Realized P&L
+$377
Unrealized P&L
+$392
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
2,676
lifetime
Volume
$243.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$1.92K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 15:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
56% 60% +$142
Politics
23% 100% +$209
Crypto
15% 80% +$30
Sports
3% 0% $-4
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -400 $-852 99¢ $-398 +$454 07-17 11:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $381 89¢ $356 $-25 07-12 10:19
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -278 $-220 90¢ $-252 $-32 06-15 14:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -400 $-216 56¢ $-226 $-10 07-04 17:38
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -200 $-184 96¢ $-191 $-7 05-30 18:23
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -200 $-166 82¢ $-165 +$1 06-02 08:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -200 $-166 66¢ $-133 +$33 07-05 20:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +100 $85 72¢ $72 $-12 06-24 11:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +52 $46 92¢ $48 +$2 07-03 20:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -400 $-47 11¢ $-42 +$5 06-19 13:00
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -27 $-25 92¢ $-25 +$0 07-12 05:17
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $26 12¢ $10 $-17 06-01 17:08