Horrible-Goggles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$377

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,717

lifetime

Volume

$253.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

55% 60% +$142

Politics

25% 100% +$209

Crypto

15% 80% +$30

Sports

3% 0% $-4

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$15.1K	10,258	5,000	+5,258	open	—	06-21 12:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	31	$9.7K	10,462	958	+9,505	open	—	06-03 06:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$8.2K	7,900	1,400	+6,500	open	—	06-30 12:23
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	20	$7.4K	7,628	0	+7,628	open	—	07-31 10:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	75	$5.6K	21,220	21,320	-100	open	—	03-26 04:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$5.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	04-21 14:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$4.9K	5,162	0	+5,162	open	—	05-25 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	10	$4.4K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	08-08 13:44
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	18	$3.8K	1,700	2,200	-500	open	—	07-03 15:23
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$3.7K	1,862	2,062	-200	open	—	01-04 16:00
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	3	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-09 19:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$3.3K	2,463	1,231	+1,231	open	—	04-26 16:36
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	8	$3.1K	6,100	6,000	+100	open	—	03-29 16:57
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	40	$2.9K	3,416	0	+3,416	open	—	03-29 12:05
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	30	$2.8K	1,650	1,650	+0	open	—	01-02 16:32
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	2	$2.8K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	03-30 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$2.6K	1,600	1,800	-200	open	—	07-17 11:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$2.4K	2,184	600	+1,584	open	—	03-31 15:16
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	6	$2.4K	1,329	1,329	+0	open	—	02-11 15:58
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$2.1K	600	2,700	-2,100	open	—	01-13 15:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$2.1K	1,148	1,020	+128	open	—	06-16 14:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	14	$2.0K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	06-24 15:26
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	40	$1.9K	4,828	2,928	+1,900	open	—	04-24 15:20
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-10 16:17
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	9	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-27 00:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.7K	1,432	1,232	+200	open	—	02-28 15:49
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	10	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-13 03:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-25 16:57
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$1.5K	1,527	0	+1,527	open	—	02-01 09:33
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	20	$1.4K	814	1,012	-199	open	—	01-04 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:10:22	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x8e30dc…
08-11 19:10:21	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x29fbba…
08-11 15:20:13	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe1e2f0…
08-11 15:06:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xad55dc…
08-11 14:35:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	295	81¢	$239	0xd47f5c…
08-11 14:31:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x66958d…
08-10 12:39:10	will xrp dip to 1 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	191	62¢	$118	0x646b1e…
08-08 15:23:28	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	161	96¢	$154	0xf5c78e…
08-08 14:05:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xdc7a47…
08-08 13:44:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	800	83¢	$664	0xbf93e7…
08-08 13:41:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5e7647…
08-07 19:22:33	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x335ba3…
08-07 17:59:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x22e1ce…
08-07 17:34:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf2ce31…
08-07 17:23:15	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0xd5527b…
08-07 17:19:16	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	65	65¢	$42	0x0a8192…
08-07 16:58:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x53d0ad…
08-07 16:51:42	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x334cb9…
08-07 16:45:37	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	147	67¢	$99	0x5203eb…
08-06 12:47:18	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x0c49ad…
08-06 12:27:50	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x5fbef3…
08-06 09:01:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xe5d3dc…
08-04 19:16:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x8c3e7a…
08-03 15:04:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	300	95¢	$286	0x371def…
08-01 17:30:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	111	74¢	$82	0x59d768…
08-01 17:29:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x51d69a…
08-01 17:27:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x69b44c…
08-01 17:25:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xdd4741…
08-01 17:24:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	427	74¢	$316	0xeb96f4…
08-01 17:22:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	585	74¢	$433	0xcf4e1e…
08-01 05:32:23	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x3a64d5…
08-01 02:04:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	376	82¢	$308	0xb27487…
07-31 10:12:24	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$967	0x7f7f2d…
07-29 15:17:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	979	88¢	$858	0x8231be…
07-29 15:16:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x6495cf…
07-25 16:28:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0xba5d69…
07-25 15:33:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0x91d9d2…
07-25 15:18:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xd42d6f…
07-25 14:49:33	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x8e23ab…
07-25 09:08:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x809fad…
07-19 15:15:51	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x8baa00…
07-19 14:31:42	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xf06b45…
07-19 14:31:27	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x4075b1…
07-19 14:31:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x7832d1…
07-19 14:31:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x752cc2…
07-19 14:31:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x59f375…
07-19 14:31:15	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x0435b2…
07-19 14:31:13	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x087c00…
07-19 14:01:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	207	92¢	$191	0x8cdc76…
07-19 13:19:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x0b58dc…
07-18 17:56:30	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x57640b…
07-17 21:44:10	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0xcad163…
07-17 20:14:36	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0x36c091…
07-17 16:35:34	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	582	87¢	$506	0x6d23e4…
07-17 15:53:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x4f774c…
07-17 15:52:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0x113408…
07-17 13:24:19	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	300	96¢	$290	0xdb448c…
07-17 11:29:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x0b4c69…
07-16 22:15:05	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1,174	96¢	$1,129	0xed21ca…
07-16 18:00:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x31107c…
07-16 04:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	600	96¢	$578	0xc9c3ff…
07-15 16:32:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa27dc0…
07-15 10:31:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0xe655d7…
07-15 10:09:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x3a99b3…
07-15 09:57:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xc726f5…
07-15 09:57:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	184	86¢	$158	0xedd723…
07-15 09:57:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x9e4abb…
07-15 03:56:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	171	97¢	$165	0x493737…
07-15 03:55:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x8eb9db…
07-14 22:13:08	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x05a7de…
07-13 19:23:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xd5ffcb…
07-12 10:19:01	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	95¢	$381	0x34b9fc…
07-12 06:47:17	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x894d78…
07-12 06:44:28	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xcef180…
07-12 05:17:11	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xe9de80…
07-12 04:46:02	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x008dc1…
07-12 04:45:49	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x0b8b89…
07-12 04:45:44	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0xe3aea5…
07-12 04:45:44	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x10e777…
07-11 12:08:32	itf lopatic papoe 2026 07 11	Cezar Gabriel Papoe	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3d8dbc…
07-11 05:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x25c430…
07-11 03:28:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbbea28…
07-11 03:03:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b9c58…
07-11 02:13:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x6c5935…
07-11 02:07:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0x8670f4…
07-11 01:51:50	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xf326a9…
07-11 01:35:43	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x09fd88…
07-11 01:32:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x35bdad…
07-10 05:44:10	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xd20b04…
07-09 19:44:22	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x67efa0…
07-08 14:35:14	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x005f93…
07-07 17:09:53	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4cb568…
07-07 15:59:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x361631…
07-07 14:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,600	92¢	$1,472	0x767316…
07-06 14:33:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x8856e6…
07-05 20:10:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	406	63¢	$256	0x42163c…
07-05 18:24:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xeabab5…
07-05 18:24:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x60c7d8…
07-05 18:24:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x04f089…
07-05 18:24:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x027a62…