Well-Lit-Veal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-12 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-1

Politics

23% 33% +$23

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	7	$2.4K	7,846	7,497	+349	open	—	03-16 02:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$1.7K	253,419	5,600	+247,819	open	—	04-26 18:12
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$1.1K	478,187	0	+478,187	open	—	01-02 03:36
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$955	2,889	2,889	+0	open	—	02-27 18:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	23	$760	11,773	11,773	+0	open	—	02-28 21:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$553	2,960	2,960	+0	open	—	02-28 21:36
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$533	491	486	+5	open	—	03-16 01:57
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$507	544	544	+0	open	—	03-12 00:18
will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$490	1,227	1,227	+0	open	—	03-15 03:30
will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$384	2,462	1,900	+562	open	—	03-15 03:31
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$379	2,344	1,610	+734	open	—	02-20 18:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$183	166	166	+0	open	—	03-30 11:52
will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	2	$163	642	642	+0	open	—	03-08 18:12
khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	2	$153	2,996	2,996	+0	open	—	02-28 22:38
will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$146	1,875	1,875	+0	open	—	03-08 18:11
will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	2	$131	731	731	+0	open	—	03-08 18:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$101	84	84	+0	open	—	05-12 18:52
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$69	2,665	2,665	+0	open	—	03-30 11:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$67	41	41	+0	open	—	05-12 18:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 14:11
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$50	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-26 05:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$46	40	40	+0	No	+$26	04-30 09:01
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 12:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 09:01
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$37	43	43	+0	Yes	$-3	05-01 07:25
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 12:39
btc updown 5m 1772319000	2	$20	580	0	+580	open	—	02-28 22:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$-0	04-30 04:52
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$19	0	121	-121	open	—	02-08 19:43
will coca cola run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$19	169	0	+169	open	—	02-08 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:53:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	41	91¢	$37	0x16ec13…
05-12 18:52:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	84	62¢	$52	0xef0a08…
05-03 10:21:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0xa4b59b…
05-02 12:42:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0x1cded9…
05-02 12:40:26	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x3790fd…
05-02 12:39:46	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xbf1d1b…
05-01 14:11:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x3586c6…
05-01 12:55:42	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0x36dc8d…
05-01 07:25:02	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	43	41¢	$17	0xe5c729…
04-30 17:47:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4b15cd…
04-30 10:18:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x17f4ef…
04-30 10:08:06	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xeebb94…
04-30 09:06:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc53f44…
04-30 09:01:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xb7f196…
04-30 09:01:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0xb5b3e9…
04-30 09:01:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x7d1bc8…
04-30 05:09:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	155	5¢	$8	0x1c50a5…
04-30 04:53:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	155	6¢	$10	0xdc48c7…
04-30 04:52:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x56711c…
04-26 18:12:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198,480	0¢	$198	0x268dcb…
04-26 16:42:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5a9d88…
04-25 12:04:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1206ae…
04-25 11:58:08	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xda11d0…
04-25 11:56:12	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf505fd…
04-25 11:55:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x23aa4f…
04-25 11:53:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x40e5ec…
04-25 11:49:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6257ed…
04-25 11:49:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x28560f…
03-30 11:53:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,406	2¢	$151	0xfcaf24…
03-30 11:52:48	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	166	80¢	$133	0xa0f7bd…
03-30 11:52:40	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	2,665	1¢	$19	0x97f78a…
03-27 08:03:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22,838	2¢	$556	0x101b90…
03-26 05:32:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x30a8c5…
03-26 05:32:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	2,665	2¢	$50	0x0e4652…
03-26 05:32:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x2b9240…
03-26 05:31:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,600	3¢	$151	0xd6edd9…
03-23 06:09:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,359	5¢	$222	0x476c0a…
03-19 23:13:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,820	2¢	$162	0x1a3f81…
03-19 22:27:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,517	2¢	$287	0x1088c3…
03-16 02:17:27	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,316	18¢	$233	0xa1139d…
