | +49,576 | Yes | +$160 | 05-15 15:49 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12? | 240 | $26.9K | 62,299 | 0 | +62,299 | Yes | -$2,751 | 05-12 15:54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? | 166 | $26.1K | 46,492 | 0 | +46,492 | Yes | -$17 | 05-18 15:29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21? | 140 | $25.7K | 51,508 | 0 | +51,508 | Yes | -$123 | 05-21 15:41 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13? | 99 | $25.7K | 45,658 | 0 | +45,658 | Yes | +$140 | 05-13 15:05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12? | 130 | $25.3K | 51,591 | 0 | +51,591 | Yes | +$82 | 05-12 15:32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? | 94 | $24.9K | 45,249 | 0 | +45,249 | No | +$550 | 05-18 14:54 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19? | 120 | $23.7K | 43,722 | 0 | +43,722 | Yes | -$131 | 05-19 15:11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? | 75 | $23.5K | 41,410 | 0 | +41,410 | Yes | +$206 | 05-16 11:55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19? | 98 | $21.5K | 40,618 | 0 | +40,618 | No | +$54 | 05-19 14:11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16? | 211 | $21.3K | 40,885 | 0 | +40,885 | Yes | -$1,033 | 05-16 15:55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17? | 103 | $20.9K | 35,870 | 0 | +35,870 | Yes | +$82 | 05-17 12:13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16? | 99 | $20.6K | 35,873 | 0 | +35,873 | No | +$290 | 05-16 11:38 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 129 | $20.6K | 36,243 | 16,199 | +20,044 | open | — | 04-29 04:21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15? | 125 | $20.2K | 38,220 | 0 | +38,220 | No | +$1,428 | 05-15 15:08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10? | 106 | $19.9K | 37,890 | 0 | +37,890 | Yes | -$43 | 05-10 13:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||