Realized P&L
+$5.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$355
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved
818
Trades
3,000
lifetime
Volume
$287.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$4.17K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-08 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
56% 64% +$3,703
Politics
26% 74% +$496
Crypto
14% 57% +$990
Sports
3% 59% +$363
Tech
2% 67% -$458
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +400 $372 100¢ $399 +$27 10-01 16:25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +400 $364 98¢ $392 +$28 10-06 15:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,000 $774 36¢ $364 -$410 08-14 22:26
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +401 $248 81¢ $325 +$77 09-17 14:24
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -298 -$235 94¢ $-279 -$43 06-15 14:41
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +300 $267 92¢ $274 +$8 10-04 11:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +312 $140 86¢ $267 +$127 10-08 15:29
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -200 -$166 98¢ $-195 -$29 06-02 08:56
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -200 -$184 96¢ $-193 -$9 05-30 18:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +200 $86 92¢ $184 +$98 05-04 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -200 -$166 92¢ $-183 -$17 07-05 20:10
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +200 $136 91¢ $182 +$46 05-17 23:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $145 86¢ $171 +$26 09-15 19:16
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -177 -$166 96¢ $-170 -$3 09-19 12:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +514 $366 30¢ $157 -$209 10-05 14:14
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +200 $178 72¢ $145 -$33 10-02 21:31
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +100 $37 88¢ $88 +$52 05-01 18:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +52 $46 98¢ $51 +$5 07-03 20:38
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +200 $112 22¢ $43 -$69 05-04 13:10
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 Yes +200 $162 18¢ $35 -$127 08-01 05:32
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -400 -$47 8¢ $-30 +$17 06-19 13:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -400 -$132 6¢ $-22 +$110 05-03 16:07
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +100 $13 12¢ $12 -$1 10-02 01:48
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $26 4¢ $4 -$23 06-01 17:08