03-16 01:57:57	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7d7496…
03-15 03:31:19	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,900	7¢	$125	0xcd656f…
03-15 03:30:05	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,227	18¢	$216	0xb0ab44…
03-13 09:57:03	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	486	61¢	$298	0x065ff7…
03-12 00:18:31	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,227	22¢	$275	0x248e5b…
03-12 00:18:05	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	544	51¢	$275	0xd9d630…
03-08 18:12:53	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,165	12¢	$139	0x992665…
03-08 18:12:29	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	642	10¢	$63	0x7918b3…
03-08 18:11:49	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,875	2¢	$46	0xbe2c73…
03-08 18:11:27	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	SELL	731	4¢	$31	0xfbc91e…
03-07 19:49:53	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,875	5¢	$100	0x037d64…
03-07 19:38:35	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	544	43¢	$233	0x40aa21…
03-07 19:38:03	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	486	48¢	$232	0xc733d6…
03-07 19:33:39	will sinners win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	731	14¢	$100	0x0c21ba…
03-07 19:28:59	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	642	16¢	$100	0xce62ff…
03-07 19:28:01	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,297	9¢	$120	0x7096db…
03-07 18:16:05	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4,296	21¢	$885	0xa12596…
03-07 15:43:15	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$9	0x6e43dc…
03-07 15:30:31	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	400	22¢	$90	0x93631d…
03-01 11:40:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4,741	9¢	$423	0xa88628…
02-28 22:53:07	btc updown 5m 1772319000	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x0f16c3…
02-28 22:51:29	btc updown 5m 1772319000	Up	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xf38c9e…
02-28 22:48:15	btc updown 5m 1772318700	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xdc3c89…
02-28 22:42:11	btc updown 5m 1772318400	Up	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x97ea1b…
02-28 22:38:37	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	Yes	SELL	2,996	2¢	$53	0xfd747b…
02-28 22:09:01	khamenei seen in public by march 1 655 132 582	Yes	BUY	2,996	3¢	$100	0x6f243b…
02-28 21:51:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	4,941	2¢	$84	0xa403f3…
02-28 21:44:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,941	2¢	$50	0x40301a…
02-28 21:38:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0x8b1d26…
02-28 21:36:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	759	8¢	$63	0x76ea06…
02-28 21:05:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	337	9¢	$30	0x595385…
02-28 20:59:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	2,201	10¢	$220	0xd64677…
02-28 20:55:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,896	11¢	$200	0xfd523d…
02-28 20:13:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	727	5¢	$40	0x62eb0d…
02-28 20:12:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	832	4¢	$32	0xb56beb…
02-28 20:10:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	832	5¢	$38	0x8ff1d3…
02-28 19:58:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6,000	5¢	$272	0x673d93…
02-28 19:56:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	749	4¢	$29	0xf8d185…
02-28 19:56:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x4fce75…
02-28 19:56:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	160	4¢	$6	0x7afde8…
02-28 19:56:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,176	4¢	$85	0x2db59c…
02-28 19:55:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xf93b3b…
02-28 19:55:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	89	4¢	$3	0xb8b834…
02-28 19:55:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6c5bb8…
02-28 19:55:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2c01ec…
02-28 19:55:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	660	4¢	$26	0x12025f…
02-28 19:55:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	821	4¢	$32	0x0de23f…
02-28 19:52:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xbc8612…
02-28 19:52:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x2cbaab…
02-28 19:52:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0xb76ec4…
02-28 19:52:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	109	4¢	$4	0xe64a29…
02-28 19:52:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	170	4¢	$7	0x582516…
02-28 19:52:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	700	4¢	$27	0x814e33…
02-28 19:52:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0xd3376a…
02-27 18:55:45	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,889	20¢	$578	0x369a86…
02-26 22:59:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,889	13¢	$377	0xf6c2f7…
02-20 18:00:48	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	734	14¢	$100	0x50a7c7…
02-20 18:00:16	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	1,610	10¢	$162	0x8c4a2f…
02-18 23:11:12	will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,610	7¢	$118	0x5bcf7a…
02-15 23:44:39	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2,756	14¢	$383	0x32034c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$578.3K	9,563	05-31 10:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	31	$182.9K	14,940	06-01 03:47
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	30	$195.2K	17,199	06-01 03:24
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	30	$74.2K	500	05-27 19:06
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	29	$4.43K	2,551	05-29 05:11
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	28	$11.2M	15,758	06-01 04:14
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	28	$25.1K	5,502	05-06 16:31
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	28	$4.30K	900	05-30 23:34