Realized P&L
+$377
Unrealized P&L
+$1.35K
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
2,582
lifetime
Volume
$228.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$9.25K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
55% 60% +$142
Politics
23% 100% +$209
Crypto
16% 80% +$30
Sports
3% 0% $-4
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6,500 $5,456 100¢ $6.5K +$1,027 06-30 12:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,200 $634 76¢ $918 +$284 06-27 06:48
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -500 $-547 100¢ $-499 +$49 07-03 15:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +500 $275 60¢ $302 +$27 06-13 18:32
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +300 $285 94¢ $282 $-4 07-02 18:31
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -278 $-220 86¢ $-239 $-19 06-15 14:33
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -200 $-184 92¢ $-184 +$0 05-30 18:23
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -200 $-166 82¢ $-163 +$3 06-02 08:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $85 74¢ $74 $-12 06-24 11:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +52 $46 90¢ $47 +$1 07-03 20:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -400 $-47 11¢ $-42 +$5 06-19 13:00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $26 24¢ $19 $-7 06-01 17:08