Realized P&L
-$8.06K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.51K
Hit rate
14.3%
Resolved
191
Trades
947
lifetime
Volume
$93.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$28.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-30 18:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
48% 29% -$6,656
Other
48% 18% -$1,438
Tech
2% 45% -$170
Crypto
2% 25% +$164
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$28
Sports
0% 100% +$65
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -7,725 -$6,982 96¢ $-7404 -$422 07-31 11:00
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No -3,933 -$3,114 98¢ $-3846 -$732 10-26 07:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -3,346 -$2,896 90¢ $-3028 -$132 08-11 09:09
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No -2,101 -$2,057 99¢ $-2086 -$30 10-28 10:59
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No -1,617 -$1,599 99¢ $-1604 -$5 10-28 10:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes -1,203 -$1,049 91¢ $-1096 -$47 10-30 07:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -1,035 -$371 94¢ $-968 -$597 07-23 23:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -1,547 -$1,042 57¢ $-890 +$153 09-29 20:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,561 -$457 42¢ $-664 -$206 09-05 10:58
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes -615 -$595 96¢ $-591 +$4 10-29 22:33
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes -8,708 -$1,036 6¢ $-566 +$470 08-26 20:17
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -553 -$531 97¢ $-537 -$6 10-26 14:05
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No -488 -$425 98¢ $-476 -$52 09-21 06:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -434 -$186 96¢ $-417 -$231 06-15 14:30
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -407 -$374 96¢ $-391 -$16 08-24 03:32
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -325 -$282 97¢ $-315 -$32 07-25 20:31
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No -358 -$287 87¢ $-312 -$25 10-12 15:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes -331 -$302 94¢ $-311 -$9 10-30 07:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes -362 -$264 76¢ $-273 -$9 10-30 07:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes -625 -$344 43¢ $-269 +$74 09-28 07:53
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No -317 -$244 84¢ $-265 -$21 10-13 14:27
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes -391 -$227 63¢ $-246 -$20 10-28 01:03
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No -317 -$257 75¢ $-238 +$19 10-06 21:54
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No -514 -$421 43¢ $-221 +$200 10-25 17:41
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -217 -$148 95¢ $-206 -$58 06-15 21:24
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No -212 -$208 97¢ $-206 +$2 10-26 07:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes -205 -$193 100¢ $-204 -$11 10-26 10:30
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No -222 -$169 82¢ $-181 -$13 10-28 17:25
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No -201 -$158 80¢ $-161 -$3 10-29 03:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes -675 -$391 22¢ $-145 +$246 09-04 20:09