Jaded-Alpaca 0x1c6027…e7fcf2
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
81.7%
Resolved
823
Trades
1,432
lifetime
Volume
$141.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$57
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-25 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
57% 78% -$2,255
Crypto
41% 88% -$446
Sports
2% 67% +$82
Politics
0% 85% $0
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -10 -$9 88¢ $-9 +$0 10-13 11:35
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +53 $10 10¢ $5 -$5 06-22 06:22
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-25 16:26
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -14 -$6 31¢ $-4 +$2 10-11 01:16
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -25 -$6 14¢ $-3 +$2 10-11 01:17
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-08 04:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-18 16:05
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-08 04:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 09-26 14:44
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 +$0 10-13 11:34
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$1 72¢ $-1 +$0 09-25 01:23
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-26 06:00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:13
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -27 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 09-03 11:19
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-26 06:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:46
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-18 15:34
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-26 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:28
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-18 13:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:45
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-11 01:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 09-25 01:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:45
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:27
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-25 16:28