Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

182

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$683

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-10 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 69% -$7

Politics

25% 40% -$3

Other

15% 27% -$27

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+22	$5	32¢	$7	+$2	11-03 12:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+11	$5	54¢	$6	+$1	10-27 15:50
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?	No	+7	$3	71¢	$5	+$2	11-08 17:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-3	-$2	92¢	$-3	$0	11-03 12:40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+12	$5	16¢	$2	-$3	11-08 16:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+26	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	11-09 20:52
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	-91	-$2	1¢	$-1	+$1	09-30 15:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will leavitt say nuclear or iran during the next white house press briefing	1	$40	51	0	+51	Yes	+$11	01-13 08:39
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$30	3,432	0	+3,432	No	-$30	01-30 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:25 UTC	2	$22	15	14	+1	Up	+$3	02-16 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	7	$22	35	35	+0	Down	-$9	11-10 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:45 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	02-13 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:25 UTC	4	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	02-16 20:29
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	3	$15	44	0	+44	No	+$29	01-21 20:28
prince andrew charged by march 31	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	02-19 17:20
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	-$10	01-27 12:09
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	03-12 21:13
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$10	33	0	+33	Yes	+$23	02-17 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 15:20 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	-$10	02-18 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$9	15	0	+15	Down	-$9	10-28 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$9	11	0	+11	Down	+$2	10-28 19:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 21:40 UTC	3	$8	512	0	+512	Up	-$8	02-16 21:45
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	04-03 14:46
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-11 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$7	6	4	+2	Up	+$2	10-27 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$6	11	2	+9	Up	+$5	11-10 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Down	-$6	10-27 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	10-27 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	10-27 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	10-28 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:05 UTC	3	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	02-16 22:09
peter mandelson charged by march 31	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	-$5	03-30 11:01
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	11-03 12:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 15:30 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	02-13 15:31
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$5	10-29 15:06
katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	1	$5	18	0	+18	Yes	+$13	10-13 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 16:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdb4094…
11-10 16:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x663da9…
11-10 16:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa361b6…
11-10 16:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x422967…
11-10 16:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x132824…
11-10 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9a49c5…
11-10 16:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa20f56…
11-10 16:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4410bc…
11-10 16:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xf9d889…
11-10 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa2b330…
11-10 16:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5be88a…
11-10 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcdc280…
11-10 16:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0d7522…
11-10 15:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7f9e27…
11-10 15:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xeba5f3…
11-10 15:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee09a5…
11-10 15:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3e10af…
11-10 15:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc64d10…
11-10 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x946dac…
11-10 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5c1fb…
11-10 15:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcb250e…
11-10 15:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xebbf73…
11-10 15:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd51beb…
11-10 15:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaa682e…
11-10 15:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6d7ea6…
11-10 15:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb2364…
11-10 15:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa5a803…
11-10 15:30:37	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xefbaaf…
11-09 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa87cd…
11-09 20:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdb5e7a…
11-09 20:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd4e0ef…
11-09 20:52:52	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf7cb84…
11-09 20:36:07	Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x13f455…
11-09 20:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x83d161…
11-09 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6113a4…
11-09 20:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xb97d38…
11-09 20:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x54ecff…
11-09 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x7fd672…
11-09 20:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd5c94d…
11-09 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x79d82b…
11-09 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xad6ffe…
11-09 17:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe9e0ef…
11-09 16:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xf832e3…
11-09 16:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x016644…
11-09 16:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc83b7c…
11-09 16:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5c590c…
11-09 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb1b15f…
11-09 16:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe1b66f…
11-09 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x861d50…
11-09 16:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeda683…
11-09 16:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd1258a…
11-08 17:53:22	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf32c19…
11-08 17:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf8d1ec…
11-08 17:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaa8f0c…
11-08 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3f739…
11-08 16:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x274c1f…
11-08 16:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x30fa6a…
11-08 16:03:03	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7b2e34…
11-03 12:51:30	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0f9423…
11-03 12:40:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x92b89b…
10-29 15:06:07	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x56ddf4…
10-29 13:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x1578ef…
10-28 19:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xad5290…
10-28 19:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf219a8…
10-28 19:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x656578…
10-28 11:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xb85942…
10-28 11:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8bdf1d…
10-28 11:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4a1ba9…
10-28 11:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3b276c…
10-28 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa5a22a…
10-27 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x51dd58…
10-27 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x2676a5…
10-27 19:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x516511…
10-27 18:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x86eb12…
10-27 18:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf7c025…
10-27 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xff8e71…
10-27 18:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa70694…
10-27 18:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x57d074…
10-27 18:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x3c72b7…
10-27 18:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xb3aed5…
10-27 18:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdcc74c…
10-27 18:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xf396dd…
10-27 18:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6b87f2…
10-27 16:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb02f31…
10-27 16:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfbd682…
10-27 16:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x58bcfa…
10-27 15:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6220af…
10-27 15:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9665d8…
10-27 15:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2dad81…
10-27 15:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x16c495…
10-27 15:50:53	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2cc6c8…
10-27 11:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x6382a2…
10-13 20:12:57	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4404ff…
09-30 15:55:33	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xa61b31…
06-20 17:53:44	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x126971…
06-20 17:53:11	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x901cad…
06-20 17:52:52	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x88b4a3…
06-20 17:52:31	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xf3c88b…
06-17 20:10:52	England to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc124a2…
06-17 18:18:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa0e608…