Realized P&L
+$631
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
1,796
Trades
4,516
lifetime
Volume
$60.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$907
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-28 13:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
92% 54% +$787
Crypto
3% 66% -$49
Sports
3% 61% -$110
Politics
1% 60% +$2
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +104 $94 90¢ $94 +$0 10-22 01:34
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +103 $81 72¢ $74 -$7 10-27 12:20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +66 $61 97¢ $64 +$3 09-20 22:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +77 $62 80¢ $61 $0 10-15 21:16
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +56 $41 96¢ $54 +$13 10-22 00:34
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +43 $40 85¢ $37 -$3 10-01 08:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +63 $41 57¢ $36 -$5 09-15 10:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $20 95¢ $31 +$11 09-16 06:57
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) Eternal Fire +34 $20 84¢ $29 +$9 10-28 13:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +39 $22 65¢ $25 +$3 10-08 03:35
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +27 $20 88¢ $24 +$4 09-27 12:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +28 $20 82¢ $23 +$2 09-18 19:27
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +28 $21 80¢ $23 +$2 09-10 02:53
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$1 09-28 16:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +31 $20 68¢ $21 +$1 10-19 18:10
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +33 $20 64¢ $21 +$1 10-14 04:26
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 10-11 04:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 90¢ $21 +$1 10-01 03:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 $0 10-21 12:23
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +38 $20 52¢ $20 $0 10-27 18:34
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28? Yes +36 $20 56¢ $20 $0 10-28 07:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 09-18 12:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +31 $20 65¢ $20 +$0 10-28 07:46
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $20 57¢ $20 +$0 10-28 07:28
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +33 $20 60¢ $20 $0 10-28 07:47
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +24 $20 78¢ $19 -$1 10-25 19:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +25 $20 70¢ $18 -$2 09-27 13:08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +32 $20 55¢ $18 -$2 10-10 10:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +42 $20 42¢ $18 -$2 10-01 20:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +27 $26 54¢ $15 -$11 10-27 20:00