Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$190
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
164
lifetime
Volume
$9.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$1.57K
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-15 18:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Other
27%
Tech
9%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -263 $-247 93¢ $-244 +$4 06-14 22:21
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -434 $-186 44¢ $-189 $-3 06-15 14:30
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes -242 $-165 68¢ $-165 $-0 06-15 11:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -315 $-101 48¢ $-153 $-52 06-11 13:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -217 $-147 68¢ $-146 +$1 06-15 16:30
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -175 $-143 83¢ $-145 $-2 06-05 21:04
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -166 $-138 85¢ $-141 $-3 06-15 18:37
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No -144 $-120 91¢ $-132 $-12 06-02 20:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -140 $-118 86¢ $-120 $-3 06-12 09:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -151 $-125 71¢ $-107 +$18 06-15 00:00
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -96 $-50 29¢ $-27 +$23 06-15 00:24
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -668 $-221 $-1 +$220 06-12 17:19