(anonymous) 0x1d3854…d12078
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$519
Unrealized P&L
+$499
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
95
Trades
1,454
lifetime
Volume
$24.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.32K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% +$1,460
Politics
15% 33% -$49
Tech
10% 38% -$603
Sports
5% 57% -$289
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -723 -$338 32¢ $-235 +$103 08-05 13:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -801 -$647 28¢ $-223 +$424 10-19 13:39
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +1,045 $34 16¢ $167 +$133 09-28 07:10
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +2,393 $207 6¢ $156 -$51 08-05 11:45
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,100 $190 2¢ $117 -$73 10-18 11:11
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10,635 $61 1¢ $96 +$34 07-30 12:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -84 -$68 97¢ $-82 -$14 08-16 19:14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +140 $85 50¢ $71 -$15 10-09 07:43
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 -$55 82¢ $-49 +$6 10-15 08:30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,785 $197 2¢ $37 -$160 09-23 18:23
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,611 -$73 1¢ $-30 +$43 07-01 15:52
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,349 -$50 2¢ $28 +$78 08-09 07:23
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 $35 0¢ $20 -$15 09-10 05:22
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5,357 $21 0¢ $8 -$13 07-31 17:32
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4,015 -$12 0¢ $-6 +$6 10-23 12:23
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$0 07-21 20:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$13 15¢ $0 +$13 08-30 20:19