Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
24.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
32
lifetime
Volume
$162
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$78
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
34% 100% +$0
Other
29% 0% $-0
Crypto
19%
Sports
17% 50% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -91 $-20 26¢ $-23 $-3 05-08 00:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-8 38¢ $-8 $-0 05-10 23:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -47 $-6 15¢ $-7 $-1 05-10 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-7 20¢ $-7 $-0 05-10 23:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-6 64¢ $-6 +$0 05-10 23:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? Yes -38 $-5 14¢ $-5 $-1 05-10 23:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -7 $-4 60¢ $-4 +$0 05-07 03:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -10 $-5 42¢ $-4 +$1 05-08 00:52
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens Sabres -10 $-6 32¢ $-3 +$3 05-08 00:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -10 $-3 30¢ $-3 +$0 05-08 00:52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 16:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? Yes -110 $-2 $-2 +$0 05-10 23:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 05-07 03:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -5 $-1 23¢ $-1 $-0 05-08 00:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -21 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-08 07:15
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-10 23:16